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Matt Holliday: 2016 VEB Projections Results

See what the community said about Holliday this year.

Craig Edwards

Editor's Note: Two years ago, Site Manager Ben Humphrey asked readers to provide predictions for Cardinals baseball players. Last year, he renewed that request, and although Ben is in blogger retirement, we at VEB renewed the request to predict how the Cardinals will do. The answers are now in, although projections are still out on many players if you have not yet made one.

We received 225 responses for Matt Holliday's projections. Back when we asked for your projections, we said this: ...

Matt Holliday has been a model of consistency with the Cardinals. There were fears at the beginning of 2014 that his power had been sapped and he was no longer the threat he was once was, but a fantastic second half saw him end the season with 20 home runs, a 132 wRC+ and 3.6 WAR. That year was the ninth straight season Holliday hit 20 home runs or more, but that streak came to an end last year. Holliday was not hitting for a lot of power last year, but he never got a chance to rebound with a great second half as hamstring injuries prevented him from playing for much of the season.

Holliday still managed a solid on-base percentage in limited time.

2015 277 4 24 35 2 0.279 0.394 0.410 0.351 .9

Holliday will have to answer some questions this season, but he is bringing his large arms back for at least one more season in St. Louis and the 36-year-old probably thinks he has something to prove. You can view his player page at Fangraphs or the Cardinals ZiPS if you feel it might aid you in your task below:


Second Editor's Note: After a brief discussion in the comments regarding me asking you to try and calculate WAR and the difficulty with that task, as well as the possibility of high number skewing the results, I have decided, for the purposes of these projections, to eliminate the highest and lowest 7.5% of WAR predictions and go with the average of the middle 85%.

Here is what you said:

Holliday projections

VEB is optimistic, but not outrageously above the rest of the projections. ZiPS is not a fan of Holliday, but that has been true for several years, and up until last year, Holliday had been able to beat them. The biggest difference occurs at batting average, where VEB sees a bounceback to something closer to 2013 Holliday.

Thanks for your projections. Here is the spreadsheet with the full list.