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Around SBN: Win or Lose, Boston Celtics' New Big 3 Era A Success

round n round she goes

i have a minor quibble with bernie's column yesterday, in which he asserts that the cardinal rotation is one of the worst in franchise history. the flaw in that statement is that it assumes the cardinals have a rotation. what they have are rotations, plural --- each cycle through is a little bit different from the preceding one. in early may, after the team settled on brad thompson rather than keisler as a 5th starter, the team went through 4 conseuctive cycles of wainwright / wells / looper / reyes / thompson; a fifth cycle followed the same pattern but omitted thompson (due to an off day). that was a rotation; it lasted until about memorial day. since then the cardinals have moved reyes out of and back into the rotation two times; thompson has yo-yo'd back and forth; wells got dumped, then came back; looper missed a few turns on the dl; maroth and wellemeyer contributed their skills to the endeavor; and now piniero's aboard. a bicycle wheel doesn't have this many spokes.

surprisingly, one contending team has labored along with a rotation that's almost as disorganized as stl's. the yankees have used nearly as many starting pitchers (12) as st louis (13) --- and just as many bad ones. they've received 27 starts from pitchers with a current era of 6.00 or higher; the cardinals have received 22 such starts. (wells's outings no longer count in this category, as his era has come down into the mid-5.00s.) another contender, seattle, has an even worse rotation than new york. the mariners have used only 7 starting pitchers this season, but 3 of them (including jeff weaver) currently have eras of 6.00 or higher. the rotations, statistically:

IP ERA AVG OBP SLG W-L
cardinals 600 5.46 .288 .355 .455 30-50
mariners 628.2 5.07 .294 .353 .452 37-42
yankees 625.2 4.68 .284 .342 .440 39-36

ironically, the team that has ended up with the rotation profile we all hoped the cardinals could muster is the team they are (ostensibly) chasing, the brewers. milwaukee has 4 starting pitchers with eras hovering around 5.00 --- #4/#5 types --- with an ace at the top holding things together (ben sheets until he got hurt; rookie yovanni gallardo at the moment). that's the formula the cardinals tried to apply this year, but the ingredients just didn't gel. the brewers are 8th in the league in runs allowed and on track to yield 741 runs --- about the figure i guesstimated for the cardinals way back in january, while messing around with PECOTA. (ha ha ha; PECOTA projected the cardinals to have the 2d-best pitching staff in the national league.) milwaukee's rotation is no great shakes, but it's good enough to contend in a weak division.

* * * * * * *

busch iii is playing as one the most hr-suppressing parks in the national league this year. in 51 games there this season, the cardinals and their opponents have combined for 79 homers ---- 1.55 per contest --- vs 2.17 hr/game in 58 road games. so the ballpark is quashing hrs by 29 percent so far this year. compare that to the two parks best known for suppressing homers, the padres' petco and the nats' rfk:
hr/g
home
hr/g
road
pct
decr
busch iii 1.55 2.17 29 %
petco 1.43 1.87 31 %
rfk 1.44 2.00 39 %

last season busch iii suppressed home-run output by about 14 percent --- not nearly as large an effect as we've so far this year, but not insignificant. the outlines of a trend are beginning to emerge. when we contemplate the abrupt decrease in power from the 2004-05 cardinals to the 2006-07 era, the ballpark has to be taken into account. it's not as big a factor as age / infirmity, but it's probably a strong second. on the flip side, though --- how awful would the 2006-07 pitching staffs look without that ballpark effect?

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G'Mornin!
Good morning all!

You know, Larry, your point brings up an interesting tangent in my mind.  

IF Bush III is suppressing homeruns, then why push for extreme groundball pitchers?  

I was reading the posts last week following one of the entries here, and the commentor (sorry, but I don't remember who you are) noted that a ballpark like Texas's or Cincinnatti's would demand grounball-type pitchers.  However, a ballpark that suppresses power by its very existence would not predicate such a necessity, would it?

I'm a man, a manly, manly, man. Unknown

by Eckstreem on Aug 7, 2007 9:52 AM EDT reply actions  

1 more thing!
Bernie's constant negativity, while well founded, is getting REALLY old!
I'm a man, a manly, manly, man. Unknown

by Eckstreem on Aug 7, 2007 9:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

If you aren't with Bernie
you are clearly a Kool-Aid drinker.

Not to get into a Bernie-bashfest, because that isn't what this blog is about, but for all his 'The Cardinals are Nixonian about information', he uses 'Kool-Aid drinker' like the current administration used 'freedom hater'.

Call up PJ Walters!

by Hardcore Legend on Aug 7, 2007 10:03 AM EDT up reply actions  

Bashfest
I'll have to join in on this. The whole Kool-Aid Drinker thing is such a stale, juvenile taunt—it's annoying as all get-out. Bernie reacts to criticism with those kinds of taunts instead of making even an attempt at a professional response, something along the lines of "you don't agree with me, I see, no need to resort to personal attacks; give me some facts to show why I'm wrong and maybe I'll change my opinion." For some reason, he'd rather escalate the flame war until it gets out of control and then act like he had no part in fanning the flames.

I don't understand it, because he's a smart guy, a good writer, and one of the more respected media personalities in town. I guess he just enjoys fighting with pre-teens on the internet because nothing good or productive comes of it. Some of the people who post comments in his blog and his forum are way over the top, but he's at least partly to blame for it with the hostile and predictable manner that he reacts.

It's a disappointment. When he started the Extra Points thing, I thought it would have a different tone, but it's just the Pressbox with longer, better thought out entries and an open sewer tainting it all.

Not to participate in a bashfest, though.

by liam on Aug 7, 2007 10:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

His job is to sell papers
And I think that's why he does fan the flames. People read columnists in part to get an emotion from someones opinion -- and some people get off listening to/reading people who they might not like.

I don't agree with the style, but it seems to be working for the guy.

Boooo-urns.

by Alxfritz on Aug 7, 2007 10:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

It all depends on your state of mind
I see little wrong with what Bernie writes.

by JMedwick on Aug 7, 2007 10:36 AM EDT up reply actions  

Good Morning Everyone
Great post Lboros
I had no idea Busch III was suppressing home runs wow hadnt noticed that at all.
Maybe we should bring back Marquis maybe then he wouldnt give up 30 home runs lol.

by Calhoun on Aug 7, 2007 9:57 AM EDT reply actions  

Bernie
Yeah I have noticed Bernie's negativity too I cant stand him.
Did anyone see him on the FSN Post game last night?
he was a jerk!
I would much rather see Rick Horton on the post game at least hes more optimistic.
We already know things are bad why would we wanna hear Bernie being a jerk about it?

by Calhoun on Aug 7, 2007 10:03 AM EDT reply actions  

I'll take negativity over idiocy
which many other baseball teams are forced to put up with.

by azruavatar on Aug 7, 2007 10:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

some call it negativity
some call it reality. the organization has some serious problems to confront. they have made some bad decisions, and with carpenter shelved until this time next year the future doesn't look particularly bright.

negative? or the truth?

by lboros on Aug 7, 2007 10:13 AM EDT up reply actions  

Not sure "truth" is the right word...
more like negativity vs. reality.

I vote reality.

by SmashedAtoms on Aug 7, 2007 3:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Disagree
It's not wise nor polite to set yourself up as the one living in reality and claiming that those who disagree with you are living in a fantasy realm.

You can be a realistic optimist—I consider myself to be one. But there's little more annoying that unrealistic pessimists, people who are too quick to give up, who always are looking for signs the sky is falling, who can't wait to point out how smart they were when they said that bad times would eventually come.

You'd think they would have wised up a bit after last season, when all looked lost (in spite of being in first place in the division) and somehow that group of cast-offs, rookies, and old, broken-down men brought home the first World Series since '82.

This isn't last year and the likelihood of this team closing the gap and winning the central are thin, but it's arrogant to imply that anyone who allows himself to hope for this team to somehow beat those odds or to even play winning baseball down the stretch is a fool cutoff from reality.

I think it's a better way to be than constantly complaining and ragging on the team. This isn't the best Cardinals team we've seen, but these players are in now way unworthy of us as fans.

by liam on Aug 7, 2007 3:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

i think there's not much to argue about here
you and bernie --- all of us, really --- agree on what reality is: to quote you, reality is that "the likelihood of this team closing the gap and winning the central are thin."

that's the truth, and nobody seems to be in disagreement about it. at least, i haven't heard anybody argue that bernie has misrepresented the team's prospects.

the disagreement is only about whether, in stating that reality bluntly, bernie was being "negative." that's just a matter of opinion. i didn't think so, but others did --- i think because you (and they) are aggravated by what you describe as unrealistic pessimist. i don't think that description fits bernie, but again --- just my opinion. and i would also make the case that an unrealistic optimist (and i'm not talking about you liam, because i accept your self-definition as a realistic optimist) is no less aggravating than an unrealistic pessimist. bernie came on pretty strong in attacking the unrealistic-optimist view, and that's probably what set people off today. . . .

anyway, the difference of opinion doesn't seem to be about what reality is. it's about the appropriate tone in which to address and discuss that reality.

by lboros on Aug 7, 2007 4:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed
Bernie's not being unrealistic in describing the team's problems in that column, although I disagree with his many of his solutions in the last few paragraphs—specifically, I don't see any benefit in starting Chris Perez' clock in September when he ought to be resting up and getting mentally prepared for the run-scoring environment of the Arizona Fall League. If he's talking about bringing up all these youngsters before roster expansion, then I'd say he's being a tad unrealistically optimistic that Walt could find takers for Eckstein and Encarnacion to make roster room for Ryan and Ankiel this month.

My rant wasn't so much directed at Bernie as it was at my fellow fans bitching and boasting on forums and in blogs. Bernie's job is to write things that will get read. It'd be nice if he'd aspire to Hummelian understatement but that's not his style.

by liam on Aug 7, 2007 5:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

agreed on chris perez
no need to rush him up here.

re brendan ryan, i think it's a tossup --- he certainly didn't look overwhelmed when he was up, and it might be argued that the cardinals are a better team with him in the lineup, as opposed to eckstein (who clearly is limited by physical ailments). there's a case to be made that ryan is the better player both in the short term and the long term; i'm not entirely convinced of that yet, but i could be.

re ankiel --- i think he needs every day of development time he can possibly get. let him play out the season in memphis and spend the last 3-4 weeks in st louis.

i do think there could be a taker for eckstein, although the return probably wouldn't be great. if guys like mark loretta, jeff cirillo, and jack wilson are finding homes on contending teams' rosters, then surely somebody would take eckstein. likewise, surely some team out there would consider troy percival or kip wells to be an improvement. out here in denver, the rockies are desperate for pitching of any type, and they have some minor-league depth from which to trade. a farmhand who's useless in their well-stocked system might have some value in our thinner one.

by lboros on Aug 7, 2007 5:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

my apologies...
I never meant to imply that those who are hopeful and optimistic are living in a fantasy realm or are cutoff from reality.  So, for it coming across like that, again, my apologies.

I was meaning, and probably could have explained myself better, was that I liked Bernie's article, and felt it's been a long time coming, and that it's about time somebody said it -- my opinion only.  In other words, if it barks like a dog, looks like a dog, smells like a dog, etc... chances are it's not anything else -- or, the reality of it would be:  it's a dog.  

Don't get me wrong.  Past posts in the last few months will show I was/am as optimistic as anyone in my rooting for the Cards (blindly rooting and not worrying until the All Star Break).  I was glad of the Carpenter extension, the Edmonds extension, and so forth.  I thought last spring that we'd have a pretty competetive team.  

Now, with the events that have passed, while I still cheer, I'm also looking to the future.  It's obvious that I was mistaken from my thoughts last spring.  Many were.  This team needs some help in starting pitching, youth, speed, and offense (sure, last night's victory was great to watch, but in our 5 game losing streak, I believe the number of men left on base was around 60 - no link for that, mentioned either by Shannon or Rooney.  On top of that, getting singles and base hits are just fine when you string them together, but when you have one or two per inning, it doesn't help much).

Do I agree with everything Bernie said?  No... I'm with you and Larry on the Chris Perez mention, as well as Ankiel - he needs as much time as possible to develop (when he does come up, it'd be nice if he stayed a while).  Hoffpauir probably still needs time to develop a little more, I could be on the fence with him.  And Ryan - call him up and lets give him an extended period to see what he can do.

To end, I'm a huge supporter of the Cardinals, always giving them the benefit of the doubt.  I do not constantly complain and rag on the team.  However, I do feel this season has reached the point where someone needed to take a step outside the box, look at it objectively (non-biased) and call it like it is.  My opinion only.  No offense was ever meant to imply that those who think otherwise are foolish.

Perhaps I should refrase my above post.  I vote for the objective perspective.

Again, my apologies.

by SmashedAtoms on Aug 7, 2007 6:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

None necessary
I unfairly picked on your post to try to (clumsily) make a point.

Always glad to be in the company of Cardinals fans.

by liam on Aug 8, 2007 3:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

Bernie has credibility
because in the past he's often been proven right.

Example: when Bernie warned about clubhouse dissent and Tino Martinez's negative influence back in 2003, the organization jumped all over him. But then over the winter the club moved Tino and let Vina go, and suddenly the clubhouse was a more harmonious place.  

He also gave plenty of warning signs before the big La Russa/Rolen dustup last October.

Even though I don't always agree with his opinions, I'm usually pretty confident that they're grounded in something real, unlike so many of the other talking heads out there.

by Hastur on Aug 7, 2007 10:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

Next year's team won 105 games
that'll bring a lot of harmony to the clubhouse!

by chuckb on Aug 7, 2007 11:18 AM EDT up reply actions  

but
the better atmosphere was evident from the beginning of the season, before all those wins.

by Hastur on Aug 7, 2007 6:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

I vote truth too...
And btw, who in their right mind would rather listen to Rick Horton. He is a horrible baseball analyst. Almost makes me wonder how he hasn't been hired by ESPN yet...

by JMedwick on Aug 7, 2007 10:38 AM EDT up reply actions  

Rick Horton
Rick Horton IS AWESOME!!

by Calhoun on Aug 7, 2007 10:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

I like Horton
He doesn't talk too much. He's got a lot of respect for the players from both teams. He has fun doing his job and knows quite a bit about pitching.

He's fun to listen to and does his job well, imho.

His bright and cheery demeanor might turn people off, but it doesn't rub me as some kind of "the Cardinals are still gonna win the WS this year," it's more of a "bad day at the ball park beats a good day at the office" kinda thing.

by liam on Aug 7, 2007 10:59 AM EDT up reply actions  

I will give Horton this...
He is better than Harbosky, but that is not saying much.

You know who I miss, Bob Carpenter. I always liked his play by play, even if his color guys have been awful.

by JMedwick on Aug 7, 2007 11:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

Bob Carpenter was bordering on hysteria
with his homerism this past weekend.  It was like the Nationals won the pennant.
Call up PJ Walters!

by Hardcore Legend on Aug 7, 2007 11:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

I agree
and the only thing good about pairing him w/ Don Sutton is that it improves the broadcasts of the other 29 teams.  If they were split up, the Nats broadcast would be better but someone else's would be worse.

by chuckb on Aug 7, 2007 11:19 AM EDT up reply actions  

I agree completely
Nice post Liam you read my mind
"bad day at the ball park beats a good day at the office"
I`ll need to remember that its a good saying.

by Calhoun on Aug 7, 2007 11:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

Bernie's good at what he does
but he has a decidedly negative slant in alot of what he writes.  I don't deny the validity of his arguments so much as the face he puts on it.  Case in point - quoting the raw-ERA of the rotation as the "42nd worst in history" purely inflammatory in nature given you are comparing it to the deadball era when you don't do any kind of normalization.

I don't fault him most of the time as he's writing for the general populace and not a bunch of geeks in basements -- he's got a task that I don't think I'd particularly want to take on.

by azruavatar on Aug 7, 2007 10:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

AMEN
I agree completely Azruavatar
I don't disagree with what he says I disagree with the face he puts on it.
He acts like a total snot when hes on air and like hes the only person who knows anything.
I seriously think hes still mad about that fight him and Tony had.
There is a difference between negativity and truth you can tell the truth without being negative about it.

by Calhoun on Aug 7, 2007 10:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

Exactly...
He starts with the question, "Is it possible to have an adult conversation?"--and then snarks it up like a 10 yr old. I often agree with Bernie's substance, but the faux tough guy pose he sometimes adopts is always ridiculous. I guess the answer to his question is "No, he can't."

by rockin redbird on Aug 7, 2007 2:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

bernie
is always great for scoops and i think he tells it how it is, it can be taken as negative, and it's over the top sometimes. he tries to use stats to back his point, even things like vorp and stuff like that, but he doesn't alwasy seem to use it right. like with the ERA thing in that column, he could've used ERA + to contextualize. but to me, it's a little refreshing to have someone who doesn't always feel he has to hold back, or paint a pretty face on something when things are off.

but for me, if i wanna read sportwriting, i stick to blogs or BP. not 100%, but there's just so many blowhard sportswriters who do shoddy work, or just inflame issues and beat them to death.

by erik on Aug 7, 2007 1:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

Lotta good stuff on the intartubes
Azru pointed out Pinto's study of good hitters splits versus pitchers with different ERAs earlier. It reminded me a bit of an article someone wrote about who to assign blame/credit for strikeouts—whether good pitchers are better at striking out strikeout-prone hitters or whether they strike out all hitters; and whether strikeout-prone hitters tend to strikeout against good pitchers or all pitchers in general. It had some surprising results but for the life of me, I couldn't remember where I'd seen it. BP, THT, Beyond the Boxscore, Pinto, the Book Blog... I couldn't remember since there are so many good places for that sort of thing these days.

by liam on Aug 7, 2007 1:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ballpark Factor for Ks
BP has an article today on ballpark factor for strikeouts in which Busch is the 8th most strikeout surpressing park in MLB. (it is a free article located here: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=6559)

by StLHugo on Aug 7, 2007 2:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

I assume...
that wasn't directed at Rick Horton who is one of the truly good guys in baseball.  During Mike's absence from the radio booth Rick was the only guy I could stand to listen to along side John.

I made it to my 2nd Cards game of the season last night.  That place was rocking in the fifth inning!!!

by cardzfanbub on Aug 7, 2007 10:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed.
Bernie has been pretty tame with negativity, if you consider the output from some of the other troglodytes (Mariotti, Plaschke) that write for major media markets around the country.  And I'd rather have an objective viewpoint surrounding the team's performance and path forward than mindless declarations that the Cardinals are "too legit to quit".

If anything, it seems like Bernie's change in tone has been driven by the Cardinals' unwillingness to deal with criticism from the media this year.  There's always a fair (and natural) amount of tension between the ballclub and the media, but the team has been noticeably defensive this year and Bernie, as a result, has been visibly frustrated with the increased difficulty behind doing his job.

To me, it seems like the organization feels that they should deserve a free pass on criticism since they won the World Series last year and, while they may be right up to a point, they seem a little too willing to take advantage of it, in my opinion.  

Whether the Cardinals want to own up to it or not, it has been an embarrassing season, on and off the field.  And, even though Miklasz has actually went to lengths to defend the team through some of the unfortunate events that have occurred this season (LaRussa's DUI, siding with TLR/Duncan on Reyes), they've still felt the need to be overly defensive because he's balanced those points with valid criticism of the team's effort and lack of activity through the offseason, both of which have directly resulted in a season that I would consider one of the more painful World Series follow-up seasons since the Great Marlins Fire Sale in 1998.  

Maybe I'm "drinking the kool-aid", but I understand the frustration.

by The Man in Blak on Aug 7, 2007 10:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

I don't know if I agree.
When the controversy initially began, Miklasz went to great lengths on his radio show to defend Dave Duncan's accomplishments as a pitching coach.  Earlier this season, he essentially called Reyes a moron on the STLToday forum.

http://www.vivaelbirdos.com/story/2007/5/28/125952/816

I think he's turned the corner a bit recently (these events all happened before the column that you linked), but that doesn't change the fact that he was actually out in front, defending the coach when the controversy started.

by The Man in Blak on Aug 7, 2007 10:59 AM EDT up reply actions  

Bernie revisited his original
statements because if you remember LaDunc went through a time where they implied Reyes was struggling because of some sort of character flaw rather than a locating his pitches flaw.  Perhaps Bernie felt he took a cheap shot, well, because he did.

by jillsinmo on Aug 7, 2007 11:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

Bernie is a smart guy who
is usually worth reading.  His problem is that he's got a temper and occasionally goes over the top.  After a while you just expect a certain amount of volatility, but it doesn't invalidate all of his work by any means.

by MdRedbirdFreak on Aug 7, 2007 10:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

Pitching Depth
I agree that Bernie was a bit vague about criticizing the rotation.  But it seems like he was trying to drive home how much the Cardinals need to re-tool.  And I think that, along with today's post, gets at the most salient criticism of the pitching staff - there was never any depth.

The Carpenter injury was a mortal wound, no doubt.  But even if he remained healthy, we still would have likely seen this not-so-merry-go-round.  You have to assume that at least one member of your rotation will go down to injury, so even if it wasn't our ace we'd still be seeing Thompson, Keisler, etc.  Reyes and Wells still would have struggled, opening the door for Wellemeyer, Maroth, et al.

Stepping back in time, you had to assume at least one pitcher would get injured.  I think you also had to assume failure from either Looper or Wells, both of whom were clearly "projects."  It's clear now that, however those chips fell, we had no Plan B whatsoever.

by bgodar on Aug 7, 2007 10:16 AM EDT reply actions  

How does he want to retool though?
He is a staunch supporter of Reyes, so I would assume he stays in the rotation:

2008 Opening Day
Mark Mulder
Adam Wainwright
Anthony Reyes

Maybe
Braden Looper
Brad Thompson

So what FAs does he want the Cardinals to commit to?  Carlos Zambrano is off-limits.  If he hits FA, the metropolis teams are going to throw tons of cash at him.

So who?
Curt Schilling (41)
Jason Jennings (29)
Koji Uehara (33)
Freddy Garcia (32)
Kenny Rogers (43)
Jon Lieber (38)
Bartolo Colon (35)
Joe Kennedy (29)
Tomo Ohka (32)
John Thomson (34)
Kip Wells (31)
Wade Miller (31)
Livan Hernandez (33)
Randy Wolf (31)
Paul Byrd (37)
Jeff Weaver (31)
Kris Benson (33)
Jaret Wright (32)
David Wells (45)
Eric Milton (32)
Kyle Lohse (29)
Matt Clement (33)
Rodrigo Lopez (32)
Josh Fogg (31)
Byung-Hyun Kim (29)
Odalis Perez (31)
Brett Tomko (35)

Do you see anyone on that list worth paying $8M to?  Don't be suprised that if Kip Wells keeps up what he has been doing this last month, to see him get a contract from the Cardinals.

The only other option is acquiring someone via trade.  Who is going to trade decent starting pitching in this market?  The Kyle Davies, Mike Maroths, Kyle Lohses of the world are the only ones moving.

Call up PJ Walters!

by Hardcore Legend on Aug 7, 2007 10:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

Hmm
I wouldn't be surprised if O. Perez signs a low ball contract just to avoid ever pitching to AP again.

by StLHugo on Aug 7, 2007 10:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

Looking at that list.
I have to figure that Weaver and Perez will get their tires kicked along with Wells if he does ok down the stretch.

This is of-course the reason the Cards need to be looking beyond 2008 when thinking about their rotation and team. What is wrong with the franchise cannot and will not be fixed in one off-season without a healthy helping of luck and opportunity.

by JMedwick on Aug 7, 2007 10:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

I don't know
or particularly care how Bernie wants to re-tool.  My point is that we went into this season with virtually no safety net for the inevitable loss of at least one pitcher from the rotation.  I think we knew going in that Thompson was best an emergency, spot-start type guy.  Franklin seemed to be a viable candidate, and many of us are still mystified why he hasn't started.  Beyond that, there was nothing.

It's a good point that the FA market may be thin, but in answer to your question, I think that several of those pitchers, IN THIS MARKET, are worth $8 million.  What are the alternatives?

Several of the guys listed are league average starters.  It's not sexy, but league average is a lot better than the junk we've been able to scavenge.

But however we piece together next year's roster, we've got to realize that we'll probably give 20% or so of our starts to the 6th, 7th best pitchers at the beginning of the season.

by bgodar on Aug 7, 2007 10:56 AM EDT up reply actions  

The safety net was
Brad Thompson
Chris Narveson (injured)
Ryan Franklin

and I believe
Josh Hancock (killed)

Of course, that safety net was to replace the #2 - #5 pitchers, not the best pitcher in the National League over the last 3 years.

Call up PJ Walters!

by Hardcore Legend on Aug 7, 2007 11:06 AM EDT up reply actions  

Some might disagree with me saying this
but I think we'll have a harder time replacing Carpenter than we would Albert Pujols.  The model of one great pitcher + 4 steady pitchers won't work unless you have one great pitcher (duh).  There's no one in the system that scouts or statheads really wow about as a ace caliber starter.  

If Carpenter doesn't come back healthy (and ace like), the organization could be fubar for a long time.

by azruavatar on Aug 7, 2007 11:11 AM EDT up reply actions  

you're not wrong, AZ
i think they're both irreplaceable. both are once-in-a-generation type pitchers. carpenter is clearly the franchise's best pitcher of the last 20 years (since tudor) and arguably the best since gibson (35 years). he's one of the top 5 pitchers of the post-world war II era. if he doesn't come back at full capacity, it'll probably be a long time till they get another like him.

pujols is the best cardinal hitter since musial, ie the last 45 to 50 years.

by lboros on Aug 7, 2007 11:48 AM EDT up reply actions  

What?
Carpenter is very good, but not historically great.  He has had a Tudor like run.  However, he has not even approached the top 5 pitchers that are still playing.

Johnson, Maddux, Glavin, Clemens, Pedro, he is not.

If you meant "top 5 for the cards" I might have to agree.

by DriverZn on Aug 7, 2007 1:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

rather obviously
i meant "top 5 for the cards" . . . .

by lboros on Aug 7, 2007 1:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

Its amazing to think that as good as the Cardinals
have been historically, they have been the primary team for only 4 HoFer pitchers:  Sutter, Gibson, Dean and Haines.  And three of those are regarded as historically weak selections.  
The St Louis Cardinals- 11 time World Champs!

by Zubin on Aug 7, 2007 3:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Team versus Player
Other then the Yankees who could afford lots of HoF talent in recent years how many teams really can field a good team when they spend a lot of money on one player?  I know the past was different especially before Flood opened the Flood gates to free agency but the owner still had to acquire the best team not just 1 or 2 great players.

by StLHugo on Aug 7, 2007 4:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

Historically, player sallaries
were not too great an issue.  Though, I have read St Louis was kept in the black by Branch Rickey selling players in the '30s and into the '40s.

In fairness to teh Cardinals, they basically gave away two HoFers early in their careers: Steve Carlton and Mordeci (3 finger) Brown.  Also Bob Caruthers probably deserves to be in the Hall of Fame.

The St Louis Cardinals- 11 time World Champs!

by Zubin on Aug 7, 2007 10:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

i agree w/ you hardcore
i would add to your safety net

a. mulder
b. unnamed trade-for guy ---- in other circumstances, matt morris would have been the perfect safety-net addition at the trade deadline.

and, as you said, the safety net was designed to protect against the injury / failure of #2 through #5. the only protection for the loss of #1 would have been to sign (ouch) barry zito or jason schmidt . . . . .

by lboros on Aug 7, 2007 11:43 AM EDT up reply actions  

If I had to pick two
Randy Wolf
Jeff Weaver

Wolf would probably cost some cash, but with the season Weaver's having, it would be buy low time again.  Of course, if Dave D. isn't back next year, it probably would behoove us to pass on Weaver.

by Mr Redbird on Aug 7, 2007 12:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

What about Schilling?
If he is looking for a one year deal, he would make some sense.  When healthy he has been pretty good this year.  If he is successful down the stretch he could make sense as a fill-in for Carp.  And at most I would think he is looking for a two-year deal.

by OCCardsFan on Aug 7, 2007 1:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

And if he's wearing the B-O-B,
he'll probably visit this blog regularly too!

by MdRedbirdFreak on Aug 7, 2007 2:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

I worry we'll see more of the same next year
because I hear things said like ....just wait until Mulder gets back, just wait until Carpenter gets back.  At this point we have no idea how Mulder is going to pitch when he returns--that is a difficult surgery to overcome-Carpenter should be okay, but since the recovery time is from 12-18 months, he may or may not be of much help for 2008.  I would hope they go into the free agent market and make the number one priority durability-because of the health status of our top of the rotation guys....

by jillsinmo on Aug 7, 2007 10:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

Who on that list is durable?
I can't really think of anybody.

And if they wanted Joe Kennedy, they could have had him as he was picked up on waivers.  Not too many teams with waiver numbers lower than ours.

Call up PJ Walters!

by Hardcore Legend on Aug 7, 2007 10:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

waiver claims begin in the league
in which the player was waived.  Doesn't matter w/ Kennedy, as he clearly made it past us.  But if a player is waived in the AL, he goes all the way through the AL before beginning in the NL.

by chuckb on Aug 7, 2007 11:22 AM EDT up reply actions  

One year park factors
Can anyone point me to a good article justifying the use of one-year park factors?  I see them referenced quite frequently, but I find the idea very strange.   What has changed in Busch III to make it supress home runs "this year"?

by Leo on Aug 7, 2007 10:17 AM EDT reply actions  

Marquis?
Seriously though it was slightly a pitchers park last year as well, but this year with the offense struggling so much regardless at home and the pitching being better at home (Pujol's road average and Loopers home ERA are big examples of that) I think it is still showing its true park factor and building on what it was last year.

by StLHugo on Aug 7, 2007 10:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

Maybe weather?
One-year park adjustments seem odd to me for the same reason - if the park doesn't change, why should the HR frequency change?

However, weather clearly does vary from year to year, and maybe differences in humidity affect HR frequency. Short of playing in a dome or a humidor, that's an unavoidable location-based factor.

 

by madridbend on Aug 7, 2007 10:46 AM EDT up reply actions  

That's what I was thinking, too
I'm not sure what the weather's been like this summer in St. Louis, but my impression is that it's been cooler than most.  It's been cooler and much rainier here in Houston than usual.  I know that summer's a very good homerun season (or it has been in the past) in St. Louis due to very high temperatures.  If it's been cooler this year, maybe that partly explains the lower homer totals this year.

Correct me if I'm wrong on the weather.  I spend too much time on VEB to also spend it on weather.com.  :)

by chuckb on Aug 7, 2007 11:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

not sure what your point is, leo
nobody argued that 1-year data prove anything in a vacuum. that's why i included the data from 2006 as well, to provide some context. and no, 2-year park data aren't any more determinative than 1-year data. nobody made any claims that the data are determinative. but they do show a trend, and the trend is worth watching. busch iii has suppressed hr in both years of its existence ---- this year the effect is particularly strong, nearly as strong as any other park in the league.

what do you find strange about that?

by lboros on Aug 7, 2007 10:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

Testy!
It didn't seem to me like leo was trying to discredit the main post; he was asking a general question, an interesting one at that. Why not try to answer it, as others did???

One explanation might be the weather, another might be the competition (teams like the Cubs and Pirates haven't hit a whole bunch of HRs in Busch because they don't hit many HRs, period) and yet another might be the fact that the Cards themselves really only have 2 legitimate power threats anyway.

Worth mentioning: Wainwright, Looper and Reyes have each given up more HRs at home than on the road, each in a fairly even split. I haven't looked at the innings, so I don't know what the rates are. Just throwing that out there. Thompson, as we all probably know, has given up a ton more on the road... so apparently the Busch suppression is working for him.

by baw on Aug 7, 2007 12:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

That's not how park factors work
the competition has nothing to do with it.  Park factors compare the number of homers those teams hit in St. Louis to the number of homers they hit elsewhere.  So the fact that the Pirates and Cubs don't hit many homers, period, is irrelevant.  Apparently they, and the other teams who have visited St. Louis this year, have hit more homers in most other ballparks per PA than they have in St. Louis.

by chuckb on Aug 7, 2007 12:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

a good discussion of park factors
at the  hardball times.  HoustonCardinal- park factors only take into account the home team's HR and HR allowed at home and on the road.  Other teams in other parks don't factor in.
"This is a ball club with issues." -Nats announcers (talking about the Cardinals)

by SleepyCA on Aug 7, 2007 1:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

I stand corrected
thanks, Sleepy.  Wouldn't it make more sense to do it my way or is it impossible to calculate that way?

by chuckb on Aug 7, 2007 3:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

I should add
2 legitimate power threats -- only one of which plays every day.

by baw on Aug 7, 2007 12:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Year 1 + Year 2 = more accurate than Year 1 alone
Assuming parks aren't changing year to year (adjustments to the outfield walls or whatever), then a given parks tendencies should of course stay pretty constant.  Of course, just about every year there will be some adjustments at some parks, so the league 'average park' would likely fluctuate a bit year to year.

But in any case, for a brand new park in its first year, there's not much data.  I think an average of the year 1 and year 2 numbers is going to be a more reliable indicator park value than the year 1 indicator all by itself, just as the average of the rookie year and year 2 numbers for a player are a better indicator than the rookie year numbers alone.  This holds true even if the year 2 numbers are similar to the year 1 numbers.  Many of us though Chris Duncan was not as good as his rookie year numbers indicated, but the fact that his year 2 numbers are almost as good as his rookie numbers means he likely IS that good, more or less.  (One of the few pleasant surprises of this year for Cards fans...)

by psteinx on Aug 7, 2007 11:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

The 4 cycle rotation
wainwright / wells / looper / reyes / thompson
...fell apart because:

Wells - mechanics went to pot (now fixed)
Looper - shoulder tightness (still not really effective)
Reyes - OPTIONS but still wasn't a world beater
Thompson - Uhh...I still don't know why he got removed from the rotation.

The Thompson thing, he has been bad during stretches, but those usually come after he has been moved back to the pen then back into the rotation.

Call up PJ Walters!

by Hardcore Legend on Aug 7, 2007 10:42 AM EDT reply actions  

The sad thing
Is that unless someone like Pinero or Mulder comes out of no where, that is the best rotation the Cards can throw together. Yet, how much longer will be have to mess around with these other inferior options.

by JMedwick on Aug 7, 2007 11:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

Impressive findings
I shouldn't be, but I'm surprised how smooth the distribution of HR rates is.

by liam on Aug 7, 2007 11:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

Pitching Depth
You cant really say the Cardinals didn't try to get pitching depth they did give Randy Wolf a good offer but he wanted to play on the West Coast.

(Also that comment about Marquis was a joke in case you didn't get it I never wanna see him as a Cardinal again)

by Calhoun on Aug 7, 2007 11:02 AM EDT reply actions  

Retooling
Assuming a 2008 starting rotation of a healthy (2005 version) of Mulder, plus AW, Reyes, Looper, and Thompson/reclamation project of the week, I think you have enough pitching to content until a Carpenter comes back -- if our offense was retooled.

I would think that if we had one more big bat that the team would be in contention in the central next year. A solid 300-30-100 hitting would go a long way to improving the team. Who that is, well, I don't know...

by jimstllax on Aug 7, 2007 11:08 AM EDT reply actions  

I agree
I think out rotation will be decent next year it wont be as bad as this year.

I also agree we need a hitter maybe Rolen will get his Shoulder cleaned up and he'll be that hitter we need so badly.
Rolen has looked good lately if his shoulder gets better he will be the Rolen of old hes not washed up hes just been hurt.

by Calhoun on Aug 7, 2007 11:13 AM EDT up reply actions  

A-Rod, anyone? I hear he can still
play shortstop......A Poo, A Rod, Healthy Rolen.....oh, that would go a long way towards making the pitchers look so much better.....

by jillsinmo on Aug 7, 2007 11:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

If they signed A-Rod
They'd have me pitching every other day and you playing all three outfield spots.

A-Rod's a great player, but no homie is worth $36 mill/year.

by Jhusk on Aug 7, 2007 12:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

LOL
Everyone been very stern about us having no chance at getting Zambrano getting A-Rod is even crazier!!!
But its not impossible I mean A-Rod might want to play with Pujols they are very good friends.

But we would never spend 30 million for a player but if we did I would bow down to the power of WJ.

Having Pujols and A-Rod in the same lineup has been a dream of mine but it`ll never happen.

by Calhoun on Aug 7, 2007 11:20 AM EDT reply actions  

Well, I've been on the Zambrano bandwagon
for quite some time.  But hitters/position players are much more likely to give you a return on your investment than pitchers over the course of the contract.  A Rod is about as durable as they come.  Zambrano is too.  All I ask is that management at least ASKS them what they want.  

by jillsinmo on Aug 7, 2007 11:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

All Star game?
Can you imagine the NL All Star team if A-Rod comes to an NL team?  You could potentially have something like Reyes, Beltran, Arod, AP, C. Lee, Holliday/Dunn/Duncan, Uggla/Utley, Fielder(DH next year)

I only included Beltran since I think the NY fans will vote him in even if there is a better guy out there.  I just can't imagine a pitcher that would want to face that lineup.

by StLHugo on Aug 7, 2007 11:38 AM EDT up reply actions  

Padres Announcer Blasts St. Louis.
Yeah, this is way off topic, but so worth posting. Apparently St. Louis isn't paradise.

http://www.gaslampball.com/story/2007/8/7/104513/7917

by frazerJames on Aug 7, 2007 11:22 AM EDT reply actions  

Wow!
makes you really appreciate VEB.  I can't believe that's their entire daily thread.  Is there one intelligently written thought in that entire thread?  He doesn't even know how to spell his own catcher's name?  And, basically, it's just some rant caused by the fact that the Padres can't win in St. Louis?  Wow!

Thanks, LB for the effort and all the work you do here to make this site not what the Padres' fans have to endure.  I say fans b/c it is plural -- 4 different people have added posts this morning.

by chuckb on Aug 7, 2007 11:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

Padres announcer
Thanks - that is hilarious. My reply to someone who loses on the road is, "Y'All come back real soon now." But, sadly, I don't drive an El Camino.

by madridbend on Aug 7, 2007 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

HA!
Actually, I love posts like that (on other teams' blogs, acourse). A post like that is born of nothing but, how you say, "loseritis"? Our Ozark Hillbillies crush their Sophisticates year after year in playoffs, and now they get a good asskicking even when our Yayhoos are considered down for the count. That reaction just shows how false their mirage of sophistication really is. Please, Gaslamp Ball, keep showing us who the real Yayhoos are. And I, for one, would LOVE to have an old El Camino to drive to the Ozarks. Then I could check my white lightnin' still in style!! YEEEEE-HAAAAAAWW!!!

Let's give'em another asswhoopin' tonite. Just for "shits and grins" (as my proud hillbilly ancestors would have said).  

by rockin redbird on Aug 7, 2007 1:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Grabbing a fair ball, though
That annoyed me and at least one other frequent poster here when it happened last night. It probably did keep the runner on second though.

It's not the worst thing fans do, but two dudes dove over the rail for a fair ball.

by liam on Aug 7, 2007 1:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah--
I hate that too (even when it does work in our favor). But it happens at every stadium, even those that aren't located in the hillbilly backwoods of Missouri :-)

by rockin redbird on Aug 7, 2007 2:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

I remember when Vasgersian was part of
the MLB series on PS2. He would provide the most useless information and do it in a sing-songy manner.  

I always pretended he'd come on and say:
"Hey Vin, did you know I lick my own armpits?"

That's why I became an MVP fan.

Call up PJ Walters!

by Hardcore Legend on Aug 7, 2007 2:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

you know, i'm a little torn about this
on one hand as a native of MIZZOU it really pisses me off when others trash what i consider the greatest city in the world. but that el camino crack was pretty funny. i have way more famliy than i can count who are very proud citizens of the Ozarks, and some are even none el camino driving hicks. granted they are in the minority, but still, they are there. heck i'm from the Ozarks, but living in central ohio has pushed all the "hillbillyness" out of me.

i guess it just goes show you that even "professional" can be snobby jerks when they are getting their butts handed to them by a team with a poorer record. it's in poor taste,and is shows a lack of intelligence to insult a city & its fans when your team is losing. lets just hope the Cards guys are never caught trashing another city on the air.

I'm going to go try to find a puppy and kick it. - Brad Thompson And That's A Winner!

by gdm426 on Aug 7, 2007 3:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

indeed
And when you go down the "el camino joke" path, there are all kinds of tijuana/Chula Vista jokes just waiting to be made...   san diego isn't all that, once you get a couple of miles away from hotel strip.  
"This is a ball club with issues." -Nats announcers (talking about the Cardinals)

by SleepyCA on Aug 7, 2007 5:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hey Now--
Not all us hillbillies can be lucky enough to drive El Caminos. Some of us drive 69 Dodge Chargers (painted like The General Lee, acourse) or just good ole Ford pick-em ups. Those El Camino drivers are sometimes a bit snooty if ya ask me.

by rockin redbird on Aug 7, 2007 6:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

Typical of Vasgergian..
..typical of San Diego, as a whole. This city has an incredible inferiority complex, being in the shadow of Los Angeles. This is part and parcel of Vasgergian's "humor," which is swarmy and sarcastic...the Jim Rome of play-by-play men, if you will.

He is a minimal talent, but some how he's risen in the baseball world from Milwaukee to San Diego.
However, being a Los Angeles native, he COVETS Vin Scully's job. In fact, I'm told by insiders, the current contract he signed with Cox Communications only allows him to break the contract if a broadcast job open up in the "LA Market." (I'm not talking Angels....)

Of course, that doesn't keep him from insulting Dodgers fans/Cubs fans/Giants fans, etc, etc.

If this is the new generation of baseball announcers, we are NOT in for good times.

I may also add that the behavior you saw at gaslampball is pretty standard. All childish crap.
I gave up posting there, because what's the point of discussion? Intellegent discussion with the skateboarders who run that shop? Impossible..........dude.

Visiting For Bleed Cubbie Blue

by San Diego Smooth Jazz Man on Aug 7, 2007 9:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

LOL
Matt V cant take the St.Louis heat?
I love it there`s nothing better in my opinion then Missouri`s 100 degree heat with 1000% humidity.

by Calhoun on Aug 7, 2007 11:31 AM EDT reply actions  

Keith Hernandez
I just heard Keith Won the Top-Sports Mustache of all time YEAH GO KEITH!

by Calhoun on Aug 7, 2007 11:38 AM EDT reply actions  

Actually--
The announcer everyone loves to hate (except me) had the best:

http://www.alhrabosky.com/
(click on 'Media Clips', then 'Photos' for proof).

by rockin redbird on Aug 7, 2007 1:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

Keith
No way Keith had the classic 80`s Tom Selleck mustache he deserved it Rollie`s was just ugly.

by Calhoun on Aug 7, 2007 11:59 AM EDT reply actions  

Calhoun
Use "Reply to this," brotha!

by baw on Aug 7, 2007 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well,
at least your heart's in the right place, huh?
youneverknow

by meat on Aug 7, 2007 1:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

haha
This cracks me up if only for the pure audacity of it.

I read it as this:

Baw: Please respond in a manner that makes your posts fit into comment threads.  That way it's easier for everyone to understand what you're referring to and read your comment in the context it was created.

Calhoun: No, I believe it would be best not to associate my replies with the comment I'm replying to.

by dontEATnachos on Aug 7, 2007 3:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

WHO CARES?
I use reply all the time I dont do it one time and someone tries to lecture me.
WHO CARES????????????????????

by Calhoun on Aug 7, 2007 3:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

I do
it makes it hard sometimes to figure out what you are referring to or talking about.
Call up PJ Walters!

by Hardcore Legend on Aug 7, 2007 4:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hardcore
It was an accident I forgot to use it whats the big freaking deal?????????????????????????

by Calhoun on Aug 7, 2007 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

Accident twice?
You did it on the ARod topic and the Matt V topic.

Unless I have someone else in mind, you actually do it quite a bit.

Call up PJ Walters!

by Hardcore Legend on Aug 7, 2007 4:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hardcore
My A-rod post is right in the middle of all the other A-rod posts what are you talking about?

by Calhoun on Aug 7, 2007 4:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

I dont really care
I have had enough of this meaningless conversation.

by Calhoun on Aug 7, 2007 4:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ok
Just use the reply to this option in the future so that it makes it easier to continue the discussion with you.

That's all.

Call up PJ Walters!

by Hardcore Legend on Aug 7, 2007 5:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hall of Famers
Back when I lived in the STL area, I tried to ingore Bernie's column day after day.  I'm so glad that he is not carried in major syndication.  Growing up with Rick Hummell and Jack Buck, you were always assured of having fun even in the bad times.  Maybe that is a little bit of niavete for my youth or maybe that is why those guys are Hall of Famers.  
All my friends became Cardinal fans and grew up happy and liberal. I became a Cub fan and grew up embittered and conservative." -- George Will

by wannabeGedman on Aug 7, 2007 1:35 PM EDT reply actions  

Haha...
Not sure if anyone posted this yet, but it is a funny read about the San Diego Padres announcer regarding his love for St Louis.

http://www.withleather.com/post.phtml?pk=3553

by lopey986 on Aug 7, 2007 1:41 PM EDT reply actions  

It's 10 posts up
from where you are now.  I don't want to sound like a jerk but if you had even scanned the previous posts you would have known it was there and could have replied to it, as I did.

I'm certainly not the arbiter of what does or doesn't belong here -- maybe this should have been in a diary, not sure -- but since you weren't sure if it had been posted, you could have looked before posting it.  That way it would have contained the comments on this article to one section and provided a better flow for comments on the daily thread -- on the pitching staff or on Busch III's park factor.

Again, I'm not trying to be a dick here and I hoping I'm not coming across as such, so I apologize if I sound that way.  But it's easier to get a good discussion going on the topic(s) of the daily thread if these extraneous posts are combined together when possible.

by chuckb on Aug 7, 2007 1:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

You being mean? No way!
Really though I was thinking the same thing.  If you do a reasonable scan (in most forums first 2 pages worth of posts or so or use of the search feature) and you don't find something then you can post it.  Here it is really easy to use ctrl-f and do a search for topic or just scan the comments.

Anyway back to Baseball.

by StLHugo on Aug 7, 2007 1:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Byrnes gets extension with Arizona
Looks like a bad move by the Snakes to me that frees up Carlos Quentin. Hmmm...

http://www.azcentral.com/sports/diamondbacks/articles/0807brynes-ON-CR.html

by mikedallas23 @ Viva El Birdos on Aug 7, 2007 2:06 PM EDT reply actions  

I don't know
If it's a bad move. Arizona doesn't have a franchise player yet, they have a lot of young guys that are unrecognizable by their lackluster fan base.   Its also a very young team, which might be an excuse all by itself to keep around an older guy with some experience.   From a baseball point of view it might be a tough sell, but from a business point of view, he'll help keep the fans coming.   Now with Quentin on the market he's definitely an interesting player that would be more of a sure thing than the Ankiels or Mathers the cardinals have envisioned to play right field in the future.

by Hammondsbird on Aug 7, 2007 2:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

Byrnes
If I were AZ I would rather go with Quentin in RF next year and count on him or Carlos Gonzalez being the long-term solution. Then I would give Arod his $30 million a year and enjoy him crushing homers in that bandbox known has Chase Field with all the money that I'm saving with the young guys.

by mikedallas23 @ Viva El Birdos on Aug 7, 2007 2:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

we don't have enough to get Quentin
unless Reyes pitches really well between now and the end of the year.  Then, maybe, a deal w/ Reyes and Quentin as the 2 primaries might be possible.  

I've loved Quentin since I saw him play in college but I don't think we can get him.

by chuckb on Aug 7, 2007 3:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

Reyes
I think Reyes is in the right ballpark talent-wise, but he's a fly ball pitcher, which doesn't match up well with Arizona's home park.

by mikedallas23 @ Viva El Birdos on Aug 7, 2007 3:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

and unless he can play SS next year
trading Reyes to get him would be a bad idea.
"This is a ball club with issues." -Nats announcers (talking about the Cardinals)

by SleepyCA on Aug 7, 2007 3:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

man that sucks
eric one of my fave players. even if i can't spell his last name. good for him thought. he loves the phenix area, so i'm sure that factored into his staying. i bet he could have gotten more than around $10mil per year on the open market.

from the sound of that article the snakes are dying to trade quentin. since Jimmy's up for a trade, why not start from there and see when things go? or Juan? if there's one position the Cards are not poor in it's outfielders. with DUNK, LUD, Ankiel, SKIPPY, and the list goes on. do we really need Quentin? i dont know a lot about the guy so thats why i ask. do the Cards really need Quentin with all the outfilders they have?

I'm going to go try to find a puppy and kick it. - Brad Thompson And That's A Winner!

by gdm426 on Aug 7, 2007 3:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

Wily Mo Pena
Wily Mo cleared waivers without a trade anyone think we should try and get him?

by Calhoun on Aug 7, 2007 4:02 PM EDT reply actions  

Not now
if we wanted him and his relatively small contract, we should have claimed him off waivers.
Call up PJ Walters!

by Hardcore Legend on Aug 7, 2007 4:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

Good to see the experts
agree with the assesment here.  

by DriverZn on Aug 7, 2007 4:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

That would be me
Thank you very much, I'll be here all week.

by mikedallas23 @ Viva El Birdos on Aug 7, 2007 4:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Also
I'm MikeJ on Future Redbirds, you guys are doing great work over there Azru.

by mikedallas23 @ Viva El Birdos on Aug 7, 2007 5:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

From the same chat
Dwight (Scranton, PA): I'll give you 10,000 Shrutebucks if you tell me, which players from the 2007 draft class do you see hitting the majors the fastest, after Price, and the strictly-relievers like Weathers.

Bryan Smith: First 2007 Draftee Relief APP: Jess Todd
First 2007 Drafee GS: David Price
First 2007 Draftee Hit: Brandon Hicks
First 2007 Draftee Home Run: Matt LaPorta
------
How good do you think Todd really is though?  Also Ankiel is no longer the MiLB leader in HRs he is 1 off the lead.

by StLHugo on Aug 7, 2007 5:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

erik and I both liked him at FutureRedbirds
probably the only college pitcher they selected that I liked (I'm still not on the Mortenson bandwagon, yet).  

I think Casey Weathers beats Todd to the majors (because Colorado will move Fuentes or lose him to FA at the end of 2008) but Todd has the stuff to be a late inning reliever, possibly a closer.  He's at Batavia right now with fantastic K rates (~30% = 10K/9), low BB rate (6%=2.2BB/9) and he's getting groundballs (57%).  This is against questionable opposition in Batavia but Todd's "stuff" is there.

by azruavatar on Aug 7, 2007 5:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

I've had enough
Of this meaningless conversation, too.

(I crack myself up.)

by liam on Aug 7, 2007 5:04 PM EDT reply actions  

Genius.
There are 10 types of people in the world. Those who understand binary, and those who don't.

by Mr Clean on Aug 8, 2007 2:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

asdrubal cabrera
one of our favorite topics of conversation during the trade deadline has been called up to the majors

http://blog.cleveland.com/sports/2007/08/cleveland_indians_call_up_infi.html

"From the S-T-L, M-O, 3-1-4"

by all in the cards on Aug 7, 2007 5:47 PM EDT reply actions  

Lineups
Cardinals
Kennedy 2B
Duncan LF
Pujols 1B
Edmonds CF
Rolen 3B
Ludwick RF
Molina C
Reyes P
Miles SS

Padres
Giles
Blum
Cameron
Gonzalez
Greene
Mackowiak
Kouzmanoff
Bard
Peavy

I'm not that upset about Duncan being moved up, simply because with the pitcher batting 8th, he still gets RBI chances.

Call up PJ Walters!

by Hardcore Legend on Aug 7, 2007 5:53 PM EDT reply actions  

Bah
I was about to post those!  Anyway other notes from Bernie's post.

"Notes from Dan Kriegshauser of 1380: wellemeyer 25 throws from flat ground, feeling better, thinks he can start a rehab next week...Padres have recalled OF Termel Sledge and optioned P Mike Thompson to AAA...TLR says he wants to give Franklin another day of rest; Izzy can go 2 if needed....Boomer Wells still with Padres... Tony Gwynn spent about 20 minutes signing autographs for fans near the Musial statue (good guy)."

by StLHugo on Aug 7, 2007 5:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

Lineup
That's actually about the best lineup we can put out there right now, I guess I now have to give props to TLR on the same day that I hypothesized about his possible demise on that BP chat :)

by mikedallas23 @ Viva El Birdos on Aug 7, 2007 7:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

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