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Kevin Siegrist: 2016 VEB Projections

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VEB Projections Project

Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Editor's Note: Two years ago, Site Manager Ben Humphrey asked readers to provide predictions for Cardinals baseball players. Last year, he renewed that request, and although Ben is in blogger retirement, we at VEB are re-renewing the request to predict how the Cardinals will do.

We will not get to every player on the 40-man roster, but we will get to most. There will not be a defined order for the players, but players most assured of playing time will go first so we can let some of Spring Training play out. We will ask for standard stats. For hitters: Plate Appearances, Home Runs, RBI (gasp!), Runs, Batting Average, On-Base Percentage, Slugging Percentage, and WAR. As trying to figure wOBA on is very difficult, we will use a rough approximation based on OBP and SLG ((1.7*OBP+SLG)/3). For pitchers: Starts, Games, Innings Pitched, K/9, BB/9, ERA, FIP, WAR, and Saves.

Up next Cardinals reliever, Kevin Siegrist. In a sandwich, we typically put the best part of the sandwich in the middle. If Kevin Siegrist's career up to this point were a sandwich, we would do the opposite. After a great 2013 season for the Cardinals, Siegrist had a disappointing, injury-filled 2014 campaign. He rebounded last year to have a fantastic season for the Cardinals, emerging as the primary setup man to Trevor Rosenthal after Jordan Walden went down with an injury. This is how Siegrist did last season:

Kevin Siegrist SV IP K/9 BB/9 BABIP GB% ERA FIP xFIP WAR
2015 6 74.2 10.85 4.1 0.271 31.1 % 2.17 2.91 3.93 1.3

Expecting 74.2 innings again might be a bit much, but if healthy, he should produce. He is working on a curve this spring to add to his repertoire. His FanGraphs profile, including Steamer projections can be found here, and the Cardinals ZiPS projections can be found here. So how will he do this season?

Second Editor's Note: I created the form so that all pitcher forms are identical. You see starts there for Siegrist. Presumably you will enter 0 for him. All the starters will have saves on their forms. This makes the data easier to collect. Thank you for your understanding. I did not include games/appearances because innings should suffice for these projections. Thanks.

Thanks for your help. In case you missed any previous projections, they are listed and linked below.

Matt Carpenter 2016 Projections

Jhonny Peralta 2016 Projections

Trevor Rosenthal 2016 Projections

Matt Holliday 2016 Projections

Mike Leake 2016 Projections