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It's really surprising to me that VEB isn't the most optimistic projection for Michael Wacha. With the emotional aspect of it, given his playoff success, I would have figured that the VEB fans would have been, by far, the highest on him but PECOTA actually projects Wacha for an 8.50 K/9, 2.30 BB/9, and a 3.01 ERA.
|
|
W |
L |
IP |
K/9 |
BB/9 |
ERA |
|
Oliver |
8 |
6 |
124 |
7.17 |
2.39 |
3.48 |
|
Steamer |
11 |
10 |
173 |
8.28 |
2.98 |
3.66 |
|
PECOTA |
11 |
9 |
160 |
8.50 |
2.30 |
3.01 |
|
ZiPS |
10 |
6 |
155 |
7.82 |
2.61 |
3.54 |
|
VEB |
14 |
7 |
169 |
8.46 |
2.66 |
3.24 |
Variations in IP have been the norm so far, but everything looks about normal. His high end projections are all really, really optimistic, in my opinion, and his minimum projections are far more likely than his maximum ones.
|
|
W |
L |
IP |
K/9 |
BB/9 |
ERA |
|
Minimum Values |
9 |
10 |
100 |
6.00 |
4.00 |
4.00 |
|
25th Percentile |
12 |
8 |
162 |
8.00 |
2.87 |
3.50 |
|
50th Percentile |
14 |
7 |
170 |
8.50 |
2.67 |
3.26 |
|
75h Percentile |
15 |
6 |
180 |
8.80 |
2.50 |
2.99 |
|
Maximum Values |
22 |
3 |
215 |
10.00 |
1.98 |
2.09 |
|
|
W |
L |
IP |
K/9 |
BB/9 |
ERA |
|
VEB Low ERA (coopersmith2) |
16 |
6 |
215 |
6.00 |
2.00 |
2.09 |
|
VEB High ERA (callmesir) |
14 |
9 |
197 |
8.00 |
2.00 |
4.00 |
CELEBRITY DOPPELGANGER: Pretty easy plurality for Adam Wainwright. You all are unimaginative fools.
