Michael Wacha - 2015 VEB Community projection results

The unveiling of the 2015 St. Louis Cardinals projections by the VEB Community continues. So far, we've published the VEB Community's collective forecasts for Adam Wainwright and Matt Adams. Today we reveal how the VEB Community believes Michael Wacha will perform in 2015 (and how healthy he will be).

The following graphic compares 2015 Adams projections from the following:

• VEB (an average of the VEB Community projection submissions)
• PECOTA (Baseball Prospectus, using their weighted means spreadsheet)
• ZiPS (by Dan Szymborski and available for free at Fangraphs and a downloadable spreadsheet)
• Steamer (freely viewable on Fangraphs)
• Oliver (by Bill Cartwright and freely downloadable)

First of all, the PECOTA weighted means spreadsheet and Wacha need to get a room. How are we supposed to maintain our status as the Best Fans in Baseball when the homerest of the 2015 Wacha projections comes from an unfeeling projection system originally created by Nate Silver and since made even more complex and unfeeling?

As for VEB, I feel like maybe all of the writers' regularly bringing up Wainwright and Wacha's health may have resulted in a more measured set of predictions for the righties from the community. The VEB Community projections for Wacha are so sensible, it's ridiculous. If Wacha is healthy—and the IP total is easily the rosiest of the VEB projections for him, in my view—an 8.18 K/9, 2.60 BB/9, 3.16 ERA, and 3.17 FIP are reasonable numbers to expect from the Aggie. I'm also quite pleased at how closely the VEB Community forecasted FIP lines up with our projected ERA. Good form, VEBers.

Here are the highest and lowest submissions from VEB Community members.

Total Submissions: 104

Highest 5 IP:

Lowest 5 IP:

Lowest 5 K/9:

Highest 5 BB/9:

Lowest 5 BB/9:

Highest 5 ERA:

Lowest 5 ERA:

Highest 5 FIP:

1. RDChris85, 4.37
2. blstrahan04, 4.27
3. adommin, 4.10
4. giveml, 4.02
5. rusty8678, 3.77

Lowest 5 FIP:

1. Chessed, 2.10
2. CardsRule, 2.17
3. Cardsfan7575, 2.41
4. Mississippi Cards fan, 2.50
5. wmb1, 2.60

Highest 5 Pitching "Wins":

1. CardsRule, 21
2. CARDSNATIONJNKY, 18
3. Hornsby74, 18
4. go crazy, 18
5. Yomama, 18

Lowest 5 Pitching "Wins":

1. praxpop, 6
2. zipperz, 6
3. Jadey13, 7
4. mattr262, 8
5. guayzimi, 8

Highest 5 Pitching "Losses":

1. ArkansasTravs, 11
2. SBOTB, 10
3. mister_manager, 10
4. janascii, 10
5. STLCards2, 9
6. jppv86, 9
7. Glong22, 9
8. dr. howl, 9
9. Cardsfan7575, 9
10. cards675, 9
11. Fredtastical, 9

Lowest 5 Pitching "Losses":