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2014 VEB Community Projection Results: Michael Wacha

Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

It's really surprising to me that VEB isn't the most optimistic projection for Michael Wacha. With the emotional aspect of it, given his playoff success, I would have figured that the VEB fans would have been, by far, the highest on him but PECOTA actually projects Wacha for an 8.50 K/9, 2.30 BB/9, and a 3.01 ERA.


W

L

IP

K/9

BB/9

ERA

Oliver

8

6

124

7.17

2.39

3.48

Steamer

11

10

173

8.28

2.98

3.66

PECOTA

11

9

160

8.50

2.30

3.01

ZiPS

10

6

155

7.82

2.61

3.54

VEB

14

7

169

8.46

2.66

3.24


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Variations in IP have been the norm so far, but everything looks about normal. His high end projections are all really, really optimistic, in my opinion, and his minimum projections are far more likely than his maximum ones.


W

L

IP

K/9

BB/9

ERA

Minimum Values

9

10

100

6.00

4.00

4.00

25th Percentile

12

8

162

8.00

2.87

3.50

50th Percentile

14

7

170

8.50

2.67

3.26

75h Percentile

15

6

180

8.80

2.50

2.99

Maximum Values

22

3

215

10.00

1.98

2.09




W

L

IP

K/9

BB/9

ERA

VEB Low ERA (coopersmith2)

16

6

215

6.00

2.00

2.09

VEB High ERA

(callmesir)

14

9

197

8.00

2.00

4.00


Image_medium


CELEBRITY DOPPELGANGER: Pretty easy plurality for Adam Wainwright. You all are unimaginative fools.