FanPost

2014 St. Louis Cardinals Projected Stats

This is one of my favorite pieces I write every year because I love to see how my projections rank up with how the Cardinals actually do throughout the season. It makes me pay a bit more attention in the off-season and helps me to take more of a "big-picture" view of what the team looks like as a whole.

Starters will be listed first at each of the position groupings. Anyone listed in bold is a player I predict to be on the 25 man roster to start the year. Anyone listed in italics are alternates to those listed - such as Audrey Perez being an alternate for Tony Cruz as the backup catcher. Without further ado, here I go.

Catchers


Yadier Molina

525 plate appearances

.313/.358/.483/.841

37 doubles, 0 triples, 16 homers, 65 runs, 76 RBI, 6 SB, 3 CS

6.4% BB rate, 9.7% K rate, .322 BABIP, .170 ISO

Tony Cruz

155 plate appearances

.231/.265/.340/.605

8 doubles, 1 triple, 2 homers, 14 runs, 16 RBI, 0 SB, 1 CS

3.9% BB rate, 18.1% K rate, .271 BABIP, .109 ISO

Audrey Perez

155 plate appearances

.212/.226/.311/.537

6 doubles, 0 triples, 3 homers, 12 runs, 17 RBI, 0 SB, 0 CS

1.3% BB rate, 17.4% K rate, .238 BABIP, .099 ISO


Infielders


Matt Adams

550 plate appearances

.282/.329/.520/.849

29 doubles, 1 triple, 30 homers, 76 runs, 91 RBI, 1 SB, 2 CS

6.5% BB rate, 22.9% K rate, .319 BABIP, .237 ISO

Kolten Wong

500 plate appearances

.265/.324/.389/.713

20 doubles, 6 triples, 8 homers, 66 runs, 41 RBI, 19 SB, 6 CS

7.6% BB rate, 14.2% K rate, .296 BABIP, .124 ISO

Jhonny Peralta

550 plate appearances

.281/.336/.437/.773

32 doubles, 2 triples, 14 homers, 60 runs, 68 RBI, 2 SB, 3 CS

7.8% BB rate, 19.3% K rate, .327 BABIP, .156 ISO

Matt Carpenter

700 plate appearances

.304/.386/.465/.851

48 doubles, 7 triples, 12 homers, 108 runs, 81 RBI, 3 SB, 4 CS

11.1% BB rate, 14.6% K rate, .344 BABIP, .162 ISO

Mark Ellis

200 plate appearances

.261/.315/.361/.676

7 doubles, 1 triple, 3 homers, 22 runs, 17 RBI, 3 SB, 1 CS

6.5% BB rate, 15.5% K rate, .293 BABIP, .100 ISO

Daniel Descalso

200 plate appearances

.242/.300/.354/.654

10 doubles, 2 triples, 2 homers, 21 runs, 18 RBI, 3 SB, 1 CS

7.5% BB rate, 17.5% K rate, .281 BABIP, .112 ISO

Pete Kozma

200 plate appearances

.221/.280/.309/.589

8 doubles, 1 triple, 2 homers, 21 runs, 20 RBI, 2 SB, 1 CS

8.0% BB rate, 19.0% K rate, .264 BABIP, .088 ISO


Greg Garcia

200 plate appearances

.250/.350/.363/.713

9 doubles, 2 triples, 2 homers, 25 runs, 16 RBI, 5 SB, 2 CS

12.0% BB rate, 18.0% K rate, .299 BABIP, .113 ISO


Outfielders


Matt Holliday

600 plate appearances

.298/.387/.498/.885

33 doubles, 1 triple, 23 homers, 95 runs, 91 RBI, 5 SB, 2 CS

11.3% BB rate, 16.7% K rate, .330 BABIP, .200 ISO

Jon Jay

500 plate appearances

.289/.350/.393/.743

22 doubles, 3 triples 6 homers, 62 runs, 47 RBI, 11 SB, 5 CS

7.4% BB rate, 15.6% K rate, .329 BABIP, .105 ISO

Allen Craig

550 plate appearances

.309/.364/.483/.847

31 doubles, 1 triple, 18 homers, 75 runs, 97 RBI, 3 SB, 0 CS

7.1% BB rate, 17.5% K rate, .350 BABIP, .174 ISO


Peter Bourjos

300 plate appearances

.257/.313/.403/.716

11 doubles, 5 triples, 6 homers, 43 runs, 25 RBI, 8 SB, 2 CS

6.0% BB rate, 23.3% K rate, .317 BABIP, .146 ISO

Shane Robinson

200 plate appearances

.257/.335/.366/.701

6 doubles, 2 triples, 3 homers, 27 runs, 17 RBI, 5 SB, 1 CS

10.5% BB rate, 12.5% K rate, .280 BABIP, .109 ISO

Oscar Taveras

300 plate appearances

.292/.343/.482/.825

19 doubles, 3 triples, 9 homers, 40 runs, 47 RBI, 5 SB, 2 CS

6.7% BB rate, 13.3% K rate, .311 BABIP, .190 ISO

some combination of ~50 plate appearances from:


Stephen Piscotty

.239/.300/.348/.648

2 doubles, 0 triples, 1 homer, 4 runs, 5 RBI, 1 SB, 1 CS

6.0% BB rate, 12.0% K rate, .256 BABIP, .109 ISO


James Ramsey

.214/.320/.310/.630

1 doubles, 0 triples, 1 homer, 7 runs, 6 RBI, 1 SB, 0 CS

12.0% BB rate, 28.0% K rate, .286 BABIP, .095 ISO


Joey Butler

.279/.380/.395/.775

2 doubles, 0 triples, 1 homer, 7 runs, 6 RBI, 0 SB, 0 CS

12.0% BB rate, 26.0% K rate, .379 BABIP, .116 ISO


Randal Grichuk

.234/.280/.447/.727

2 doubles, 1 triples, 2 homers, 6 runs, 5 RBI, 1 SB, 1 CS

4.0% BB rate, 20.0% K rate, .257 BABIP, .213 ISO


Mike O'Neill

.286/.380/.333/.713

2 doubles, 0 triples, 0 homers, 6 runs, 3 RBI, 1 SB, 1 CS

14.0% BB rate, 8.0% K rate, .308 BABIP, .048 ISO

Starting Pitchers


Adam Wainwright

33 starts, 223 2/3 innings pitched, 6.778 IP/start

1.127 WHIP, 8.5 H/9, 0.6 HR/9

8.2 K/9, 1.6 BB/9, 4.98 K:BB

3.30 ERA, 2.65 FIP

Lance Lynn

33 starts, 209 innings pitched, 6.333 IP/start

1.316 WHIP, 8.5 H/9, 0.6 HR/9

8.9 K/9, 3.3 BB/9, 2.68 K:BB

3.88 ERA, 3.12 FIP

Shelby Miller

32 starts, 191 innings pitched, 5.969 IP/start

1.288 WHIP, 8.3 H/9, 1.0 HR/9

9.3 K/9, 3.3 BB/9, 2.86 K:BB

3.53 ERA, 3.57 FIP

Michael Wacha

30 starts, 180 innings pitched, 6.000 IP/start

1.033 WHIP, 7.0 H/9, 0.9 HR/9

8.6 K/9, 2.3 BB/9, 3.74 K:BB

2.65 ERA, 3.14 FIP

Carlos Martinez

14 starts, 40 relief appearances, 110 total innings, 5.000 IP/start

1.318 WHIP, 8.4 H/9, 0.5 HR/9

8.0 K/9, 3.4 BB/9, 2.33 K:BB

3.44 ERA, 3.13 FIP

Joe Kelly

20 starts, 10 relief appearances, 130 total innings, 5.750 IP/start

1.385 WHIP, 9.2 H/9, 0.6 HR/9

6.1 K/9, 3.3 BB/9, 1.87 K:BB

3.12 ERA, 3.69 FIP


Bullpen

Trevor Rosenthal

70 games, 70 innings pitched

1.071 WHIP, 6.9 H/9, 0.5 HR/9

10.9 K/9, 2.7 BB/9, 4.05 K:BB

2.19 ERA, 2.27 FIP

Kevin Siegrist

70 games, 62 innings pitched

0.952 WHIP, 5.1 H/9, 0.4 HR/9

9.3 K/9, 3.5 BB/9, 2.67 K:BB

2.76 ERA, 2.78 FIP

Randy Choate

54 games, 30 innings pitched

1.100 WHIP, 6.3 H/9, 0.3 HR/9

8.4 K/9, 3.6 BB/9, 2.33 K:BB

2.70 ERA, 2.82 FIP

Seth Maness

70 games, 70 innings pitched

1.071 WHIP, 8.6 H/9, 0.6 HR/9

6.3 K/9, 1.0 BB/9, 6.13 K:BB (b/c rounding)

2.96 ERA, 2.93 FIP

Jason Motte

50 games, 50 innings pitched

1.020 WHIP, 6.8 H/9, 0.9 HR/9

9.0 K/9, 2.3 BB/9, 3.85 K:BB

3.24 ERA, 3.14 FIP

some combination of the following with two (likely Butler and Neshek) making the squad out of spring training:


Jorge Rondon

1.713 WHIP, 9.9 H/9, 0.7 HR/9

6.4 K/9, 5.5 BB/9, 1.16 K:BB

4.31 ERA, 4.51 FIP


Sam Freeman

1.300 WHIP, 7.8 H/9, 0.6 HR/9

7.5 K/9, 3.9 BB/9, 1.92 K:BB

3.60 ERA, 3.56 FIP


Tyler Lyons (assuming bullpen)

1.000 WHIP, 7.2 H/9, 0.6 HR/9

9.3 K/9, 1.8 BB/9, 5.17 K:BB

2.40 ERA, 2.46 FIP


Eric Fornataro

1.400 WHIP, 9.5 H/9, 0.5 HR/9

6.3 K/9, 3.2 BB/9, 2.00 K:BB

3.38 ERA, 3.36 FIP


Keith Butler

1.225 WHIP, 7.2 H/9, 0.7 HR/9

9.0 K/9, 3.8 BB/9, 2.35 K:BB

3.38 ERA, 3.31 FIP


Angel Castro

1.500 WHIP, 10.4 H/9, 0.7 HR/9

6.8 K/9, 3.2 BB/9, 2.14 K:BB

3.60 ERA, 3.58 FIP


Pat Neshek

1.275 WHIP, 8.3 H/9, 1.1 HR/9

7.2 K/9, 3.2 BB/9, 2.29 K:BB

4.05 ERA, 4.13 FIP


Scott McGregor

1.156 WHIP, 8.3 H/9, 0.9 HR/9

7.5 K/9, 2.1 BB/9, 3.49 K:BB

3.93 ERA, 3.52 FIP


Lee Stoppelman

1.140 WHIP, 6.6 H/9, 0.3 HR/9

9.5 K/9, 3.6 BB/9, 2.6 K:BB

1.54 ERA, 2.79 FIP