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Brandon Moss: 2016 VEB Community Projections

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VEB projections project

Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

Editor's Note: Two years ago, Site Manager Ben Humphrey asked readers to provide predictions for Cardinals baseball players. Last year, he renewed that request, and although Ben is in blogger retirement, we at VEB are re-renewing the request to predict how the Cardinals will do.

We will not get to every player on the 40-man roster, but we will get to most. There will not be a defined order for the players, but players most assured of playing time will go first so we can let some of Spring Training play out. We will ask for standard stats. For hitters: Plate Appearances, Home Runs, RBI (gasp!), Runs, Batting Average, On-Base Percentage, Slugging Percentage, and WAR. As trying to figure wOBA on is very difficult, we will use a rough approximation based on OBP and SLG ((1.7*OBP+SLG)/3). For pitchers: Starts, Games, Innings Pitched, K/9, BB/9, ERA, FIP, WAR, and Saves.

Next up: Brandon Moss

Moss is a tough one to project, both in quality of his play and the amount of time he gets. Moss is part of a five-players-for-three-position situation with Matt Adams, Stephen Piscotty, Randal Grichuk, and Tommy Pham. Ideally most of those guys stay healthy and Moss takes a lot of plate appearances against RHP but not many against LHP. Matheny has never used a straight platoon though, so its not an easy assumption

He also was likely recovering from lost muscle in his lower body last year, so it's not easy to say that 2015 was his new normal. Moss was much better from 2012-2014. At the same time, he's entering his age 32 season so those days may just be behind him. Here are his 2015 numbers:
G PA HR R RBI SB AVG OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ WAR
145 526 19 47 58 0 .226 .304 .407 .308 94 0.6
Here is his fangaphs page, which includes his career stats as well as Steamer and Zips projection.



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