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Today we're taking a look at the 2015 VEB Community projection results for righthander Carlos Martinez. Martinez has made eight starts in his major-league career and tallied 117 2/3 innings total. If Martinez beats out Marco Gonzales for the fifth-starter spot in the St. Louis rotation, this will be his first season as a full-time starter. Given Martinez's low IP total in the majors and short track record as a big-leaguer (and even shorter one as a major-league starter), it's not surprising that the various projection systems have wide-ranging forecasts for him this 2015 season.
The following graphic compares the 2015 Martinez projections from the following:
- VEB (an average of the VEB Community projection submissions)
- PECOTA (Baseball Prospectus, using their weighted means spreadsheet)
- ZiPS (by Dan Szymborski and available for free at Fangraphs and a downloadable spreadsheet)
- Steamer (freely viewable on Fangraphs)
- Oliver (by Bill Cartwright and freely downloadable)
Highest 5 IP:
- dr. howl, 185
- jlh56ks, 180
- ShannonIsn'tSober, 174
- Jacksonian, 169 2/3
- Glong22, 169
- Craig Edwards, 168 (I know this is supposed to be the highest five, but Craig is so close I included him)
Lowest 5 IP:
- mattr262, 85
- dronemc, 87
- VanHicklestein, 110
- azta, 118
- Ben Cerutti, 125
Highest 5 K/9:
- mattr262, 12
- Chessed, 11
- blakeford77, 10.5
- YearOfGlad, 10.2
- StanTheManFan, 9.7
Lowest 5 K/9:
- BaseballFriend317, 6.9
- The Glove, 7
- apostle87, 7.25
- jlh56ks, 7.7
- azta, 7.71
Highest 5 BB/9:
- blakeford77, 4.3
- Ben Cerutti, 4.0
- Chessed, 4.0
- dronemc, 4.0
- wizardofoz1982, 3.7
Lowest 5 BB/9:
- Cardsfan7575, 2.0
- dr. howl, 2.1
- jlh56ks, 2.2
- PhillyRedbird, 2.5
- Hornsby74, 2.68
Highest 5 ERA:
- BaseballFriend317, 4.33
- Chessed, 4.27
- vances law, 4.10
- StanTheManFan, 4.01
- zoomzoomj88, 3.94
Lowest 5 ERA:
- mattr262, 2.50
- jlh56ks, 2.9
- ldr, 2.80
- ShannonIsn'tSober, 2.93
- dr. howl, 2.99
Highest 5 FIP:
- BaseballFriend317, 4.67
- Chessed, 4.20
- janascii, 3.85
- Jacksonian, 3.78
- StanTheManFan, 3.77
Lowest 5 FIP:
- CrimsonStorm94, 2.75
- dr. howl, 2.87
- giveml, 2.89
- Joe Schwarz, 2.95
- cards675, 2.95
Highest 5 Pitching "Wins":
- jlh56ks, 20
- dr. howl, 16
- ShannonIsn'tSober, 16
- The Glove, 15
- CrimsonStorm94, 13
- giveml, 13
- ISawVishnuInGibby'sRightArm, 13
- lightbulb, 13
- Cardsfan7575, 13
- jppv86, 13
Lowest 5 Pitching "Wins":
- dronemc, 4
- mattr262, 5
- The Continental, 7
- azta, 7
- Ben Cerutti, 8
- StanTheManFan, 8
Highest 5 Pitching "Losses":
- mister_manager, 10
- Cardsfan7575, 10
- VanHickelstein, 9
- BaseballFriend317, 9
- DisplacedCardsFan, 9
- janascii, 9
- Chessed, 9