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VEB 2017 Projections Results: Jedd Gyorko

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Here are Jedd Gyorko’s projections.

Pittsburgh Pirates v St Louis Cardinals Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images

Thanks again for your participation. This is what we said when we asked for Jedd Gyorko projections:

If I’d told you even just a couple years ago that the Cardinals team leader in HRs, heading into their age 28 season, might not be an “everyday player”, your head would explode. But baseball is weird now, and that is exactly the story with Jedd Gyorko.

Gyorko - who showed early promise in San Diego but had faded - came to St. Louis in what looked like it might have just been a salary-relief exchange with the Padres. He got into 128 games last year, including at least 10 at each infield position, and not only led the team with 30 home runs, but sent balls over the wall at a Mark McGwire pace.

Gyorko seems like a likely candidate for some regression, particularly in that 24% HR/FB rate. His position and playing time also seem a bit unclear. If you believe Jhonny Peralta and Kolten Wong will be the primary 3rd and 2nd basemen, Gyorko could be slated again for a similar infield super-sub role.

You can look at various projections like ZiPS here, Steamer here, and Baseball Prospectus ($) projections on their player pages to get a gauge on what some systems are saying.

Here is what you said:

Jedd Gyorko PA HR RBI R SB BA OBP SLG WAR
VEB 435 24 60 54 2 0.253 0.309 0.465 2.7
Steamer 456 20 61 50 2 0.249 0.311 0.443 1.3
ZiPS 477 22 70 55 1 0.246 0.306 0.441 1.9
PECOTA 434 19 59 50 1 0.243 0.303 0.432 0.6