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Alex Reyes: 2016 VEB Projections

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What and how, if anything, will Reyes contribute in 2016?

Editor's Note: Two years ago, Site Manager Ben Humphrey asked readers to provide predictions for Cardinals baseball players. Last year, he renewed that request, and although Ben is in blogger retirement, we at VEB are re-renewing the request to predict how the Cardinals will do.

We will not get to every player on the 40-man roster, but we will get to most. There will not be a defined order for the players, but players most assured of playing time will go first so we can let some of Spring Training play out. We will ask for standard stats. For hitters: Plate Appearances, Home Runs, RBI (gasp!), Runs, Batting Average, On-Base Percentage, Slugging Percentage, and WAR. As trying to figure wOBA on is very difficult, we will use a rough approximation based on OBP and SLG ((1.7*OBP+SLG)/3). For pitchers: Starts, Games, Innings Pitched, K/9, BB/9, ERA, FIP, WAR, and Saves.

Next up: Alex Reyes.

Reyes is one to watch for in the second half of 2016. He's certainly the Cardinals' top prospect and basically a consensus top 10 prospect at this point due to a fantastic fastball and deadly breaking ball, and at this point is only lacking in his ability to command his repertoire. But for the first couple months or so of the season, Reyes will of course be serving a 50-game suspension for failing a second drug test for marijuana. He'll certainly be working on his craft in the meantime though, and once he's playing games again he immediately becomes someone that the org could possibly call upon to fill a hole in the rotation or the bullpen. Or, maybe he still can't find the necessary command to retire MLB hitters and we don't see him at all in the majors in 2016. Things could go several ways for Reyes this year, what do you think ends up happening?

His stats in 2015, by level:
ar

His fangraphs profile, which contains his Steamer projection, can be found here. Reyes' ZiPS projection can be found here.

Second Editor's Note: I created the form so that all pitcher forms are identical. You see starts there for Siegrist. Presumably you will enter 0 for him. All the starters will have saves on their forms. This makes the data easier to collect. Thank you for your understanding. I did not include games/appearances because innings should suffice for these projections. Thanks.


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