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2014 VEB Community Projection Results: Jaime Garcia

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USA TODAY Sports

For once, VEB comes out on the pessimistic side of projections. We have the lowest K/9, highest BB/9, and the 2nd highest ERA (after ZiPS). We seem to have a more pessimistic view (and, given his spring training, seemingly justifiably so), about his injury history than the professional projections, going deeper than just playing time issues.


W

L

IP

K/9

BB/9

ERA

Oliver

8

5

117

7.05

2.30

3.45

Steamer

9

8

134

7.03

2.50

3.62

PECOTA

4

4

66

7.30

2.30

3.59

ZiPS

7

6

116

7.20

2.24

3.79

VEB

9

6

129

6.83

2.78

3.74


Again, a lot of variability in playing time for Jaime. Wins range from 1-15, losses range from 1-10, and IP range all the way from 15-210. There is little doubt that Jaime is a very good when healthy, but he very probably is not. Makes him a tough read.

2014_veb_projections_--_garcia_--_comp


W

L

IP

K/9

BB/9

ERA

Minimum Values

1

10

15

4.50

4.50

5.80

25th Percentile

8

7

111

6.50

3.00

3.86

50th Percentile

10

6

139

7.00

2.62

3.68

75h Percentile

12

4

151

7.11

2.40

3.42

Maximum Values

15

1

210

8.00

2.00

2.99



W

L

IP

K/9

BB/9

ERA

VEB Low ERA (poop)

13

6

194

7.11

2.88

2.99

VEB High ERA

(Lagoo)

1

1

15

5.00

4.00

5.80



2014_veb_projections_--_garcia

CELEBRITY DOPPELGANGER: There's no plurality, so I'm just gonna go with my own: YOUNG DOUG STAMPER FROM HOUSE OF CARDS