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MLB Trade Rumors projected Cardinals arbitration salaries - A Hunt and Peck

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Here is what some Cardinals are projected to earn in 2019...

Milwaukee Brewers v St Louis Cardinals Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images

First a quick overview of salary arbitration, just so everyone is all on the same page.

There are two requirements for arbitration. The most common is that the player accumulates at least three full seasons of major league service time. The other condition is that the player has less than three full seasons of major league service time, but is within the top 22% of players with more than two years of service time. This is referred two as Super Two status. Let us focus on players that fall under the first requirement.

(For more info on Super Two status, Fangraphs explains it here.)

For the first three years of a player’s contract, the team determines their salary with the minimum salary being around $500 thousand. For the next three years, the player is still at the mercy of what their team decides to pay them, but the player has the option to agree to this salary or plead their case for a different salary to an arbitration panel.

Should an agreement not be reached, both the team and the player submit a proposed salary to the arbitration panel and plead their case in a hearing. The panel decides which side has the stronger case and chooses the salary accordingly.

The first year of arbitration is primarily based on the player’s most recent year along with his entire body of work. The two years after that, the player’s salary will increase based on his play during his most recent season. This is where MLB Trade Rumors’ model comes in to determine that increase. Their method is explained here.

Now that is out the way, let’s get to the good stuff: the salaries!

The Cardinals currently have five arbitration eligible players: Greg Garcia, Chasen Shreve, Dominic Leone, Michael Wacha, and Marcell Ozuna.

Garcia made his major league debut in 2014. He has accumulated enough service time to reach his first year of arbitration this offseason. MLB Trade Rumors projects his salary at $900K.

Shreve made his major league debut in 2014. He has accumulated enough service time to reach his second year of arbitration this offseason. MLB Trade Rumors projects his salary at $1.2MM.

Leone made his major league debut in 2014. He has accumulated enough service time to reach his second year of arbitration this offseason. MLB Trade Rumors projects his salary at $1.3MM.

Wacha made his major league debut in 2013. He has accumulated enough service time to reach his third and final year of arbitration this offseason. MLB Trade Rumors projects his salary at $6.6MM.

Ozuna made his major league debut in 2013. He has accumulated enough service time to reach his third and final year of arbitration this offseason. MLB Trade Rumors projects his salary at $13.4MM.

The two players to watch this offseason will be Wacha and Ozuna who will be free agents after this season.

Projected Arbitration Salaries For 2019 | MLB Trade Rumors

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