A Midseason Check on Preseason Hitter Projections

Remember before the season started when we were all so confident about how all the Cardinals would do? Let's check in on our conventional wisdom by looking at the hitters.

	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	WAR
Matt Carpenter	351	56	14	53	0	0.298	0.420	0.568	3.1
PACE	646	103	26	98	0	0.298	0.420	0.568	5.7

PRETTY GOOD.

	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	WAR
Matt Holliday	329	36	15	52	0	0.241	0.316	0.451	0.7
PACE	605	66	28	96	0	0.241	0.316	0.451	1.3

Undershot the homers and overshot the average, and on-base percentage which has caused a lower WAR. We'll see if he can't get that straightened out in the second half.

	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	WAR
Kolten Wong	207	23	1	10	3	0.239	0.329	0.306	0.2
PACE	381	42	2	18	6	0.239	0.329	0.306	0.4

Pretty disappointing first half for Wong.

	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	WAR
Stephen Piscotty	357	53	11	48	4	0.295	0.370	0.480	2.4
PACE	657	98	20	88	7	0.295	0.370	0.480	4.4

Progress Report: Exceeds Expectations

	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	WAR
Randal Grichuk	247	34	10	31	3	0.226	0.287	0.425	0.4
PACE	454	63	18	57	6	0.226	0.287	0.425	0.7

Silly, optimistic VEB.

	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	WAR
Yadier Molina	322	30	2	28	2	0.259	0.329	0.341	0.4
PACE	592	55	4	52	4	0.259	0.329	0.341	0.7

Sadly not too far off, except of course plate appearances.

	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	WAR
Brandon Moss	250	40	17	40	0	0.256	0.344	0.566	1.3
PACE	460	74	31	74	0	0.256	0.344	0.566	2.4

Definitely better than expected.

There are a few other players I did not make charts for. One of particular interest now, but perhaps less so at the beginning of the season:

	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	WAR
Aledmys Diaz	334	57	13	48	3	0.315	0.38	0.536	2.4
PACE	615	105	24	88	6	0.315	0.38	0.536	4.4
Projections	314	40	10	42	6	0.268	.321	0.425	1.7

He's got them beat already, it would seem. Here's another guy.

	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	WAR
Jedd Gyorko	166	20	7	21		0.242	0.301	0.412	0.7
PACE	305	37	13	39		0.242	0.301	0.412	1.3
Projections	356	44	14	50	3	0.26	0.323	0.421	1.7

Sounds about right.

	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	WAR
Matt Adams	212	24	10	36		0.265	0.311	0.474	0.4
PACE	390	44	18	66		0.265	0.311	0.474	0.7
Projections	334	37	12	46	1	0.261	0.307	0.418	1.1

Not too bad.

We'll take a look at pitchers another day.