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*2014 VEB Community Projection Results: Lance Lynn

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Jeff Hanisch-US PRESSWIRE

All of the projections are... remarkably similar for Lance Lynn. VEB is a little bit optimistic on wins, but other than that, everything is almost spot on with each other. As usual, PECOTA's the most pessimistic, seeing Lynn with a 12-13 record and a 3.89 ERA, but that's certainly not unrealistic at all. With our offense, it's hard to imagine that record with that ERA, but W/L are weird stats to start with! K/9 all are between 8.30 and 8.76, BB/9 are all between 3.10 and 3.29, while ERA are all between 3.52 and 3.89. Crazy.


W

L

IP

K/9

BB/9

ERA

Oliver

11

8

173

8.68

3.22

3.59

Steamer

11

9

163

8.52

3.29

3.66

PECOTA

12

13

192

8.30

3.10

3.89

ZiPS

13

9

174

8.60

3.21

3.52

VEB(66)

15

9

198

8.77

3.18

3.63


2014_veb_projections_--_lynn_--_comp

For the VEB projections, despite a relatively small spread in BB/9, K/9, and ERA, there seems like a humongous spread in ERA; VEB is projecting anywhere from 2.7 to 4.15


W

L

IP

K/9

BB/9

ERA

Minimum Values

7

13

120

6.00

4.50

4.15

25th Percentile

15

10

190

8.50

3.30

3.84

50th Percentile

16

9

200

8.90

3.16

3.69

75h Percentile

16

8

210

9.05

3.00

3.47

Maximum Values

21

3

281

10.10

2.25

2.70



W

L

IP

K/9

BB/9

ERA

VEB Low ERA (chargerfox)

18

6

210

9

3

2.7

VEB High ERA

(mojitomondays)

13

11

181

7.1

3.5

4.15

Image_medium

Link to spreadsheet

CELEBRITY DOPPELGANGER: Wil Wheaton, I guess? He got two votes, and they are conveniently close to each other in the spreadsheet, so we're gonna go with that. Although Vera Fermiga is a very close match, I couldn't quite go with her.

Tumblr_lkmmv52wm61qz9bu3o1_400_medium 6039324_medium

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