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Around SBN: Explaining Jeremy Lin's Early, Surprising Success

wee willie harris

one of my favorite scrap-heapers is off the heap: eric young has re-signed with san diego for a year at $700K. damn; i've always liked him.

also, mlb trade rumors has billy wagner going to the mets for four years, $40 mill -- holy hoyt wilhelm, that's a lotta moolah for 65 innings a year.

and you've all heard that seattle signed japanese catcher kenji johima for three years, $16.5 mill. busy day.

apropos the latter signing, dayn perry thinks seattle should bid farewell to unhappy outfielder ichiro and deal him for a prospect -- like, say, the cards' anthony reyes. not bloody likely . . . .

that cute high-school-prom couple pictured over at deadspin is in fact david eckstein and ashley drane, the latter apparently an actress of some sort. she's even shorter'n he is. and so too is a player mentioned at derrick goold's blog as a possible keystone partner for david: chisox reserve 2b willie harris. . . . hold it, on checking my facts i see that harris is listed at 5'9", a couplainches taller than david. whatever -- he's another lil' scrappy fellah, and surprisingly enough the only player in mlb history named willie harris. i didn't know a thing about this guy until goold dropped the name -- with the coy suggestion that jocketty is quietly pursuing a trade.

having looked him over, i'm intrigued. he's the type of player that smart organizations take advantage of -- viz., a player who does a limited number of things pretty well. in harris' case, those things seem to be a) getting on base, b) running the bases, and c) playing defense. what he can't do is a) hit left-handed pitchers or b) hit for power. but he'd be cheap, and he's still pretty young (28) -- both attractive features.

i linked to his baseball cube page because he's had nearly twice as many at-bats in the minor leagues (1337) than in the majors (854) -- and because his minor-league record suggests a potential that the mlb record doesn't. harris has had excellent walk rates at every level, hence pretty good obps. in three stops at triple-a totaling one season's worth of plate appearances (635), he walked 66 times and compiled a .370 obp, adding 51 sb in 70 att (73 pct). in about the same number of pa with the white sox the last couple of years (594), he drew 64 walks and posted a .342 obp, with 29 sb in 39 att (74 pct). alas, the kid has no power -- slugging avgs in the low .300s -- so even in a good year his ops doesn't crack .700. but the on-base potential intrigues.

if we parse out some data, he looks slightly better. first, harris' production has been hurt by the sox's ballpark -- away from home he's hit .286 with a .357 obp / .693 ops. he's also pretty good vs right-handers: .358 obp against them the last couple of year combined. one can imagine him in a left-right platoon at 2b with either luna or scrap-heap free-agent d'angelo jimenez.

he would appear to be a pretty good fielder: low error totals, and at or above the league in average in zone rating, range factor, and rate 2. in his lone season as a regular, 2004, he earned 4.1 defensive win shares, 11th in the league at the position -- but he started only 76 games at 2b that year and appeared there in only 92. mark grudzielanek also started 76 games at 2b in 2004, and he registered 3.6 defensive win shares. . . . for that matter, the cards' starting 2b in 2004, tony womack, got 4.5 defensive win shares that year -- in a full season.

harris's skill set appears to be very similar to womack's, except harris gets on base more often and plays better defense. other similar players include quilvio veras and mark mclemore, who parlayed on-base ability (.350 career obp), basepath speed, and versatility afield into a 19-year major-league career. indeed, harris' career trajectory is about where mclemore's was in 1993, when -- after knocking around for five seasons as a part-time, quadruple-a type player -- he finally got an everyday job with the orioles at age 28. mclemore responded by hitting .284 with a .353 obp. over the next 10 years he had an aggregate obp of .363 (thanks day by day database), among the top 5 at the position over that time span; he started for four division winners and a wild-card team.

harris made just above the minimum last year, and although he's now arbitration eligible he's not likely to get much of a raise -- not after splitting the year between triple-a and the end of the white sox's bench. dollar for dollar he's probably a better buy than grudzielanek -- 80-90 pct of the value for about 1/3 the price. it shouldn't take much to shake him loose; he apparently was unhappy about losing his job to iguchi last spring and got the dreaded "bad-attitude" label. the sox wanted scott eyre pretty badly; maybe they'd accept ray king as a substitute. or maybe it wouldn't even take that much; maybe carmen cali and some autographed baseballs would suffice.

given the increasing likelihood that grud'k will sign elsewhere for way too much money, the cards may have to get creative in filling the 2b vacancy. harris is just another option. . . .

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Willie's in it
Having watched a lot of White Sox games here in Illinois, the weird thing about Harris was that last year, he was stealing bases and attempting steals at a pretty good clip until Brian Roberts came to town with his walking lead. It somehow created a mental block for Harris and he struggled on the bases afterward. He didn't play much this year, but he does have good speed and a dual-flap helmet. Which is nice.
"You spend a good piece of your life gripping a baseball and in the end it turns out that it was the other way around all the time." - Jim Bouton

by WillieMcGeeModelingCompany on Nov 21, 2005 5:15 PM EST reply actions  

Willie Harris
Eh, maybe as a replacement for what Nunez should've been last year-off the bench middle infielder, but I'm not so sure if he's starter material. if all goes wrong and we don't find a 2nd baseman than I guess platoon him with Luna.  

by erik on Nov 21, 2005 5:27 PM EST reply actions  

that's
why i come here first, lb. thanks for the 411.

by cardsrul on Nov 21, 2005 7:41 PM EST reply actions  

Harris isn't very good...
... at helping opposing 1B coaches when they're attacked by fans however.

by Rob H on Nov 21, 2005 8:54 PM EST reply actions  

Apparently...
Beckett and Lowell are headed to Boston for Hanley Ramirez and Minor League pitching prospect Anibal Sanchez.

by cardsrul on Nov 21, 2005 10:38 PM EST reply actions  

VAZ-DEFERENCE...
2 YEARS $23 MILLLION IS TOO MUCH, BUT YOU'D BE WILLING TO SPEND OVER 5/$50 FOR BURNETT????!!!!

WILLIE HARRIS, AT MLM, WOULD BE A VERY CHEAP, CAPABLE REPLACEMENT AT 2B...  THAT'S A GREAT IDEA, IMHO!!!

THE MEDIA ARE ALL SAYING HOW GILES WOULD BE OURS IF ONLY WE WANTED HIM, LOL!!!

by TOLAXOR on Nov 22, 2005 6:49 AM EST reply actions  

but vazquez
ain't a free agent --- he'd cost 2 yrs / $23 mill PLUS players. so we'd take on salary while opening holes elsewhere on the roster. in burnett's case, walt a) doesn't have to open holes to acquire him, and b) can mitigate the cost by moving other salaries off the books.

then there's this consideration: vazquez's era the last two seasons combined is 4.66, and his hr-allowed totals the last two years are 35 and 33 . . .

i'll grant you this: 5 yrs / $50m is too much for burnett. but if he'd consider a 4-yr deal, then maybe he's worth the risk . . . .

by lboros on Nov 22, 2005 7:15 AM EST up reply actions  

RUN ANOTHER SIMULATOR:
THIS TIME, ASSUME WE GET WILKERSON FOR MARQUIS, AND MILTON BRADLEY FOR A MINOR LEAGUE PTBNL....

FILL IN WILLIE HARRIS AT 2B!!!

AND THEN TELL US WHAT HAPPENS WHEN TONY AND MILTON BRADLEY GOT THROWN TOGETHER IN A LOCKED ROOM FOR EGO DEATHMATCH!!!!

by TOLAXOR on Nov 22, 2005 6:52 AM EST reply actions  

No
Milton Bradley is not a Cardinal type player.   I sincerely hope the Cubs pick him up; I'd love to wait for him to explode during a night home game so I can see it in high def.

by sdrone on Nov 22, 2005 10:27 AM EST reply actions  

VAZ-CERTAIN THE IMPORTANCE
ON THE OTHER HAND, JAVIER HAS THROWN OVER 150 INNINGS, CONSISTANTLY IN THE LAST 5 YEARS, HOW MANY TIMES HAS BURNETT????!!!!

by TOLAXOR on Nov 22, 2005 6:27 PM EST reply actions  

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