2017 VEB Community Projections: Lance Lynn

Lance Lynn is one of the few players VEB didn’t do a projection for last season. After slowing down in the second half of 2015 and pitching through what turned out to be a fairly serious injury, Lynn had Tommy John surgery at the start of the 2015 offseason.

Lynn has since made a full recovery, even appearing in a few minor league games at the end of last season. That should mitigate some concerns regarding rust given Lynn is now nearly a year and a half post-surgery. On August 1, 2015, Lynn had a 2.71 ERA and 2.81 FIP (73 FIP-), essentially ace-level numbers. He’s been a good pitcher since entering the rotation in 2012, and if he can repeat those performances, he will be in line for a big payday at the end of the season.

It’s hard to know exactly how a player is going to do after a long layoff. You can look at various projections like ZiPS here, Steamer here, and Baseball Prospectus ($) projections on their player pages to get a gauge on what some systems are saying.

What are you thoughts?

Miss any projections? Find them here. Also, if you feel like we haven’t covered a player, you would like to see projected, please say so. Right now, we are probably just looking at Jedd Gyorko left, but if you would like to have projections for players like Trevor Rosenthal, Tommy Pham, and Luke Weaver, say so in the comments.