Game 29 Open Thread: May 4, 2006

carpenter pettitte
3-1, 1.80 1-4, 5.25
read all about it:
a couple of interesting items in dave studeman's 10 things i didn't know last week feature. first, scroll down to item #3 (slugged "Fangraphs is now tracking WPA") and we find that, among his many amazing achievements in april, albert pujols blew away both leagues in win probability added, or WPA. (if you don't know what WPA is, read this.) studes' chart merely quantifies something we already knew -- viz., that the pu amassed not just a lot of hits last month, but a lot of important hits. he added nearly 70 percent more win probability than any other player in the majors; he was nearly twice as impactful as his nearest competitors. pretty incredible.
carpenter ranked 3d on the list, by the way, which also quantifies something we already knew: remove carp and pujols from the team and the cardinals don't have much going for them. by the numbers presented here, carp and pujols together were 10 games above average. since the cardinals as a group were 4 games above average in april (ie, they had 4 wins more than a .500 team would have), that means the aggregate contribution of the other 23 players was minus 6 games. replace carp and pujols with league-average players, and these cards would have had a 7-19 month . . . . . .
just what we all wanted to hear.
the other thing to note from studes' list is that david eckstein, a great clutch hitter last season (he hit about .375 w RISP), is among baseball's worst clutch performers so far in 2006. (see item #2, slugged "Lance Berkman has been the best clutch hitter.") he hasn't been as bad as encarnacion, who ranks third from the bottom, but it's still a wide swing. makes you wonder if opponents might be pitching eckstein a little finer in those situations now that he doesn't have walker or edmonds coming up behind him. . . . .
dayn perry says pujols may be the best hitter ever.
here's an interesting little read at baseball analysts about the voting for the 1979 nl mvp award, which ended in a dead heat between keith hernandez and pops stargell. per this article, the tie may very well have been illegit --- read to find out why.
also at baseball analysts, bryan smith has more glowing words about colby rasmus: "Colby could be showing better patience and contact skills, but everything else -- including baserunning -- has been sensational. Much better prospect than his numbers indicate at this point."
finally, the date has been set for kerry wood's return to the chicago rotation: may 17. mark prior is expected back "a few weeks" after wood; wade miller purports to be shooting for an early-june return.
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71 comments
Comments
And Milt Pappas
by salvomania on May 4, 2006 4:58 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Oliver Perez
Would he be an upgrade over what we have? I know he would talent wise, and I know his era isn't great right now, but this might be a good time to buy low on him, especially if it's just an issue of time to get his velocity back. He was lights out two years ago, and is still very young.
by Toddius396 on May 4, 2006 5:12 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I didn't know...
by RedbirdRay on May 4, 2006 5:13 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
No---
But clutch hitting does exist, and certain hitters have years in which they excel at clutch hitting, as in Eck last year.
by salvomania on May 4, 2006 5:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sample Size
by RedbirdRay on May 4, 2006 7:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Lineups
SS Eckstein
2B Luna
1B Pujols
RF Encarnacion
3B Rolen
CF Edmonds
C Molina
LF Taguchi
P Carpenter
2B Biggio
CF Taveras
1B Berkman
3B Ensberg
LF Wilson
RF Lane
C Ausmus
SS Everett
P Pettitte
by DCRedbird on May 4, 2006 7:09 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Edmonds Hitting 6th?
by Knish on May 4, 2006 8:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Now that
by rockin redbird on May 4, 2006 7:14 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Oh Lord
by birdie on May 4, 2006 8:05 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Boss is here tonite...
by 26thMan on May 4, 2006 8:14 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
YEAH GOOCH!
double, 2 RBI for Taguchi in the 1st inning! YES!!
by glamberson on May 4, 2006 8:41 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
yadi
by sdesserman on May 4, 2006 8:43 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I think it would have been a triple
by SleepyCA on May 4, 2006 8:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
D-eck
by birdie on May 4, 2006 8:47 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
shannon had a freudian slip
by erik on May 4, 2006 8:49 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Here's to The Moonman!
by 26thMan on May 4, 2006 8:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Good thing I'm not calling the game
by iron duke75 on May 4, 2006 9:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Juan
by Schnake on May 4, 2006 8:56 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Can't stand the juicebox
by birdie on May 4, 2006 9:02 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I don't want to jinx
by birdie on May 4, 2006 9:07 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Hilarious
by sdesserman on May 4, 2006 9:09 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Cool.
by 26thMan on May 4, 2006 9:09 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Bases loaded double by the Gooch
by iron duke75 on May 4, 2006 9:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Gooch
by sdesserman on May 4, 2006 9:12 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I said I didn't want to jinx
by birdie on May 4, 2006 9:21 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Glad this isn't Marquis
by birdie on May 4, 2006 9:23 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
stupid cheap fly ball HR!!!!!
by erik on May 4, 2006 9:24 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Is anyone else getting tired
by iron duke75 on May 4, 2006 9:28 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
IT's better than the pregame show
where Roger Clemens was the Helitech Highlight featured player.
Talk about ignorant.
by glamberson on May 4, 2006 9:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fyi on Jeff Nelson
by sdrone on May 4, 2006 9:31 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Wow
by 26thMan on May 4, 2006 9:38 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Yep
by rob is back on May 4, 2006 9:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
rookie ump
by SleepyCA on May 4, 2006 9:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Geez.
by 26thMan on May 4, 2006 9:58 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
That looked like bad communication
I think if Encarnacion should have made that catch but he was concerned about where the other guys were. Oh well, the run still would have scored.
by glamberson on May 4, 2006 9:59 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
1)
2) Yadi - something about molasses in Jan.
by sdesserman on May 4, 2006 10:07 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Willy was so fast
by sdesserman on May 4, 2006 10:11 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
LOL
by iron duke75 on May 4, 2006 10:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Mess him up, Jimmy!
Cmon, we need some clutch hitting here.
by glamberson on May 4, 2006 10:29 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Edmonds strikes out
by iron duke75 on May 4, 2006 10:33 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
no offense to astro fans
booing albert, booing every pitch on 2 stikes that isn't called for the third, booing wainwright for missing a pitch that tavares had to duck.
by erik on May 4, 2006 10:36 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Great play by Eck
by iron duke75 on May 4, 2006 10:38 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Me too
by iron duke75 on May 4, 2006 10:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
wainwright
that 2-1 curve to ensberg made him look silly and even fooled the ump. still got the strikeout though.
by booker28 on May 4, 2006 10:43 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Gotta love Wainwright's performance
With so many problems right now (Rolen recovering, Pujols ragged, Mulder hurting, Marquis being Marquis, Suppan not sharp, the entire outfield's production, second base uncertainty), it's nice to see Wainwright so rock solid.
by glamberson on May 4, 2006 10:43 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Why
by iron duke75 on May 4, 2006 10:50 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Miles vs. Lidge
LaRussa clearly likes that matchup, but I can't say I agree.
Putting a contact hitter against such a fireballer doesn't match up somehow to me.
by glamberson on May 4, 2006 10:51 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
gary bennett?
by erik on May 4, 2006 10:53 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
pujols left on deck
by erik on May 4, 2006 10:55 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
And again
by iron duke75 on May 4, 2006 10:56 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs




















