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Kevin Siegrist: 2016 VEB Projections Results

See what you had to say about Siegrist


Editor's Note: Two years ago, Site Manager Ben Humphrey asked readers to provide predictions for Cardinals baseball players. Last year, he renewed that request, and although Ben is in blogger retirement, we at VEB renewed the request to predict how the Cardinals will do. The answers are now in, although projections are still out on many players if you have not yet made one.

We received 79 responses on Kevin Siegrist, the lefty setup man for the Cardinals. When we asked for responses, we said this:


In a sandwich, we typically put the best part of the sandwich in the middle. If Kevin Siegrist's career up to this point were a sandwich, we would do the opposite. After a great 2013 season for the Cardinals, Siegrist had a disappointing, injury-filled 2014 campaign. He rebounded last year to have a fantastic season for the Cardinals, emerging as the primary setup man to Trevor Rosenthal after Jordan Walden went down with an injury. This is how Siegrist did last season:

Kevin Siegrist SV IP K/9 BB/9 BABIP GB% ERA FIP xFIP WAR
2015 6 74.2 10.85 4.1 0.271 31.1 % 2.17 2.91 3.93 1.3

Expecting 74.2 innings again might be a bit much, but if healthy, he should produce. He is working on a curve this spring to add to his repertoire. His FanGraphs profile, including Steamer projections can be found here, and the Cardinals ZiPS projections can be found here.


Second Editor's Note: After a brief discussion in the comments regarding me asking you to try and calculate WAR and the difficulty with that task, as well as the possibility of high number skewing the results, I have decided, for the purposes of these projections, to eliminate the highest and lowest 7.5% of WAR predictions and go with the average of the middle 85%.

This is what you had to say.

Siegrist projections

We still have the same issues with WAR, which can be tricky for relievers. VEB is confident that Siegrist can put up better walk rates and repeat last season's success. The full list of responses can be found here. Thanks for your help.