community projections IX: carpenter

by lboros on Mar 6, 2007 9:03 AM EST Comment 50 comments

here's carp's career line. as always:

please comma-delimit your numbers
don't look at other people's projections till after you've posted your own
avoid fatty foods

the categories:

IP,H,BB,SO,HR,W,L,ERA

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Carp

215,194,66,190,20,19,6,3.45

by JBagKY on Mar 6, 2007 9:01 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

Carp

226,197,44,198,20,21,5,2.97

by Stanfan6 on Mar 6, 2007 9:17 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

Cy Carp

227, 208, 53, 201, 19, 19, 7, 2.79

Future Redbirds

by erik on Mar 6, 2007 9:53 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

Carp

IP,H,BB,SO,HR,W,L,ERA

220,195,45,195,20,18,7,3.27

I can't wait until we play the Dodgers. Please have a Carp vs. Schmidt game.

by Harknights on Mar 6, 2007 10:40 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

cy young again

217,183,195,51,22,19,6,3.12

10.27.06..greatest day of my life

by steveo61086 on Mar 6, 2007 10:41 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

shit

sorry, i switched bb and k's.. i'm sure its not gonna be hard to figure out.

10.27.06..greatest day of my life

by steveo61086 on Mar 6, 2007 10:43 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs

In the top 5 in Cy Young again

214,190,51,190,18,18,6,2.93

by ArkansasTravs on Mar 6, 2007 10:49 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

Carp

IP,H,BB,SO,HR,W,L,ERA

220,193,44,183,24,18,7,3.40

by Just Rope Ball on Mar 6, 2007 10:53 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

mr consistent

227,203,45,189,24,18,6,3.23

by michajo on Mar 6, 2007 10:59 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

Carp

220,175,82,170,10,18,8,3.21

by saladdays on Mar 6, 2007 11:05 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

just curious about your walk total

Why so high? I'm not pooping on your thread, by the way, just wondering if you see something about Carp that leads you to believe he'll walk 80 something batters.

by michajo on Mar 6, 2007 12:09 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

He's kinda good

223,198,46,182,21,18,7,3.09

by stl3bagger on Mar 6, 2007 11:44 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

carp

225,190,61,197,20,20,8,3.09

by elirock83 on Mar 6, 2007 11:59 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

Build me a house...

230,196,37,198,19,21,7,3.20

by sdelek on Mar 6, 2007 12:03 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Carp

210,180,45,175,20,16,7,3.20

by trogdor on Mar 6, 2007 12:21 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Carpenter 2007

IP,H,BB,SO,HR,W,L,ERA

225, 198, 45, 198, 20, 18, 7, 2.90

stlfan

by stlfan on Mar 6, 2007 12:28 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Cy

IP,H,BB,SO,HR,W,L,ERA

230,199,45,210,18,22,6,2.85

Cheers

by Alxfritz on Mar 6, 2007 12:36 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Carp

230, 197, 45, 196, 20, 20, 6, 2.91

and his 2nd cy young award!!!

The Phinsider
SBN's Miami Dolphins Blog

by Matty I on Mar 6, 2007 1:06 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

smokin'

IP,H,BB,SO,HR,W,L,ERA
225,205,45,210,22,22,6,2.60

Win/HR allowed ratio of 1.0 ;)

"God is back in the National League. Matter of fact, he is staying at my house." -Joaquin Andujar

by SleepyCA on Mar 6, 2007 1:30 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Carp

210,185,45,180,20,17,7,3.25

by mcg96 on Mar 6, 2007 1:35 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Carpenter

IP,H,BB,SO,HR,W,L,ERA
208,188,35,190,19,20,8,2.97

little less volume, little better quality

by azruavatar on Mar 6, 2007 3:53 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

I kinda wonder

if maybe they need to skip him a time or 2 in the rotation. Not that I'm paranoid, but with playoffs he's piling up the innings.

by sdrone on Mar 6, 2007 4:45 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Don't see any real reason for him to slow down

IP,H,BB,SO,HR,W,L,ERA

IP: 226
H: 218
BB: 46
SO: 187
HR: 21
W: 17
L: 11
ERA: 3.22

by Bivouac77 on Mar 6, 2007 5:16 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Sorry. I didn't follow the comma rule. Try this.

IP: 226
H: 218
BB: 46
SO: 187
HR: 21
W: 17
L: 11
ERA: 3.22

226, 218, 46, 187, 21, 17, 11, 3.22

by Bivouac77 on Mar 6, 2007 5:17 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

It'll be another good one

219,191,38,173,18,18,7,3.31

by chuckb on Mar 6, 2007 5:40 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Cy

IP: 224.2
H: 190
BB: 45
SO: 201
HR: 16

20-6

ERA: 2.95

WHIP: 1.045

by STLEdge on Mar 6, 2007 6:36 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Not a good reader

Comma delimited

224.67,190,45,201,16,20,6,2.95

by STLEdge on Mar 6, 2007 6:37 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Carp '07 projections

210,180,40,175,20,20,5,2.50

IP, H ,BB, SO,HR, W,L,ERA

by Johnny64 on Mar 6, 2007 7:35 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Carp

IP,H,BB,SO,HR,W,L,ERA

230,210,45,210,18,21,9,2.95

by JonesSoda on Mar 6, 2007 7:37 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Projections for Carpenter

IP,H,BB,SO,HR,W,L,ERA

225,191,82,44,19,8,2.81

by Red in Chicago on Mar 7, 2007 9:44 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

C'mon horse

227,203,40,179,22,20,9,2.86

by mikeoat on Mar 7, 2007 11:19 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

carp

224,217,58,177,23,18,9,3.11

by Silent George on Mar 7, 2007 12:10 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

yup

222, 188, 47, 185, 20, 17, 6, 2.98

by mcpawlowicz on Mar 7, 2007 12:11 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Ace

IP,H,BB,SO,HR,W,L,ERA

225,200,45,189,20,17,7,3.18

by tjgila on Mar 7, 2007 12:52 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

ho, hum

220,200,45,180,22,16,9,3.20

by DCGreg on Mar 7, 2007 1:53 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

carp-e diem...

IP,H,BB,SO,HR,W,L,ERA

218,191,41,180,21,21,7,2.60

by busch league on Mar 7, 2007 2:31 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

I think he'll miss a couple turns...

Carps's logged a lot of innings the past couple of years. He's still a horse, though.

IP,H,BB,SO,HR,W,L,ERA

214,195,40,177,23,17,7,3.26

by DCRedbird on Mar 7, 2007 3:13 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

another big year

IP,H,BB,SO,HR,W,L,ERA

220,191,44,178,16,20,7,2.77

by montalban on Mar 7, 2007 4:30 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Looking over the thread, I think that the VeB community, myself included, is a little too bullish on Carpenter. If he posts some of the projected lines ... well maybe he is the second coming of Gibby.

by azruavatar on Mar 7, 2007 5:31 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

Was kind of thinking the same thing...

... not that a lot of these projections are unreasonable, but there aren't that many unreasonably bad ones to offset the unreasonably good ones.

by Jonathan23 on Mar 7, 2007 11:27 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

well,

he has been unreasonably good the last three years.

Cheers

by Alxfritz on Mar 8, 2007 4:56 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs

by patton044 on Mar 7, 2007 7:44 PM EST reply actions 0 recs



 IP,  H,BB, SO,HR, W,L, ERA

204,180,42,174,21,18,7,3.10

There are 10 types of people in the world. Those who understand binary, and those who don't.

by Mr Clean on Mar 9, 2007 1:00 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

For the record...

As per my usual M.O., the above "official" prediction is the mean. I also have Pessimistic and Optimistic projections:



         IP    H  BB   SO  HR   W   L   ERA

PESS    178  161  36  148  20  15  10  3.26

OPT     230  198  47  197  20  20   5  2.95

There are 10 types of people in the world. Those who understand binary, and those who don't.

by Mr Clean on Mar 9, 2007 1:03 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs

IP,H,BB,SO,HR,W,L,ERA

220,190,40,195,19,18,7,2.97

by AndyB83 on Mar 9, 2007 11:22 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

Big fish in a small pond?

185,170,39,160,20,16,6,3.25

by Zubin on Mar 11, 2007 3:03 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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