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Community Projection Results: Matt Holliday

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By azruavatar
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Fangraphs just came back to life so I'll get back to working on my real post here shortly. Until then, below the jump you'll find the results of our Matt Holliday projections.

Name ABs Hits 2Bs 3Bs HRs BBs Ks
peppermartin 595 184 43 2 31 70 96
TheDuke 620 195 35 0 35 90 75
Aranathor 600 180 45 2 30 70 90
Volsncards5 590 183 41 2 32 76 97
Tomcat 585 184 46 2 31 75 103
CarpIsMyManCrush 583 182 43 1 34 75 93
alxfritz 600 190 40 1 35 75 100
mattybobo 600 193 42 3 28 72 95
prophetjohn 600 190 47 3 30 75 95
nomar34 605 185 38 3 33 70 90
martimeryard 625 175 43 2 27 85 85
RasmustheRipper 590 194 48 4 26 78 99
TBender 600 190 45 2 26 75 100
Jack618 592 191 46 3 29 80 92
hazel 571 168 35 2 35 79 115
stlcardsfan4 596 186 42 3 26 68 100
scoot 575 185 40 2 28 70 90
stlfan 587 181 42 2 27 68 96
CFIC 600 190 55 5 35 70 82
stlcardinalsfang 596 186 45 1 28 93 69
jacksonian 660 197 48 2 31 66 119
bgh 595 187 47 2 26 75 97
ISawGodInGibby’sRightArm 548 174 39 3 26 56 100
RiverRat 600 190 52 1 29 80 105
DisplacedCardsFan 595 184 43 2 32 75 90
ArkansasTravs 593 185 43 1 29 76 91
Average 596 185 43 2 29 74 94

 

 

Name BA OBP SLG BABIP ISO wOBA
peppermartin 0.309 0.381 0.544 0.326 0.235 0.401
TheDuke 0.314 0.401 0.540 0.313 0.226 0.410
Aranathor 0.3 0.373 0.531 0.312 0.231 0.392
Volsncards5 0.310 0.388 0.549 0.327 0.239 0.406
Tomcat 0.314 0.392 0.558 0.339 0.244 0.411
CarpIsMyManCrush 0.312 0.390 0.564 0.324 0.252 0.412
alxfritz 0.316 0.392 0.561 0.333 0.245 0.413
mattybobo 0.321 0.394 0.541 0.345 0.22 0.406
prophetjohn 0.316 0.392 0.555 0.336 0.239 0.410
nomar34 0.305 0.377 0.542 0.315 0.237 0.398
martimeryard 0.28 0.366 0.484 0.288 0.204 0.373
RasmustheRipper 0.328 0.407 0.555 0.361 0.227 0.417
TBender 0.316 0.392 0.528 0.345 0.212 0.401
Jack618 0.322 0.403 0.557 0.343 0.235 0.416
hazel 0.294 0.38 0.546 0.315 0.252 0.401
stlcardsfan4 0.312 0.382 0.523 0.340 0.211 0.394
scoot 0.321 0.395 0.544 0.343 0.223 0.408
stlfan 0.308 0.380 0.524 0.331 0.216 0.393
CFIC 0.316 0.388 0.6 0.320 0.284 0.423
stlcardinalsfang 0.312 0.404 0.531 0.316 0.219 0.408
jacksonian 0.298 0.362 0.518 0.325 0.22 0.382
bgh 0.314 0.391 0.531 0.341 0.217 0.401
ISawGodInGibby’sRightArm 0.317 0.380 0.541 0.350 0.224 0.400
RiverRat 0.316 0.397 0.551 0.345 0.235 0.411
DisplacedCardsFan 0.309 0.386 0.549 0.321 0.24 0.405
ArkansasTravs 0.311 0.390 0.534 0.329 0.223 0.402
Average 0.310 0.386 0.533 0.329 0.223 0.399

 

We're a little bullish on Holliday as a whole expecting him to see no real decline between 2010 and 2011.  In truth, I could have written is 2011 slash stats as our "average" and you'd be hard pressed to catch the difference off hand.

 

AVG OBP SLG BABIP ISO wOBA
2010 0.312 0.390 0.532 0.331 0.220 0.396
Average 0.310 0.386 0.533 0.329 0.223 0.399

That may be bias from actually looking at 2010 stats to make a 2011 prediction but it's still eerie. Again, I hope to be back with a more substantial post in a few hours: fangraphs and time permitting. If not, I'll post this PennyF/X article that's been hanging around in draft for for like 6 months.

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