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VEB 2017 Projections Results: Aledmys Diaz

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Here are his projections

Pittsburgh Pirates v St Louis Cardinals Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images

Thanks for participating. This is what we said when we asked for submissions on Aledmys Diaz:

Last season, we ran projections for Aledmys Diaz on March 11, after Jhonny Peralta was injured, assuming that he might be in line for some playing time. By the time we rolled around to revealing the projections, the Cardinals had signed Ruben Tejada, Diaz didn’t even make the Opening Day roster, and I didn’t even bother to publish the results.

Here is what everyone thought Diaz would do:

314 PA

10 HR

40 RBI

42 R

6 SB

.268 BA

.321 OBP

.425 SLG

1.7 WAR

Here’s what he did:

460 PA

17 HR

65 RBI

71 R

4 SB

.300 BA

.369 OBP

.510 SLG

2.7 WAR

Pretty disappointing in that stolen base department, huh?

Absent an injury (fingers crossed), Diaz figures to get a full season of playing time at shortstop. If he were to even repeat last year’s numbers that would be a big success. As for other projections, you can find ZiPS here, Steamer here, and Baseball Prospectus ($) on their player pages.

How do you think Diaz will do?

Here’s what you said:

Aledmys Diaz PA HR RBI Runs SB BA OBP SLG WAR
VEB 561 20 77 86 9 .291 .357 .499 3.3
Steamer 556 16 64 71 7 .283 .342 .454 2.5
ZiPS 511 15 62 64 8 .268 .325 .439 2.1
PECOTA 623 21 72 81 6 .270 .329 .452 1.6