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Yadier Molina injury: Cardinals' catcher headed for DL, rendering trade speculation a little silly

Whether the St. Louis Cardinals need to trade a pitching prospect for a pitcher is suddenly less important than how they'll make up the difference between Yadier Molina and Tony Cruz.

<i>[♪ Hello darkness my old friend ♪]</i>
[♪ Hello darkness my old friend ♪]
Scott Rovak-US PRESSWIRE

Well, this explains the St. Louis Cardinals' inexplicably stubborn devotion to a three-catcher roster: Yadier Molina is headed to the disabled list by way of a trip home for an MRI. (Here's Derrick Goold's tweet-summary.) It's a sprain, apparently, which is the one that's not secretly a tear, but it exposes the terrible secret of being so reliant on a great catcher: Backup catchers are just not very good most of the time.

That is, the Cardinals' trade deadline rumors were dependent on the difference between, say, Carlos Martinez and Jake Peavy. Now their immediate future is dependent on the difference between Yadier Molina—ZiPS rest-of-season projection .304/.358/.445—and Tony Cruz, ROS projection .235/.280/.339.

And there's not much behind Cruz and journeyman backup Rob Johnson, either. The fastest-moving catcher in the Cardinals' system this year has been none other than Casey Rasmus, currently backing up in AA Springfield and hitting .313/.353/.367 across limited playing time at three levels. Cody Stanley, the last bona fide catching prospect to make an impact, is hitting .251/.293/.351 in AA.

And yes, I did check: Bryan Anderson is hitting .246/.321/.465 for the White Sox' International League affiliate. Power's always the last tool to develop!

I doubt the Cardinals were caught off guard by the slow burn of Molina's knee injury, so they've certainly had enough time to trade for a replacement ahead of the deadline tomorrow. It doesn't really make a lot of sense to do it, though—unless Molina's in more pain than anyone has so far let on, any catcher developed enough to be an immediate solution to the Cardinals' depth problems would find himself buried once Molina returned.

Jenifer Langosch and our own bgh have a related question worth floating, though:

The runs the Cardinals are going to lose by trading an injured Yadier Molina for Tony Cruz are going to be expensive and awkward to replace, but shortstop's still relatively cheap. If they're worried about where this loss will put them in the standings in September, that's where an upgrade should happen.