/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/28717479/20130715_mjr_su5_102.0.jpg)
It's probably not a surprise that VEB is more bullish on Yadier Molina than the rest of the projection systems. VEB's projected OPS of .820 is 35 points higher than Steamer's .785, and VEB's projected wOBA of .354 is 12 points higher than Steamer's .342.
What is somewhat surprising is how close VEB's counting stats mirror the professional projection systems', despite wildly varying plate appearance projections. VEB projects 63 runs, 14 HR, 74 RBI, 4 SB, and 2 CS in 515 PA. The projections systems, aggregated, projects 61 R, 13 HR, 68 RBI, 5 SB, and 3 CS in 557 PA.
Let's take a look:
|
PA |
R |
HR |
RBI |
SB |
CS |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
OPS |
wOBA |
Oliver |
600 |
69 |
12 |
72 |
3 |
1 |
0.294 |
0.342 |
0.425 |
0.767 |
0.334 |
Steamer |
456 |
51 |
11 |
55 |
4 |
3 |
0.293 |
0.346 |
0.439 |
0.785 |
0.342 |
PECOTA |
626 |
69 |
14 |
72 |
8 |
4 |
0.289 |
0.342 |
0.421 |
0.763 |
0.334 |
ZiPS |
546 |
54 |
13 |
73 |
6 |
3 |
0.293 |
0.342 |
0.433 |
0.775 |
0.334 |
VEB |
515 |
63 |
14 |
74 |
4 |
2 |
0.306 |
0.356 |
0.465 |
0.820 |
0.354 |

easel.ly
|
PA |
R |
HR |
RBI |
SB |
CS |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
OPS |
wOBA |
Minimum Values |
200 |
20 |
3 |
30 |
1 |
0 |
0.280 |
0.320 |
0.390 |
0.720 |
0.265 |
25th Percentile |
500 |
60 |
13 |
70 |
2 |
1 |
0.300 |
0.345 |
0.450 |
0.800 |
0.350 |
50th Percentile* |
520 |
62 |
14 |
74 |
4 |
2 |
0.307 |
0.355 |
0.469 |
0.820 |
0.356 |
75th Percentile |
535 |
65 |
16 |
79 |
5 |
3 |
0.312 |
0.363 |
0.480 |
0.840 |
0.365 |
Maximum Values |
600 |
110 |
20 |
90 |
9 |
5 |
0.327 |
0.472 |
0.533 |
0.947 |
0.402 |
|
PA |
R |
HR |
RBI |
SB |
CS |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
OPS |
wOBA |
VEB Low OPS (JMedwick) |
200 |
20 |
3 |
30 |
1 |
1 |
0.300 |
0.330 |
0.390 |
0.720 |
0.325 |
VEB High OPS (1313131313) |
535 |
66 |
13 |
73 |
1 |
2 |
0.310 |
0.472 |
0.475 |
0.947 |
0.325 |