*St. Louis Cardinals 2014 VEB Community Projection Results: Allen Craig

I'll give you one guess as to what stat VEB most outguessed the projections systems.

It wasn't PAs, where VEB was below two of them (though Oliver projects 600 for all players). It wasn't runs or home runs, where the VEB collective tied Steamer for the high (78 and 20). And it definitely wasn't stolen bases or caught stealing, where there was almost no spread in the data.

It was, of course, RBIs, where the Hivemind projected 99 RBIs, a full 14 more than Steamer, and 32 more than PECOTA.

	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	wOBA
Minimum Values	440	60	0	76	0	0	0.279	0.331	0.430	0.770	0.298
25th Percentile	520	72	18	91	1	1	0.300	0.355	0.478	0.836	0.358
50th Percentile	557	77	19	100	2	1	0.307	0.365	0.495	0.857	0.367
75h Percentile	595	82	22	104	3	1	0.311	0.371	0.510	0.880	0.372
Maximum Values	650	105	34	125	10	6	0.333	0.422	0.877	1.299	0.400

	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	wOBA
VEB Low OPS (mikeishere)	450	80	14	95	1	0	0.285	0.34	0.43	0.77	0.345
VEB High OPS (mike)	544	99	34	113	5	4	0.321	0.422	0.877	1.299	0.298

via s3.amazonaws.com

One of the issues that I'm having with running these projections is dealing with outlier data. Some of them are blatantly obvious, and I discount those, but others are in a gray area. I probably should have discounted this high projection and weirdly low wOBA, but here we are. If Ben's graphics differ from my numbers, exclusion is likely the culprit

CELEBRITY DOPPELGÄNGER: This one was apparently tough for all of you, but we did get both President Obama and First Lady Michelle Obama as answers! I do kind of like Colin Kaepernick (suggested by Milt Thompson), though

via a.espncdn.com