Q+A with met blogger Eric Simon
i traded e-mails this afternoon with eric simon, my SB Nation blog-brother over at Amazin Avenue. he proposed that we exchange 5 questions apiece about our teams in advance of the NLCS. my answers to his questions about the cardinals are up here; below, his answers to my questions about the mets.
In the absence of Duaner Sanchez, what's the hierarchy of set-up men in the Met bullpen? Does Wagner ever get called into a game before the start of the 9th?
Obviously Wagner is the closer, and Willie Randolph has gone so far as to say that he won't be used for more than an inning at a time. In the absence of Filthy Sanchez, Aaron Heilman is the primary setup man and can be counted on to pitch the eighth inning in any close game in which the Mets have the lead. Guillermo Mota has been pitching the seventh, with Pedro Feliciano (lefty) and Chad Bradford (righty) bridging the gap between starter and Mota.
What are your biggest beefs with Willie Randolph?
His in-game management decisions are questionable at times. This was a bigger problem in his first season as manager in 2005, though I think they became magnified by the fact that he was a rookie helmsman and that the Mets were still not a great team. He is still prone to the occasional goofy call, like allowing Guillermo Mota to hit for himself with the bases loaded and two outs in a tight Game 1 of the LDS. His bullpen management was spotty last year, but it's amazing what a dependable relief corps can do for a manager's reputation.
Suppose it's 5-4 late in the game, there are men on 1st and 2nd with two outs, and Pujols is up. A walk pushes the go-ahead run into scoring position and puts the tying run in position to score without a hit (walk, hbp, error, wild pitch, etc). Do you want Randolph to a) go right after Pujols and try to get him out, b) unintentionally-intentionally walk him, or c) stop screwing around and hold up 4 fingers?
I'd give him the pass. The Mets' bullpen does not walk a whole lot of batters (Feliciano's bases-loaded walk in Game 3 of the LDS notwithstanding). Randolph would be second-guessed if Poo collected yet another big hit for the Cards in that situation, so I would definitely take my chances with Rolen or whomever else bats behind The King.
If you're in a situation where you have no choice but to pitch to Pujols --- say, in a tie game with the bases loaded -- which Met reliever (aside from Wagner) do you want on the mound?
I'd say Heilman. Bradford is tough on righties and his underhand delivery can be a bit jarring to hitters, but Heilman is the Mets' #2 guy so I'd lean on him in a situation in which I couldn't use Wagner.
Aside from injuries, what Achilles heel on the Met team makes you most nervous about this series?
Their two biggest weaknesses are the lineup's susceptibility to left-handed pitching and the lack of anything resembling a lights-out starting pitcher. The Cardinals have no left-handed starters so as long as the Mets can score some runs before the bullpen takes over I'm not too worried about that. The rotation is a bigger concern, I think. Tom Glavine is what he is: a soft-tossing, crafty lefty-hander. He'll pitch well enough to keep the team in the game. John Maine has been impressive, but he's still pretty inexperienced and has a tendency to give up the longball. Steve Trachsel can't really be counted on for much at this point, and you never know what you're going to get out of Oliver Perez (maybe a 12-strikeout gem, maybe a seven-walk disaster). It looks like El Duque will be out for the duration of the postseason, and with Pedro already on the shelf the Mets' starting pitching is definitely vulnerable.
thanks to eric for initiating the Q+A exchange; looking forward to a great series.
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49 comments
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nice post
by Edmonds is baseball on
Oct 9, 2006 5:32 PM EDT
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Good stuff, larry
Also, when did that Tweedy ad sneak up on the left there? Are you behind that, lb?
by Alxfritz on
Oct 9, 2006 6:11 PM EDT
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Blogads are automated
by Valatan on
Oct 9, 2006 8:57 PM EDT
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some of wilco's people
by lboros on
Oct 9, 2006 10:39 PM EDT
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Is there a sweeter feeling...
kickass
by meat on
Oct 9, 2006 11:33 PM EDT
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That's fantastic
Plenty of rollover minutes, so no worries there.
by 26thMan on
Oct 10, 2006 12:33 AM EDT
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nice
He played summerteeth/piehold/acuff/new madrid. what more could you ask for???!?!
by lookit55 on
Oct 10, 2006 1:29 AM EDT
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Interesting ...
by Timbo02 on
Oct 9, 2006 6:32 PM EDT
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The thing about Floyd is that his injury
by Hardcore Legend on
Oct 9, 2006 6:39 PM EDT
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narvie instead of reyes...?
by ilillillli on
Oct 9, 2006 6:43 PM EDT
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That would be
by liam on
Oct 9, 2006 7:30 PM EDT
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I wouldn't mind exchanging Thompson
Narveson starting though...not sure I'm keen on that. That's a tough spot to put the kid in and frankly I'm not sure he's a better option than Weaver/Suppan/Reyes.
by azruavatar on
Oct 9, 2006 7:41 PM EDT
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This kid
by OKCardsfan on
Oct 9, 2006 9:08 PM EDT
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I'm sure he's mentally stable
by azruavatar on
Oct 9, 2006 9:23 PM EDT
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With TONY?...
by Timbo02 on
Oct 9, 2006 6:44 PM EDT
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Goold says
Game 1 - Weava
Game 2 - Soup
Game 3 - Carp
Game 4 - Marquis or Reyes
...
He (Goold) thinks that Marquis will likely get the nod given his historical "success" against the Mets. I wouldn't bet against it.
by OCCardsFan on
Oct 9, 2006 6:48 PM EDT
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depressing if true
by chuckb on
Oct 9, 2006 7:04 PM EDT
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Shouldn't that be
by cardsrul on
Oct 9, 2006 7:06 PM EDT
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numbers don't lie...
by ilillillli on
Oct 9, 2006 7:16 PM EDT
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whoops
by ilillillli on
Oct 9, 2006 7:17 PM EDT
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Seriously
Who am I kidding? I'm not going anywhere. But I officially reserve the right to cuss LaRussa all I want without the threat of punishment when/if he starts Marquis over Reyes. ;)
by Big Red on
Oct 9, 2006 7:45 PM EDT
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IMHO
If LaRussa starts him, it may be a sign to the team that TLR is not concerned with attitude, and could really bring us off of a high.
So, if you-know-who starts a game this post-season, I'll join in the gratuitous profanity; provided I'm out of earshot of the wife and kids.
by fuegophil on
Oct 9, 2006 8:02 PM EDT
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Marquis will be happy if
by Hernandez on
Oct 9, 2006 8:17 PM EDT
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In all honesty,
In other words, if Marqy Marq (aka Betty) goes out there, put one down in the W column for you guys.
by Scarlet the Cardinal on
Oct 9, 2006 10:23 PM EDT
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Why, Tony, Why?
by orlando card on
Oct 9, 2006 8:23 PM EDT
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MArquis splits
by OKCardsfan on
Oct 9, 2006 9:10 PM EDT
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Tough call either way
I realize this is all spilled milk, but it only further validates Larry's earlier stance that that May 28 game at San Diego was the turning point of the year.
Here's hoping that game four is the potential clincher! You might call me a dreamer...
by itsalemmon1019 on
Oct 9, 2006 9:50 PM EDT
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marquis start
Same thing everybody on the board will do. Root for the good start, pray he throws the way he did in his good days, and hope for about 9 runs.
He may be a wreck, but he's OUR wreck.
(Mind you our a**holes will be tighter than they have ever been and I'll start drinking 4 hours before hand - but that's just me)
by tudor rooter on
Oct 9, 2006 10:41 PM EDT
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Hockey blogs?
by kindred on
Oct 9, 2006 10:02 PM EDT
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no hockey on SB Nation
by lboros on
Oct 9, 2006 10:44 PM EDT
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thanks LB
there are some links there a few other sites, including this message board, which looks pretty active: http://www.letsgoblues.com/phpBB/mods/phpbb_fetch_all/examples/portal.php
by kindred on
Oct 9, 2006 11:08 PM EDT
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Wow
But I can totally see where he's coming from. He really shut them down on his hot streak back in August, and when they needed him to pitch well against Milwaukee during the final series of the season, he stepped up again. The guy's a gamer.
by ryanisforever on
Oct 9, 2006 10:57 PM EDT
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the mets haven't faced carpenter this year
by tnek5 on
Oct 9, 2006 11:57 PM EDT
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the cards
by tnek5 on
Oct 10, 2006 12:02 AM EDT
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well, Pujols did...
by kindred on
Oct 10, 2006 12:34 AM EDT
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Yes.
by glennrwordman on
Oct 10, 2006 8:12 AM EDT
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Trax sux
by Nails on
Oct 10, 2006 12:50 AM EDT
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if he was challening hitters
Any time there are that many runners on, there's a possibility to score.
You can't have 7 RBI's and not have had lots of runners on the bases (unless he hit 7 solo home runs ... which would actually probably look worse for Maine).
by dontEATnachos on
Oct 10, 2006 1:44 AM EDT
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It's not when Carpenter starts
by Nails on
Oct 10, 2006 12:48 AM EDT
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As a team that was the frontrunner
I wouldn't count on that offense to show up when you think it should.
by Hardcore Legend on
Oct 10, 2006 1:33 AM EDT
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That's true...
This year, I think both the Mets and Cards will be able to tee off. I expect a high scoring series.
Notice that the series in August, I think the winning team had 7, 8 and 10 runs or something like that.
by Nails on
Oct 10, 2006 1:43 AM EDT
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That's true
Going against the Mets is that as long as Tony doesn't pull a bonehead move, they won't get to tee off on Mulder and Marquis, two pitchers the Mets scored 14 of their 24 runs off of.
by Hardcore Legend on
Oct 10, 2006 2:05 AM EDT
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This Series
The Cardinal have a shot when Carpenter starts, which may be once, may be twice.
The Cardinals have a shot when Oliver Perez starts - even if Marquis is the Cardinal starter. (Although, their odds would be much better with Reyes, on the mound, obviously.)
That gives the Cardinals a (in my opinion) better than 50/50 chance of winning those 3 games.
That leaves them needing to find a way to win 1 of the 4 starts by Weaver/Suppan. I'd say the odds are very good that, given 4 shots, at least one of those games the Cardinals will get a great start out of Weaver/Suppan.
The Cardinals are still a long shot, in my book, but it's not impossible to imagine them winning this series, and it would not take a TON of luck....just a little.
by Robb on
Oct 10, 2006 10:06 AM EDT
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Faulty Logic though...
The bottom line is that a series always hinges on three or four huge plays. Whoever gets those going their way will win.
by Nails on
Oct 10, 2006 11:23 AM EDT
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What They're Thinking >>>
Whilst many a Met starter's in bandage,
This need not portend disadvantage:
For those that ARE healthy
Make us yet more than wealthy,
And should lead to the Redbirds un-handage.
by Urban Pawnee on
Oct 10, 2006 8:26 AM EDT
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