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After the Dodgers' win on Sunday night in Cincinnati, the Cardinals held a 2 1/2 game lead over both the Brewers and Dodgers in the race for the league's second Wild Card spot, with a "magic" postseason number of eight. After the conclusion of play on Tuesday night, the Cardinals own a 4 1/2 game Wild Card lead and their "magic" postseason number is four. On Tuesday night, the Cardinals topped the Astros 4-1 in Houston while the Brewers lost 4-2 to the Reds and the Dodgers fell 2-1 in San Diego. Last night's events pushed the Cardinals' postseason probability to 97 percent, according to Baseball Prospectus.*
Here is a look at the National League Wild Card standings heading into play on Wednesday, September 26, 2012.
Club |
Wins |
Losses |
Winning % |
GB of 2nd |
GB of 1st |
Last 10 |
Streak |
89 |
65 |
.578 |
-- |
-- |
8-2 |
W3 |
|
Cardinals |
84 |
71 |
.542 |
-- |
5.5 |
8-2 |
W4 |
Dodgers |
79 |
75 |
.513 |
4.5 |
10.0 |
5-5 |
L1 |
Brewers |
79 |
75 |
.513 |
4.5 |
10.0 |
7-3 |
L2 |
D-Backs |
78 |
76 |
.506 |
5.5 |
11.0 |
7-3 |
W1 |
78 |
76 |
.506 |
5.5 |
11.0 |
6-4 |
W1 |
|
76 |
78 |
.494 |
7.5 |
13.0 |
3-7 |
W1 |
I've included the Pirates on this list so one can see just how far they have fallen and because their elimination number is one. Pittsburgh could be eliminated from postseason contention on this very day. Both the Phillies and Diamondbacks won yesterday, keeping their very slim postseason hopes alive. The Phillies' postseason probability by BP is 0.0 percent; the Diamondbacks' is 0.3 percent.
Here are the teams elimination numbers:
- Brewers: 4
- Dodgers: 4
- Diamondbacks: 3
- Phillies: 3
- Pirates: 1