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Adam Wainwright: 2016 VEB Projections Results

Wainwright's back according to VEB.

Craig Edwards

Editor's Note: Two years ago, Site Manager Ben Humphrey asked readers to provide predictions for Cardinals baseball players. Last year, he renewed that request, and although Ben is in blogger retirement, we at VEB renewed the request to predict how the Cardinals will do. The answers are now in, although projections are still out on many players if you have not yet made one.

We received 167 responses to Adam Wainwright's projections. Back when we asked for your help, we said this:


2014 32 32 227.0 7.10 1.98 2.38 2.88 4.8
2015 7 4 28.0 6.43 1.29 1.61 2.13 0.9

After missing nearly the entire 2015 season due to an unfortunate Achilles tear, Wainwright appears poised for a big 2016. Frankly, for the Cardinals to have a legitimate shot at winning the National League Central over the Cubs and Pirates, their ace, who is tabbed to start Opening Day for the fourth straight season, will need to find his name in the comeback player of the year discussion. Fortunately, an underrated aspect of not being able to pitch much last year is the fact that Wainwright's throwing elbow was given basically another full year to recover after being operated on in the offseason after the 2014 season.

As Alex Crisafulli wrote last month, "Somehow from where I'm sitting there's nothing to be worried about because [Wainwright's] been one of the best pitchers in baseball and that should continue into 2016." So how do you project "one of the best pitchers in baseball" who turns 35 years of age in August? It may not be an easy task, but it is definitely a fun one, and I have a feeling the VEB community will be rather bullish with its projection.

Wainwright's FanGraphs player page with Steamer projection can be found here while Dan Szymborski's 2016 Cardinals ZiPS can be found here.


Here is what you had to say:

wainwright proj

ZiPS does not believe in the durability, Steamer does not believe in the performance, but VEB believes in both and a return to form. The complete answers are available here.