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St. Louis Cardinals 2014 VEB Community Projection Results: Kolten Wong

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Brad Barr-US PRESSWIRE

It's interesting to look at the projection systems on this one, because there looks to be two different camps: Oliver and PECOTA are both really pessimistic on Wong, seeing OPSes around .670 and wOBAs in the .295 range. Steamer and ZiPs are both a bit more optimistic, seeing OPSes in the .700 range and wOBAs around .310. VEB, per usual, is a little bit more optimistic, with a .723 OPS and .317 wOBA.


PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

CS

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

wOBA

Oliver

600

68

9

54

18

5

0.255

0.307

0.364

0.671

0.296

Steamer

471

49

7

47

15

7

0.269

0.322

0.387

0.709

0.312

PECOTA

511

53

7

46

14

4

0.257

0.304

0.366

0.670

0.292

ZiPS

555

60

8

49

19

5

0.266

0.316

0.38

0.696

0.309

VEB(75)

448

59

6

45

18

5

0.274

0.328

0.394

0.723

0.317



Moving onto VEB projections, there is a LOT of variability amongst users, and that makes sense. I don't really know where a .624 slugging percentage is coming from, but who am I to judge! There's a very large spread among all of the categories, but the median is looking at a .275/.330/.400 line, which would be perfectly acceptable to most.


PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

CS

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

wOBA

Minimum Values

210

38

1

25

10

0

0.235

0.280

0.235

0.538

0.229

25th Percentile

400

50

4

40

14

3

0.265

0.317

0.380

0.700

0.310

50th Percentile

450

59

6

45

17

4

0.275

0.330

0.398

0.724

0.319

75h Percentile

500

67

8

50

20

5

0.283

0.340

0.412

0.750

0.325

Maximum Values

600

88

14

67

35

16

0.313

0.395

0.624

0.944

0.400



PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

CS

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

wOBA

VEB Low OPS (ArkansasTravs)

450

43

4

39

12

3

0.252

0.303

0.235

0.538

0.242

VEB High OPS(san3zone)

380

86

9

52

20

4

0.283

0.359

0.585

0.944

0.316




CELEBRITY DOPPELGANGER: Bruno Mars?! Well, he's not a STL-based celebrity, so that's a plus, I guess. They also look nothing alike, sooooo. At least they're both Hawaiian?