clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

A Midseason Check on Preseason Hitter Projections

How did everybody do?

Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Remember before the season started when we were all so confident about how all the Cardinals would do? Let's check in on our conventional wisdom by looking at the hitters.

PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG WAR
Matt Carpenter 351 56 14 53 0 0.298 0.420 0.568 3.1
PACE 646 103 26 98 0 0.298 0.420 0.568 5.7

Carpenter Projections 2016

PRETTY GOOD.

PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG WAR
Matt Holliday 329 36 15 52 0 0.241 0.316 0.451 0.7
PACE 605 66 28 96

0

0.241 0.316 0.451 1.3

Holliday projections

Undershot the homers and overshot the average, and on-base percentage which has caused a lower WAR. We'll see if he can't get that straightened out in the second half.

PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG WAR
Kolten Wong 207 23 1 10 3 0.239 0.329 0.306 0.2
PACE 381 42 2 18 6 0.239 0.329 0.306 0.4

wong projections

Pretty disappointing first half for Wong.

PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG WAR
Stephen Piscotty 357 53 11 48 4 0.295 0.370 0.480 2.4
PACE 657 98 20 88 7 0.295 0.370 0.480 4.4

piscottyproj

Progress Report: Exceeds Expectations

PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG WAR
Randal Grichuk 247 34 10 31 3 0.226 0.287 0.425 0.4
PACE 454 63 18 57 6 0.226 0.287 0.425 0.7

grichukproj

Silly, optimistic VEB.

PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG WAR
Yadier Molina 322 30 2 28 2 0.259 0.329 0.341 0.4
PACE 592 55 4 52 4 0.259 0.329 0.341 0.7

molinaproj

Sadly not too far off, except of course plate appearances.

PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG WAR
Brandon Moss 250 40 17 40 0 0.256 0.344 0.566 1.3
PACE 460 74 31 74 0 0.256 0.344 0.566 2.4

mossproj

Definitely better than expected.

There are a few other players I did not make charts for. One of particular interest now, but perhaps less so at the beginning of the season:

PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG WAR
Aledmys Diaz 334 57 13 48 3 0.315 0.38 0.536 2.4
PACE 615 105 24 88 6 0.315 0.38 0.536 4.4
Projections 314 40 10 42 6 0.268 .321 0.425 1.7

He's got them beat already, it would seem. Here's another guy.

PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG WAR
Jedd Gyorko 166 20 7 21 0.242 0.301 0.412 0.7
PACE 305 37 13 39 0.242 0.301 0.412 1.3
Projections 356 44 14 50 3 0.26 0.323 0.421 1.7

Sounds about right.

PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG WAR
Matt Adams 212 24 10 36 0.265 0.311 0.474 0.4
PACE 390 44 18 66 0.265 0.311 0.474 0.7
Projections 334 37 12 46 1 0.261 0.307 0.418 1.1

Not too bad.

We'll take a look at pitchers another day.