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2014 VEB Community Projection Results: Shelby Miller

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Rob Carr

So small sample size and all of that, but it seems like VEB's projections for pitchers track the professional projections systems much closer than the hitter projections. K/9 are similar, BB/9 are similar, and ERA are all pretty similar as well.


W

L

IP

K/9

BB/9

ERA

Oliver

9

8

156

8.69

3.28

3.97

Steamer

11

9

153

8.84

3.37

3.59

PECOTA

10

12

168

8.50

2.80

4.19

ZiPS

15

9

175

8.81

2.83

3.30

VEB(51)

14

8

184

8.74

2.94

3.38


Image_medium

Moving onto the quartiles, there actually is quite a bit of variation. The minimum K/9 is 6.70, while the maximum is 10.10. BB/9 ranges from 2.35 to 3.40, and ERA ranges almost 2 whole points, from 2.62 to 4.53. However, looking at the VEB Low and VEB high, the two ERAs only differentiate by about .65 points of BB/9


W

L

IP

K/9

BB/9

ERA

Minimum Values

7

11

110

6.70

3.40

4.53

25th Percentile

13

10

181

8.50

3.09

3.54

50th Percentile

15

8

190

8.87

2.95

3.31

75h Percentile

16

7

195

9.00

2.80

3.20

Maximum Values

17

4

215

10.10

2.35

2.62




W

L

IP

K/9

BB/9

ERA

VEB Low ERA (mattrsiu)

15

7

175

9

2.35

2.62

VEB High ERA

(AAA)

11

11

201

9.5

3.00

4.53





CELEBRITY DOPPELGANGER: There is no consensus whatsoever, so, Josh Hutcherson, I guess? Good job Stevo5!