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Game 110 Open Thread: August 7, 2007

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peavy

reyes

11-5, 2.30

1-10, 6.07

anthony reyes has improved his game in almost every important respect this season ----longer starts (nominally), fewer walks, fewer homers, fewer baserunners. check it out:

IP/GS HR/9 BB/9 AVG OBP SLG
2007 5.1 1.1 3.3 .257 .327 .441
2006 5.0 1.8 3.6 .262 .342 .511

he's not getting better by leaps and bounds, but the indicators are all positive (even as i type this, i know i'm jinxing the poor kid; he's sure to get his ass handed to him tonight). even his ball-in-play data are encouraging --- line-drive percentage is down 2.5 percent, groundball percentage is up 3 percent, hrs-per-flyball cut in half. i'm not trying to hide from the steep backsliding in era and w-l record --- those indicators also reflect reality, in part. but the returns remain mixed. he's got a chance to make 10 or 11 more starts this year; if they are, as a body, good ones, then the rotation looks a whole lot less empty heading into 2008.

Baseball Prospectus's joe sheehan says he'd list jake peavy 2d on his mvp ballot if it were filled out today. peavy's #1 comp at his Baseball-Reference page is john smoltz . . . .