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morris on the throne

the experts are still discussing the deal matt morris got from the giants. hardball times' dave studeman weighed in yesterday with the opinion that $9m a year for morris is right in step with the market. he does some quick analysis to back up that assertion, then quickly adds: "I'm not saying it makes sense. Only that it is."

baseball think factory's dan szymborski sums up the deal in one word -- "overpriced" -- but still thinks the giants made a smart play. he adds: "Note to the Cardinals: This is not the best time to lose patience with Jason Marquis. Please hold off until you guys finally land a pitcher that you're going after."

it's a split decision at baseball prospectus (quotes culled from bernie's pressbox). one writer (unidentified, but i'm betting it's joe sheehan) hates the signing: "The Giants seem to make at least one huge mistake every winter, but I don't think anyone realized they'd make a mistake this big. . . . . If you want to pick a pitching deal from this winter certain to go sour, this one's my easy favorite." but will carroll thinks the giants will likely get their money's worth:

Morris has remade himself after his shoulder injury and came back nicely from off-season cleanup. Pitchers that remake themselves after injury--think Tommy John or Frank Tanana--often have long careers. . . . Morris isn't a horrible risk from the injury standpoint and likely to be a positive component for a Giants team that you just have to think is going for it this year.

as for myself, i'm still glad the cardinals didn't sign him for that kind of money -- way too much for a #3/#4 starter. that said, i think that morris deserves a hell of a lot better farewell than he's gotten. matty pitched 7 1/2 years for the cardinals, 6 1/2 in the rotation -- longer than tudor, andujar, or carlton. the last pitcher to come up through the cardinal system and pitch this long for the team was bob forsch; before that, bob gibson. morris succeeded where so many other heralded homegrown pitchers (donovan osborne, joe magrane, john denny, rick ankiel come quickly to mind) failed: he became a true rotation anchor, even briefly pitched like an ace. we can only hope that one of the young arms in the pipeline (reyes wainwright lambert etc) contributes anything close to what morris gave the franchise.

what he did, above all else, was show up. morris' 206 starts for stl ranks 10th on the all-time franchise leaderboard; in the postwar era (ie the last two generations) he ranks 5th, behind only gibson, forsch, harry brecheen, and larry jackson. and in the last generation (30 years) only forsch made more starts for the cards.

matty's 1377 innings pitched rank 18th on the all-time cardinal list; again, he stands 5th since world war ii (behind gibby forsch brecheen and jackson) and 2d since 1975, behind only forsch.

morris is the 15th-winningest cardinal pitcher of all-time, with 101. post-ww2 he's tied for 4th with jackson, behind gibson forsch and brecheen.

his 986 strikeouts are the 4th-most in franchise history, behind gibson, dizzy dean, and forsch. morris also rates 7th all-time in ks per 9 innings.

morris's .620 winning percentage is 8th on the franchise leaderboard (for pitchers with at least 500 innings pitched), and the 2d best since world war 2 -- only john tudor won with greater frequency.

and he has the 35th-best era of any cardinal pitcher in history, 3.61. given the high-scoring era in which morris pitched, that ain't too bad. in the last generation he stands 6th, behind john tudor (the franchise's all-time leader), joaquin andujar, joe magrane, danny cox, bob tewksbury, and jose deleon.

finally, matt morris has made the most postseason starts in franchise history -- 11. i know i know, that's misleading -- in this era of marathon postseasons, it's very easy to rack up gaudy totals. and some of you will also point out that morris won only 2 of his 11 starts, and that the cardinals went only 4-7 behind him. but morris pitched beautifully in three of his defeats (including two elimination games) and lost only for lack of run support. he wasn't gibson, but you could (and i would) argue that he was the cardinals' best postseason pitcher since. the only real competition comes from tudor, who had a better record; but tudes faced much weaker opponents and crumbled in two potential championship-clinching games.

if you divide up the last 50 years or so and choose one stl pitcher as the "face" of each period, 1956-1975 was the reign of gibson, and 1976-1990 was the bob forsch period. mark 1991-2005 down as the time of matt morris. an era has ended. for the last time: besta luck to you matty. thanks for a whole lotta memories.

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Always a stickler
and I can't help myself, but Woody ranks second---not Matty Mo---in post-WWII winning pct. among Cardinal pitchers with min. 500 ip: he went 45-22 (.672) in 588.2 ip as a Redbird.

I'll always promote Woody's tenure here, as I think what he did was phenomenal, considering what he was when he showed up, and where he went from there. His stretch from when the Cardinals got him in August 2001 though the first half of 2003 is one of the greatest runs by a Cardinal pitcher in my lifetime, perhaps bettered by Gibson in '68 as well as Tudor, and maybe Carp for 5/6 of last year....

(and you can blame bb-ref for its inaccurate list....)

by salvomania on Dec 15, 2005 10:03 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

you're right salvo
thanks for the correction. i checked b-ball ref'nce; they impose the add'l condition that a pitcher have a minimum of 75 decisions before showing up on any of the career leaderboards, which is why woody is excluded.

woody prob'y at least deserves to be mentioned as part of the discussion re cards' greatest postseason pitchers; he made five excellent starts, then had one disastrous start in game 1 of the '04 series. but overall he was magnificent.

by lboros on Dec 15, 2005 10:42 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yes, Woody shone in the postseason
..up until that Game 1 start in Boston (curse you, Clemens, for getting bombed in the All Star Game!!).

Woody's first 5 ps starts:

32 ip, 23 h, 10 er, 2.81 era, 27/6 K/BB, 0.91 whip, 3-1 record

He also slugged .444 with a pair of doubles in 9 postseason AB with the Birds, making him one of the team's better offensive performers in the playoffs...

by salvomania on Dec 15, 2005 10:49 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm happy Matty-Mo is gone...
...but also happy he was a Cardinal. Let's hope we're starting the era of Carpenter, or better yet the era of Reyes!

By the way, what does it say about our franchise when you go from Gibby to Forsch? Yikes!

by PhatAlbert on Dec 15, 2005 10:36 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

BP quote
The quote about the Giants one big mistake each offseason was in Christina Karhl's transaction analysis piece yesterday on BP. It's a good column, but I think she's a little off on how bad it is. I thought the Matheny signing was worse than this one for the Giants. Then again, the Giants pretty much spit in the face of statistical analysis outside Barry Lamar.
"You spend a good piece of your life gripping a baseball and in the end it turns out that it was the other way around all the time." - Jim Bouton

by WillieMcGeeModelingCompany on Dec 15, 2005 11:06 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Those amazin' Giants
One bad signing an offseason?  It's funny--any time the Giants sign anyone, I assume they've paid too much for someone past their prime.

by Archaeopteryx on Dec 15, 2005 12:15 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Morris needed a better farewell?
This was a nice piece, and it reminded me to appreciate Morris for what he did as a Cardinal. But I don't think the Cards low-balled him or can be accused of offending him on his exit.

Matt Morris was grossly overpaid in 2003-04, earning $23 mil in those years alone.  

It's actually nice to see that the Cards' offer was more in line with what he would be worth than what he's already accomplished.

SF continues to raise eyebrows.

by roller on Dec 15, 2005 1:17 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Comeback
I still think Morris will have a nice comeback season with the Giants.  I think he will perform similar to the first half of '05.

by Zubin on Dec 15, 2005 1:24 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Thanks for a great post
Matt was a home-grown hero.

I think it was time for him to make better for himself in San Fran.  I think he'll love it there and I will be rooting for him.

I am glad, too, that I won't lose anymore sleep over him during the post season.  =^)

I probably think about this stuff too much......

by cardsnutincali on Dec 15, 2005 2:15 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

As lb and
regular readers here know, Morris was a huge favorite of mine. I always loved his grit and determination on the mound, and his refusal to take any shit from anyone. 2004 was difficult for me to watch, because you could see the frustration on his face everytime he got hammered; yet, he still won 15 games. The way he pitched in the first half of 2005 reminded me of the "old" Matty Mo, and then he crashed and burned. As much as I would've liked to see him come back, it was time for him to go. The team made it abundantly clear they didn't want him back, and he knew that. I wish him nothing but luck in San Francisco.

by cardsrul on Dec 15, 2005 2:53 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

there's something to be said for
homegrown talent. It's nice having good farm talent to trade for superstars, but nothing beats watching the players you rooted for in the minors to make an impact on your team for many years...a la Morris.

Something to remember in the midst of all the trade talk.

by VanRam on Dec 15, 2005 4:15 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

move
blalock to second and have him for when Rolen gets hurt..he's twenty five and could be the third baseman when rolen gets aged...which isnt to far along at his rate

by punchinjudy on Dec 15, 2005 4:17 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

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