Game 112 Open Thread: August 8, 2006

marquis             milton
12-9, 5.68          7-7, 5.20

jeff gordon has love for chris duncan in today's paper; calls him "the key to the outfield equation." the kid's hanging in there pretty well; i'd noticed he started out august 2 for 15 with 6 strikeouts and was thinking "mmm hmmmm," league's caught up to him . . . so last night he goes 3 for 5 with a walk and a dinger. similar thing at the outset of last month, when he poked just 4 singles in his first 17 at-bats; the kid hit ~.350 the rest of the month with power. his 8 hr make him the cardinals' 4th most prolific rookie home-run hitter of the la russa era:

1. 37, pujols, 2001
   
2. 13, drew, 1999
   
3. 9, mcewing, 1999
   
4. 8, duncan, 2006
   
5. 5, rodriguez, 2005
   
6. 5, d young, 1997

for that matter, duncan is getting more playing time than most rookies under la russa. he currently stands 14th on the list of rookie at-bats in the TLR era. if he matches his july at-bat total (68) in the last two months of the year, he'll finish with ~250 at-bats, placing just outside the top 5:

1. 590, albert pujols, 2001
   
2. 513, joe mcewing, 1999
   
3. 368, jd drew, 1999
   
4. 333, dmitri young, 1997
   
5. 296, bo hart, 2003
   
6. 260, mike difelice, 1997   
   
7. 254, eli marrero, 1998
   
8. 186, kerry robinson, 2001
   
9. 173, hector luna, 2004
   
10. 170, mark sweeney, 1996
    
11. 149, john rodriguez, 2005
    
12. 145, placido polanco, 1998
    
13. 135, yadier molina, 2004
    
14. 128, chris duncan, 2006
    
15. 102, adam kennedy, 1999

i want to make clear, i'm not criticizing la russa; there aren't many guys on that list who merited more than 500 ab in their rookie years. maybe jd drew, maybe dmitri; those are the only two you could make a compelling argument for. but dmitri lost his playing time to mark mcgwire, and the main reason drew fell so short of 500 ab is because he spent 45 games on the dl in his rookie year. no, this isn't a TLR issue; it's an organizational issue.

one more duncan item: there's an interesting discussion of his cousin, eric, at Minor League Ball; same great power potential, same youthful struggles with strike-zone judgment, same defensive limitations. but he's put up better numbers than his cousin; maybe the yanks' 1st baseman / dh someday.