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2017 VEB Projections Results: Stephen Piscotty

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Here are the projections for the Cardinals newest millionaire

MLB: Spring Training-St. Louis Cardinals at Boston Red Sox Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Thank you all for participating. When we asked for Stephen Piscotty projections, this is what we said:

Stephen Piscotty played his first major league game on July 21, 2015. Over the next year, Piscotty got 638 plate appearances, hit 20 homers, 38 doubles, and six triples, good for a .299/.365/.490 stat line with a 132 wRC+ and a 3.2 WAR. After that time, Piscotty’s bat slowed. His strikeout rate for the rest of the season was at 25% which helped cause a low .242/.306/.413 stat line with just a 92 wRC+. For a corner outfielder, that production is less than ideal.

So which Piscotty shows up this season? His first full season in the big leagues might have worn him down a bit, but we also saw Kolten Wong have really good numbers from the second half of 2014 and the first half of 2015 followed by a slow second half that carried over into the 2016 season. Piscotty, who has typically been a high-contact hitter, will need to get his strikeout numbers in order to have a strong season.

Piscotty ended last season with a solid .273/.343/.457 line with a 115 wRC+ and 2.8 WAR. That wasn’t too far off from what we predicted at VEB last season. The full season numbers seem more reliable than either his great first half or his disappointing second. You can find ZiPS here, Steamer here, and Baseball Prospectus ($) on their player pages.

Here is what you said:

Stephen Piscotty PA HR RBI R SB BA OBP SLG WAR
VEB 597 22 92 86 7 .287 .355 .496 3.2
Steamer 613 17 75 70 7 .268 .333 .428 1.6
ZiPS 625 18 79 77 8 .273 .338 .443 2.5
PECOTA 601 17 72 68 7 .265 .331 .430 2.3