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Stephen Piscotty: 2016 VEB Projections Results

We are high on Piscotty

By Craig Edwards
Craig Edwards

Editor's Note: Two years ago, Site Manager Ben Humphrey asked readers to provide predictions for Cardinals baseball players. Last year, he renewed that request, and although Ben is in blogger retirement, we at VEB renewed the request to predict how the Cardinals will do. The answers are now in, although projections are still out on many players if you have not yet made one.

We received 190 responses for Stephen Piscotty. When we originally asked for projections, we said this:

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Stephen Piscotty


PA HR R RBI SB AVG OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ WAR
MLB 256 7 29 39 2 .305 .359 .494 .364 133 1.1
AAA 372 11 54 41 5 .272 .366 .475 .373 125 NA

By the power of Grayskull, 2015 was the year Stephen Piscotty proclaimed, "I have the power."

Last Spring, the chatter surrounding Piscotty was that he had made adjustments to his swing in an effort to tap into more power. Normally, I file "offseason adjustment" stories in the same pile as "best shape of his life" stories. But Piscotty delivered on his promise, to the tune of a nearly 100 point bump in his isolated power at AAA, which carried over to his 256 MLB PAs last season.

So the Stephen Piscotty Developed Power narrative is alive and well, and may well be true. But the story still ends with an asterisk and a footnote about small sample size. Expecting a little regression after a breakout season seems reasonable, but how much?

Piscotty's FanGraphs player page with Steamer projection can be found here while Dan Szymborski's 2016 Cardinals ZiPS can be found here.

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As is often the case with Cardinals, VEB loves Stephen Piscotty

piscottyproj

Looks like seven stolen bases is the consensus, Steamer hates Piscotty and VEB buys the power of Piscotty while believing he will be able to hit for average as well.

As always, thank you for your help. Here is the full list of projections.

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