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2019 Community Prospect Projections: The Hitting Results

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Looking over the results from our (hitting) prospect projections!

MLB: Spring Training-Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

As you I’m betting you know (and have heard me ‘talk’ about so often; I apologize), Viva El Birdos held its first round of prospect projections. We do an MLB portion annually and thought it could be fun to do some of the young guys, too. Thank you for participating!

Last night, I revealed the results of the five pitchers. This morning, it’s the 10 hitting prospects we had.

The 10: Nolan Gorman, Andrew Knizner, Randy Arozarena, Elehuris Montero, Luken Baker, Dylan Carlson, Edmundo Sosa, Jonathan Machado, Max Schrock, and Justin Williams.

2019 Community Prospect Projections Results: Hitters

Player Postion Start Season: Most Time: Games Played Plate Appearances Home Runs Walks
Player Postion Start Season: Most Time: Games Played Plate Appearances Home Runs Walks
Nolan Gorman Third base Class-A Class-A Adv. 89 413 24 48
Andrew Knizner Catcher Triple-A Triple-A 101 383 14 40
Randy Arozarena Center field Triple-A Triple-A 109 392 17 45
Elehuris Montero Third base Class-A Adv. Double-A 101 396 22 57
Luken Baker First base Class-A Class-A Adv. 95 361 20 47
Dylan Carlson First base Double-A Double-A 104 399 19 54
Edmundo Sosa Shortstop Triple-A Triple-A 112 414 9 36
Jonatan Machado Center field Class-A Adv. Class-A Adv. 88 321 6 32
Max Schrock Second base Triple-A Triple-A 112 401 11 45
Justin Williams Left field Triple-A Triple-A 98 334 13 34

After jumbling through all of the feedback, I jotted down some notes that came to mind:

  • Sosa is projected to play in the most games and have the most plate appearances out of this group of 10 players. Not surprising.
  • ^ However, Gorman is projected to play in the second-fewest games, yet have the second-most plate appearances. I guess Sosa is leaving games early?
  • Another Gorman note: it’s thought he will lead the group with two-dozen home runs. Machado, who is projected for 88 games (one fewer than Gorman), is slated for a half-dozen long balls.
  • If Montero hits 22 home runs, that would increase his 2018 total by 38 percent; it would also be more home runs than he hit in the 170 games he played in before last season.
  • Half of the players on this list are projected to start the season at Triple-A Memphis and spend most of their seasons there. (Knizner, Arozarena, Sosa, Schrock, and Williams)
  • ^ Double-A Springfield has one player like that (Carlson), while Machado is projected to do this at Class-A Advanced Palm Beach.
  • Baker slashed .288/.359/.417 at Class-A Peoria in 37 games last year. So, if he does start the year at Class-A and continues that trend early in the season, he will most likely receive a promotion to Palm Beach for more than just coffee. That would mean a correct projection.

Again, thank you for participating! Be sure to come back and help us with our MLB Projections. Those will start this afternoon.