waste not, want not
bernie miklasz hits it on the head vis-vis the cards' organizational dysfunction:
spivey, ponson, rincon, bigbie -- that's $5.2 million, plus a left-handed relief pitcher, that the cardinals wasted on "established" veterans who were brought in to do jobs that young players within the organization already could do -- and have done, as it turns out. too bad those resources weren't applied toward a solution for one of the holes that have gone unfilled on this team all season long, and likely will remain unfilled beyond the trading deadline. for example, if the cards had been willing to commit to both wainwright and reyes, they could have traded marquis over the winter when his value was still reasonably high -- might've packaged him with king and a prospect to acquire the "impact bat" they've been missing all season.
i'll acknowledge that la russa does work unproven players into the mix -- molina, flores, and j-rod last year; duncan, luna, hancock, wainwright, reyes, and ty johnson this year. but in the majority of these cases he has not gone out of his way to create an opportunity for a young player; rather, he's turned to youngsters as last resorts, when injuries left him without other options. aside from molina, the cardinals under la russa don't commit to young players; tony's always got to have other (read: veteran) options hovering around, soaking up resources and roster space. over time all those mediocrities gum up the pipeline, and jocketty finds himself with no attractive trade chips and no maneuvering room.
will belliard help? marginally, perhaps; he's got the ability to get hot for two months, and i hope he does. but he's not the type of player who is likely to alter the outcome of the postseason, carry the cardinals to a world series. at any rate, i'm not focusing on this individual trade; in isolation, it's harmless. the troublesome thing is the pattern -- the inefficient use of organizational resources. that's no longer sustainable. jocketty's shopping list for the 2006-07 off-season is already long enough -- 2 or 3 starting pitchers, a left fielder, bullpen help (as always), and bench strength. now he'll also have to buy a 2d baseman, leaving fewer resources available for all the other positions. so the cardinals will spend $2m on a 2bman next winter . . . . . but they'll come up a few million short in the bidding for jason schmidt.
here's joe sheehan's take on the trade at baseball prospectus (subscrip req'd); you could say he's not a fan:
transaction oracle says:
While I appreciate Belliard and his impressive Fat-Leticism at second, I don't see him as all that much a better player than Luna now (if at all) and I'd rather have 4 years of Luna than 2 months of Belliard. Yes, the trade gets Aaron Miles out of the lineup, but the team could've done that anyway. My only complaint is of utilization . . .
in case you missed it, both the pa.m beach post and the post-dispatch (2d-to-last graph) confirmed the cards' active pursuit of dontrelle willis. . . . .not that it alters the outcome, but at least it clears up any doubts about whether this so-called rumor had any truth behind it.
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comments
Comments
Great
by roebirds on
Jul 31, 2006 1:45 PM EDT
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Cormier has 13 K and 12 BB this year
by DanUpBaby on
Jul 31, 2006 1:55 PM EDT
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No Tyler Johnson
Me thinks TJ is a bit off those numbers (5.06/.238/1.59).
by roebirds on
Jul 31, 2006 2:23 PM EDT
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He's got good numbers
by DanUpBaby on
Jul 31, 2006 6:23 PM EDT
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Trade Deadline
I have a feeling we are going to stand pat...Mulder can be the #2 pitcher we are looking to get through a trade. I just don't know who the hell we have with any value? Duncan? Marquis? Those guys aren't exactly going to bring in a great player. I have to agree I wish LaRussa would give the young guys more of a shot. I know it is probably a risky situation to play youngsters everyday, but with guys like Pujols, Rolen and JED protecting them in the lineup, I think they would thrive the way J-Rod did last season in the 2nd half and the way Duncan has done so far. We could still have Haren and Daric Barton. Luna. Hopefully Jock pulls off a nice deal today, it just stinks that he has to cater to TLR so much when there are obviously players that we could have gotten or could get that TLR probably wouldn't even be interested in.
by lopey986 on Jul 31, 2006 10:11 AM EDT 0 recs
saw that
Transactionoracle hit it right on the head. Belliard is better than Miles and about the same as Luna. I, too, would rather have 4 years of Luna (at the low salary for at least the first couple) than 2 months of Belliard.
The trend is also concerning which is why I'm not crazy about the possiblity (probability?) of trading for Shawn Green once the July 31 deadline comes and goes. Yes, he'll probably be better this year than Duncan, but what will we miss out on b/c we're paying Green $9 million for his .790 OPS when we could be paying Duncan/Rodriguez the minimum each for their .790 OPS. Plus, they'll be improving (or at least Duncan will) while Green's going downhill.
by houstoncardinal on Jul 31, 2006 10:12 AM EDT 0 recs
Green
And after all that penny-pinchin' the Cards wanted to do this past offseason, it looks like they are going to end up spending a bit of money after all is said and done. Maybe if they'd just spent the money on good players in the offseason we wouldn't be scrounging for guys wherever we can find.
by lopey986 on
Jul 31, 2006 10:16 AM EDT
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Green
Presumably the snakes may pick up some of the $$$$ on the contract but there's no way they pick up enough to make it worth not playing Rodriguez/Duncan.
by houstoncardinal on
Jul 31, 2006 10:30 AM EDT
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eww...
by lopey986 on
Jul 31, 2006 10:34 AM EDT
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I agree
by rob is back on
Jul 31, 2006 10:41 AM EDT
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Just in...
by cardsrul on Jul 31, 2006 10:22 AM EDT 0 recs
Really?
by lopey986 on
Jul 31, 2006 10:29 AM EDT
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how about
ha
by gthedamned on
Jul 31, 2006 10:54 AM EDT
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TLR's comments confuse me....
AND TAKE A BREATH TONY......
On Luna -
"There isn't anybody who's had more confidence in him than our staff," La Russa said. "We've given him playing time. He's responded. I think he has a chance to be a special player and he's still learning."
uh.... these statements conflict.
by Schnake on Jul 31, 2006 10:23 AM EDT 0 recs
Meh
by lopey986 on
Jul 31, 2006 10:26 AM EDT
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Spinmasters
by bgh on
Jul 31, 2006 10:28 AM EDT
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cholesterol in the arteries
Over a series of such deals, the costs add up like cholesterol in the arteries, and it's time for a bypass.
Still, grumbling about trading strategy is less painful thinking about the Cubs series.
by madridbend on Jul 31, 2006 10:26 AM EDT 0 recs
Jocketty Quote in P-D
Um, but Belliard is only marginally better than Luna, if he is better than Luna at all. This move does not make us better and makes no sense to me whatsoever. At what point does Jocketty tell TLR, "Tony, you are playing the youngsters. I refuse to sign Timo Perez. I refuse to trade for Aaron Miles. I refuse to sign Ponson."
Why didn't we re-sign Grudz? At least we'd be getting above average defense as well.
by bgh on Jul 31, 2006 10:26 AM EDT 0 recs
Keith Law
"It's not clear where St. Louis thought it was helping itself with this deal, and there's a nonzero chance that the Cardinals hurt themselves slightly for 2006."
by bgh on Jul 31, 2006 10:31 AM EDT 0 recs
I'm not
by Alxfritz on
Jul 31, 2006 10:42 AM EDT
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Meaning
by bgh on
Jul 31, 2006 10:52 AM EDT
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I don't
"nonzero chance of hurting themselves in 2006"
so he is saying that the Cardinals have no chance of hurting themselves in 2006? So he likes the trade? But he doesn't know what the Cardinals were thinking? Gahhh...confusion!
by lopey986 on
Jul 31, 2006 11:10 AM EDT
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Yes
by Alxfritz on
Jul 31, 2006 11:21 AM EDT
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he is saying...
NEXT year there is a chance (hence nonzero) that this trade will come back to haunt us.
Law seems to make declarations and then back them up very poorly. All trades have a nonzero chance of being bad for those involved.
Seems like he got his job by being very bold a la Jim Rome, however for fear of being wrong he writes things that are as middle of the road as possible.
by bretsyboo on
Jul 31, 2006 11:24 AM EDT
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nope
he's saying Belliard may be worse than Luna THIS year. Not next year.
by azruavatar on
Jul 31, 2006 11:34 AM EDT
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Well
by Alxfritz on
Jul 31, 2006 11:37 AM EDT
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well...
by john vb on
Jul 31, 2006 3:39 PM EDT
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Mets are
by cardsrul on Jul 31, 2006 10:32 AM EDT 0 recs
I wish
by lopey986 on
Jul 31, 2006 10:35 AM EDT
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oswalt...
by gdowdy3 on
Jul 31, 2006 10:35 AM EDT
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Astros
by lopey986 on
Jul 31, 2006 10:37 AM EDT
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If you're the 'Stros
by bgh on
Jul 31, 2006 10:36 AM EDT
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The Astros
Richard Justice, a Houston sportswriter, speculated last night that even this talk about trading Oswalt will hurt the Astros when trying to resign Oswalt after next season.
by houstoncardinal on
Jul 31, 2006 10:43 AM EDT
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So...
by lopey986 on
Jul 31, 2006 10:47 AM EDT
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Speculation I've heard...
Y'know that I, as a 'Stros fan, hope so, LOL!
by StrosDux on
Jul 31, 2006 5:09 PM EDT
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Would the Astros trade for Milledge?
by rob is back on
Jul 31, 2006 10:52 AM EDT
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You know how NY teams can be...
by StrosDux on
Jul 31, 2006 5:07 PM EDT
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Oswalt?!?!?!
Okay deep breath, Astros would never trade him to us unless a guy names pujols was going the other way (I'm not talking Wilfredo)
by ibby001 on
Jul 31, 2006 2:46 PM EDT
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Long-term deal by trading for the short-term?
I don't know, it's just a thought...or a hope that we get something better than Ronnie Belliard to improve this team.
by joker24 on Jul 31, 2006 10:47 AM EDT 0 recs
There
by lopey986 on
Jul 31, 2006 10:49 AM EDT
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How can you say...
by Toddius396 on
Jul 31, 2006 11:10 AM EDT
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Just
by lopey986 on
Jul 31, 2006 11:15 AM EDT
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I meant
by Toddius396 on
Jul 31, 2006 11:57 AM EDT
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Another take
Why are people saying that his stats aren't inflated from platooning? They might not be, but what evidence is there that they aren't. He's facing more lefties than anything else...so i would surmise that it's possible that this situation helped his OBP - am I forgetting something?
by Toddius396 on Jul 31, 2006 10:52 AM EDT 0 recs
luna's at-bats
by lboros on
Jul 31, 2006 11:04 AM EDT
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Right...
Luna has 120 vsR and 124 vsL. That difference is enough to inflate his overall stats.
by whopperman on
Jul 31, 2006 11:35 AM EDT
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but luna hits
by lboros on
Jul 31, 2006 12:30 PM EDT
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You sure?
2004-05, he was 271/336/414 vsL and 260/311/362 vsR.
Not a massive difference -- probably not even statistically significant yet -- but it definitely IS a difference.
by whopperman on
Jul 31, 2006 12:40 PM EDT
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I'm thinking it might be the same reason
yeah, I love Luna's utility and cost. But I want a 2nd baseman who knows the position.
by sdrone on
Jul 31, 2006 11:36 AM EDT
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i'm sure
by lopey986 on
Jul 31, 2006 11:37 AM EDT
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Anyone read...
Probably explains why Miles is playing so often...TLR thinks he remembers him playing well.
by lopey986 on Jul 31, 2006 11:06 AM EDT 0 recs
great book
by effin fisk on
Jul 31, 2006 2:34 PM EDT
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Reds acquire SP Kyle Lohse
by Ankiels Missing Curveball on Jul 31, 2006 11:14 AM EDT 0 recs
you gotta admire
by houstoncardinal on
Jul 31, 2006 11:18 AM EDT
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i agree
I think this is a good move too. I like Loshe to rebound the next few years.
by azruavatar on
Jul 31, 2006 11:22 AM EDT
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i'm with you
by lboros on
Jul 31, 2006 11:22 AM EDT
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true
by lopey986 on
Jul 31, 2006 11:27 AM EDT
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on the other hand
by DanUpBaby on
Jul 31, 2006 1:58 PM EDT
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Worse indeed
63.2 IP/7.07 ERA/50 ER/80 H/8 HR/25 BB/46 SO/
.308 BAA/.378 OBPA/.454 SLGA/.830 OPSA
by bgh on
Jul 31, 2006 11:21 AM EDT
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This Trade
by lopey986 on
Jul 31, 2006 11:24 AM EDT
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Zach Ward
He is in A Ball , 7-0, with a 2.23 ERA
by Ankiels Missing Curveball on
Jul 31, 2006 11:29 AM EDT
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Lohse can easily rebound
Classic buy low move that can help this year but also has payroll implications for the future.
by azruavatar on
Jul 31, 2006 11:36 AM EDT
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Stats, not of trade
by bgh on
Jul 31, 2006 11:29 AM EDT
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It's on
by bgh on
Jul 31, 2006 11:33 AM EDT
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redreporter.com
by lopey986 on
Jul 31, 2006 11:33 AM EDT
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wha-wha-what!?
by lopey986 on
Jul 31, 2006 11:35 AM EDT
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Krivisky worked in Minnesota
I think this is a good buy low move by Krivisky.
and FYI low-A doesn't mean alot.
by azruavatar on
Jul 31, 2006 11:39 AM EDT
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zac ward
guys like him are easily replaceable.
at best he is two years away from sniffing the majors; the reds are trying to get into the playoffs in 2006.
by lboros on
Jul 31, 2006 11:48 AM EDT
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