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At the season's halfway point, how have the St. Louis Cardinals performed relative to their preseason VEB Community projections?

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Scott Kane-USA TODAY Sports

Every year, various publications, websites, and sabermetricians put out preseason projections for the forthcoming MLB season. They often are based upon complex formulas with many inputs. At VEB we've started an annual tradition of injecting the human element into projections. Rather than use a specific formula, we ask our readership to submit their predictions for Cardinals players. To view the preseason VEB Community projections in greater detail and see how they compare to the spreadsheet forecasts, you can click here.

Throughout the season we check in periodically to see how the Cardinals are performing relative to the VEB Community projections. At the conclusion of the season, we'll see how the Cardinals' individual 2015 stats measure up to their preseason projections, including those of the VEB Community. With St. Louis having played their 81st game of the 2015 campaign on Sunday, the Cardinals have reached the mathematical halfway point of the season, so I thought it would be fun to take a look at how the various players are producing compared to their preseason VEB Community projections.

You may notice that some players are not shown in this post. I excluded players who are likely out of the remainder of the regular season (i.e., Adam Wainwright and Matt Adams). We also did not do projections for relievers other than closer Trevor Rosenthal (who is the first reliever projections we've ever done) or bench players. Consequently, Randal Grichuk, Peter Bourjos, Pete Kozma, etc. are not featured.

Position Players

Yadier Molina


PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

wOBA

VEB

514

60

12

68

4

.291

.343

.424

.767

.347

2015

292

21

2

27

0

.292

.333

.373

.706

.309

% or Diff.

56.8%

35%

16.7%

39.7%

0%

+.001

-.010

-.051

-.061

-.038

Kolten Wong


PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

wOBA

VEB

564

74

15

63

24

.276

.330

.423

.753

.339

2015

329

42

9

36

7

.279

.337

.443

.780

.338

% or Diff.

58.3%

56.8%

60%

57.1%

29.2%

+.003

+.007

+.020

+.027

-.001

Matt Carpenter


PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

wOBA

VEB

642

104

11

67

6

.294

.381

.427

.808

.371

2015

326

45

8

39

1

.274

.374

.444

.818

.357

% or Diff

50.8%

43.3%

72.7%

58.2%

16.7%

-.020

-.007

+.017

+.010

-.014

Jhonny Peralta


PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

wOBA

VEB

594

64

18

75

2

.271

.334

.438

.772

.347

2015

334

34

11

42

1

.297

.350

.469

.819

.353

% or Diff

56.2%

53.1%

61.1%

56%

50%

+.026

+.016

+.031

+.047

+.008

Matt Holliday


PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

wOBA

VEB

593

90

21

91

3

.286

.367

.464

.831

.375

2015

218

20

3

26

2

.303

.417

.421

.839

.366

% or Diff

36.8%

22.2%

14.3%

28.6%

66.7%

+.017

+.050

-.043

+.008

-.009

Jon Jay


PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

wOBA

VEB

480

59

4

45

7

.283

.339

.370

.709

.315

2015

191

19

1

10

0

.223

.311

.265

.576

.256

% or Diff.

39.8%

32.2%

25%

22.2%

0%

-.060

-.028

-.105

-.133

-.059

Jason Heyward


PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

wOBA

VEB

609

91

20

82

19

.283

.367

.452

.819

.364

2015

302

38

9

29

8

.281

.331

.439

.770

.334

% or Diff

49.6%

41.8%

45%

35.4%

42.1%

-.002

-.036

-.013

-.049

-.030

Pitchers

Lance Lynn


IP

K/9

BB/9

ERA

FIP

W

L

VEB

201

8.17

2.91

3.19

3.34

16

9

2015

92.1

9.45

3.02

2.53

2.73

6

4

% or Diff

45.9%

+1.28

+.009

-0.66

-0.61

37.5%

44.4%

Michael Wacha


IP

K/9

BB/9

ERA

FIP

W

L

VEB

160

8.18

2.61

3.16

3.17

13

7

2015

101.1

7.11

2.04

2.66

3.17

10

3

% or Diff

63.3%

-1.07

-0.57

-0.50

+/- 0

76.9%

42.9%

Carlos Martinez


IP

K/9

BB/9

ERA

FIP

W

L

VEB

147

8.66

3.22

3.47

3.31

11

7

2015

100

9.45

3.69

2.70

3.58

9

3

% or Diff

68%

+0.79

+0.47

-0.77

+0.27

81.8%

42.9%

John Lackey


IP

K/9

BB/9

ERA

FIP

W

L

VEB

182

7.06

2.49

3.79

3.84

13

9

2015

103.2

6.68

2.26

3.30

3.44

6

5

% or Diff

60%

-0.38

-0.23

-0.49

-0.40

46.2%

55.6%

Jaime Garcia


IP

K/9

BB/9

ERA

FIP

W

L

VEB

96

7.25

2.50

3.46

3.44

7

4

2015

48

6.00

1.31

1.69

3.00

3

3

% or Diff

50%

-1.25

-1.19

-1.77

-0.44

42.9%

75%

Trevor Rosenthal


G

IP

K/9

BB/9

ERA

FIP

SV

VEB

70

69

10.89

3.55

2.89

2.79

42

2015

37

38.1

9.86

3.05

0.70

2.25

24

% or Diff

52.9%

55.6%

-1.03

-0.50

-2.19

-0.54

57.1%

FanDuel

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