I've been up all night, feverishly working a slide rule, and here is your community projection for Colby Rasmus. You'll like it!
AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
522 | 84 | 141 | 27 | 2 | 21 | 75 | 50 | .270 | .339 | .450 |
At least, I like it. Here are some other projections—keep in mind that these were done by spreadsheets, cold, lifeless spreadsheets, who know nothing of how smooth, articulate, adorable, fiery our young center fielder has proven over the course this last year. (It is, of course, their loss.)
AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG | |
VEB | 522 | 84 | 141 | 27 | 2 | 21 | 75 | 50 | .270 | .339 | .450 |
Marcel | 415 | 63 | 110 | 21 | 2 | 14 | 50 | 36 | .265 | .324 | .427 |
CHONE | 428 | 62 | 113 | 24 | 3 | 15 | 51 | 45 | .264 | .340 | .439 |
James | 471 | 75 | 119 | 26 | 2 | 18 | 55 | 47 | .253 | .323 | .431 |
Fans | 578 | 76 | 156 | 31 | 2 | 21 | 87 | 62 | .270 | .342 | .436 |
We're pretty conventional, in aggregate—a little more certain of his future smooth home run output, but otherwise dead on compared to the general Fangraphs viewer and reasonably optimistic compared to the projections.
If you thought this was all just too much work, you could have just asked SHUCardinal (of Ten Run Sundays fame!), who was startlingly on the nose:
AB | R | HR | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG | |
VEB | 522 | 84 | 21 | 75 | .270 | .339 | .450 |
SHU | 535 | 85 | 21 | 75 | .270 | .340 | .450 |
Our pessimistic forecast—I'll let the perpetrator out himself if he feels the need—called for a .264/.301/.356 line, but a considerable majority put his 2010 OPS over .750. As for optimists, we had one 48 homer projection and one .301/.410/.595 line—and they weren't from the same person.
VEB has pegged a center fielder almost exactly in the past... but at the same time it is probably a good thing that we did not project Rick Ankiel in 2009.
I have Pineiro to talk about, but I got a late start on today's post and the night of long division took a lot out of me—expect an "Afternoon Delight [was ruined for me as a concept when I was told it was about sex]" edition of VEB sometime later today.