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2014 VEB Community Projection Results: Oscar Taveras

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Scott Rovak-USA TODAY Sports

I'm actually astounded at how VEB is not overly optimistic on Oscar Taveras, at least in comparison with the projections sytems. Sure, we still come out on top in terms of OPS and wOBA, but not by very much at all, and the .462 projected SLG (which sounds really, really high to me) is tied with Oliver. ZiPS comes in third highest with a .287/.331/.448 line and even that looks really optimistic. I'd be ecstatic if we got that out of Taveras' main competitor for playing time, Matt Adams, and this is a line projected for a 21-year-old who was injured all year.


PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

CS

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

wOBA

Oliver

600

75

18

79

9

4

0.285

0.327

0.462

0.789

0.341

Steamer

68

7

2

8

1

1

0.283

0.330

0.437

0.767

0.332

PECOTA

268

29

8

34

2

1

0.28

0.319

0.45

0.769

0.332

ZiPS

388

45

9

50

7

1

0.287

0.331

0.448

0.779

0.334

VEB

254

36

10

38

4

2

0.292

0.336

0.462

0.798

0.343


2014_veb_projections_--_graphic_--_taveras_--_comparative

Moving onto the quartiles: Of course that there's a lot of variation in playing time for OT. We're not sure he's going to see any time in the Majors at all this year, with relative depth at both OF and 1B, but all of the 25th-75th percentile projections look eminently reachable. If that indeed comes true, then that's a really special season for a 21-year-old (not quite Harper/Trout, but great nevertheless), and a great sign of things to come


PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

CS

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

wOBA

Minimum Values

75

9

0

10

0

0

0.246

0.300

0.375

0.700

0.301

25th Percentile

184

21

6

27

2

1

0.280

0.323

0.437

0.762

0.328

50th Percentile

250

34

9

35

4

1

0.290

0.332

0.460

0.790

0.339

75h Percentile

325

44

13

45

5

2

0.301

0.340

0.483

0.820

0.351

Maximum Values

484

102

20

87

12

5

0.337

0.392

0.600

0.950

0.425




PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

CS

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

wOBA

VEB Low OPS (Merry CRasmus)

75

9

3

11

0

0

0.275

0.325

0.375

0.700

0.311

VEB High OPS(mattrsiu)

350

61

18

61

4

2

0.319

0.350

0.600

0.950

0.400


2014_veb_projections_--_graphic_--_taveras




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