4.58 ERA 1.96
4.54 FIP 2.31
4.29 xFIP 3.11
4.69 tERA 2.47
54.4% GB 46.6%
i don't care how good a pitcher you think josh johnson is (A: really, really good), that xFIP screams that he's due for regression. he's currently sporting a 3.7% HR/FB rate, compared to a career 7.1%. let's put a big dent in that rate tonight.
johnson is coming off "flu-like symptoms" yesterday, which is why he missed last night's start v. adam. hopefully, a little fatigue and disorientation will help the cards.
this has nothing to do with today's game, but i happened to look at the official mothership depth chart, and nick stavinoha was not on it. this gave me a happy feeling all morning.