How many games will the Cardinals win in 2014?: The average was 89.66. In the pre-season, VEB projected the Cardinals to finish in the neighborhood of 96 wins, a .592 winning %. If the Cardinals play .592 ball for the remainder of this season, they'd win 92 games, so the hivemind has slightly lowered confidence in the Cardinals relative to before the season began. Given that some of the early season concerns are likely to continue, that seems reasonable.
Everything else can be summed up in pie charts. It's a mixed-bag, and I think the responses are pretty reasonable here overall, though the 19 people who think Waino will end up outside the top-two in the CY can go to hell. It seems like confidence in the individual players I asked about has slipped a little, but nothing too precipitous outside of some real concerns about Shelby and Rosie. I apologize for the wonky formatting. Where's the damn tech intern?
Who will win the division?
|
|
The Brewers (25-14) |
|
44 |
15% |
The Cardinals (20-20) |
|
241 |
81% |
The Reds (17-20) |
|
6 |
2% |
The Pirates (16-22) |
|
5 |
2% |
|
I expect Matt Carpenter to be _____ for the rest of the season
|
|
His 2013 MVP-caliber self |
|
20 |
7% |
Not MVP-caliber, but very good |
|
218 |
74% |
what he's been so far in 2014, sorta mediocre. |
|
58 |
20% |
|
I expect Matt Holliday to be _____ for the rest of the season
|
|
His 2013 4.5 WAR self |
|
102 |
34% |
Not 4.5 WAR but very good |
|
149 |
50% |
what he's been so far in 2014, sorta mediocre. |
|
45 |
15% |
|
I expect Matt Adams' power to
|
|
Heat up with the weather, 25+ HR by the end of the year |
|
51 |
17% |
Reach a simmer, 15-24 dingers |
|
200 |
68% |
Remain at room-temperature. Under 15 homers |
|
45 |
15% |
|
Allen Craig is
|
|
going to be his old self soon |
|
142 |
48% |
declining |
|
134 |
45% |
a corpse |
|
20 |
7% |
|
Adam Wainwright is
|
|
going to finally win the cy young (RIP, Jose Fernandez) |
|
193 |
65% |
going to get second in the cy young competition |
|
84 |
28% |
null field |
|
19 |
6% |
|
Michael Wacha is
|
|
already a top fifteen pitcher in the NL |
|
91 |
31% |
exciting, but let's not get carried away |
|
186 |
63% |
going to struggle as the league sees more of him |
|
19 |
6% |
|
Trevor Rosenthal is going to end the season
|
|
Among the NL saves leaders and with a shiny ERA |
|
115 |
39% |
as a mediocre closer or in middle-relief |
|
132 |
45% |
on the DL |
|
49 |
17% |
|
Who ends the season with the most fWAR?
|
|
Jhonny Peralta (1.5) |
|
39 |
13% |
Yadier Molina (1.2) |
|
229 |
77% |
Matt Carpenter (0.4) |
|
7 |
2% |
Matt Holliday (0.1) |
|
21 |
7% |
|
Shelby Miller will end the season
|
|
in the rotation |
|
160 |
54% |
on the DL |
|
57 |
19% |
in the minors |
|
25 |
8% |
in the bullpen |
|
54 |
18%
|
|