looks like they might get this one in. . . .
pretty good discussion over in the diaries about what suppan might cost on the free-agent market. i've listed here the top mid-rotation guys who signed last off-season, with their three-year records heading to market (ie, 2003-05); also the three-year resume supps will begin shopping next month.
|washburn||86||29-31||4.08||1.30||2.06||4 yr / $38m|
|morris||90||40-28||4.22||1.25||2.79||3 yr / $27m|
|loaiza||95||43-26||4.02||1.31||2.73||3 yr / $21m|
|byrd||81||30-27||4.20||1.32||3.16||3 yr / $22m|
|rogers||96||45-25||4.28||1.41||1.95||2 yr / $16m|
i didn't include pitchers more aptly characterized as "front-of-rotation" pitchers, such as kevin millwood (the american league era leader in his contract year) or aj burnett. anyway, this chart sets the range at about $7m to $9m a year over 3 to 4 years. awfully big commitment for a guy who was the team's #4 starter until about the all-star break . . . .
i'd like to see how PECOTA projects him after this season, but on the surface this seems like too much for supps. if his market does end up in this range, he'll likely play elsewhere next season -- which means he may very well be making his final appearance for the cardinals tonight. pretty good little three-year run; put an exclamation point on it, supper.
if you haven't seen the yadi-o'-lantern yet, you really should check it out . . . . . especially since this series may not be over by halloween.