Catchers
Projected
.313/.358/.483/.841
6.4% BB rate, 9.7% K rate, .322 BABIP, .170 ISO
Actual - 335 PAs, .287/.341/.409/.751
6.6% BB rate, 12.5% K rate, .310 BABIP, .122 ISO
Yadi is now injured and his stats will not change until September at the earliest.
Projected
.231/.265/.340/.605
3.9% BB rate, 18.1% K rate, .271 BABIP, .109 ISO
Actual - 116 PAs, .214/.289/.262/.552
9.5% BB rate, 19.0% K rate, .272 BABIP, .049 ISO
Cruz's walk rate is astonishing to me this year - his ratio with BB/K is amazing. However, he's not driving the ball when he hits it. His ISO is terrible.
AJ Pierzynski
Projected (new)
.267/.300/.417/.716
3.3% BB rate, 14.6% K rate, .284 BABIP, .150 ISO
Actual - 46 PAs, .302/.348/.395/.743
6.5% BB rate, 13.0% K rate, .333 BABIP, .093 ISO
AJ is doing much better than I had anticipated with the Birds on the Bat, although like many others his ISO is very much lower than anticipated. (Then again, I was looking at his numbers in Chicago (South Side) and Texas...
Infielders
Projected
.282/.329/.520/.849
6.5% BB rate, 22.9% K rate, .319 BABIP, .237 ISO
Actual - 413 PAs, .305/.324/.482/.807
2.9% BB rate, 19.9% K rate, .354 BABIP, .178 ISO
Man that walk rate is not good. Blech. That ISO is going down, too. Needs to get on another power tear.
Projected
.265/.324/.389/.713
7.6% BB rate, 14.2% K rate, .296 BABIP, .124 ISO
Actual - 299 PAs, .252/.292/.406/.698
4.3% BB rate, 15.7% K rate, .274 BABIP, .155 ISO
Wong is getting up to where I thought he might be. While he has not walked as much as I thought or gotten on base as much as I thought, he seems to have his power stroke down at the moment.
Projected
.281/.336/.437/.773
7.8% BB rate, 19.3% K rate, .327 BABIP, .156 ISO
Actual - 463 PAs, .260/.335/.447/.781
9.3% BB rate, 17.5% K rate, .286 BABIP, .187 ISO
Except for the low BABIP (leading to the low average), Peralta has been way better than I thought. Add 10 points of slugging while being 40 points lower BABIP than I thought leads to a +31 points of ISO. Just think what he'd be doing if the batted ball luck WAS going his way!?!? MVP type year if that were happening.
Projected
.304/.386/.465/.851
11.1% BB rate, 14.6% K rate, .344 BABIP, .162 ISO
Actual - 533 PAs, .283/.378/.391/.769
12.4% BB rate, 15.8% K rate, .331 BABIP, .108 ISO
Carpenter's BABIP and AVG and OBP are all getting close. I still think he's looking to walk and drive up pitch counts too often rather than getting a good pitch to hit and really driving it.
Mark Ellis
Projected
.261/.315/.361/.676
6.5% BB rate, 15.5% K rate, .293 BABIP, .100 ISO
Actual - 191 PAs, .192/.267/.228/.495
7.3% BB rate, 17.3% K rate, .235 BABIP, .036 ISO
CUT HIM.
Projected
.242/.300/.354/.654
7.5% BB rate, 17.5% K rate, .281 BABIP, .112 ISO
Actual - 119 PAs, .204/.271/.259/.530
6.7% BB rate, 21.8% K rate, .268 BABIP, .056 ISO
CUT HIM.
Projected
.221/.280/.309/.589
8.0% BB rate, 19.0% K rate, .264 BABIP, .088 ISO
Actual - 3 PA - not enough data
Projected
.250/.350/.363/.713
12.0% BB rate, 18.0% K rate, .299 BABIP, .113 ISO
Actual - 14 PA - not enough data (although a .429 OBP in his first 14 PAs as a major leaguer)
Outfielders
Projected
.298/.387/.498/.885
11.3% BB rate, 16.7% K rate, .330 BABIP, .200 ISO
Actual - 499 PAs, .264/.365/.414/.778
11.6% BB rate, 15.4% K rate, .296 BABIP, .150 ISO
I'm going to go ahead and say that Holliday has had a little bit of BABIP luck go against him this year at this point. This is especially the case pulling the ball, I believe.
Projected
.289/.350/.393/.743
7.4% BB rate, 15.6% K rate, .329 BABIP, .105 ISO
Actual - 314 PAs, .298/.359/.397/.756
5.7% BB rate, 15.9% K rate, .351 BABIP, .099 ISO
Jon Jay is who we thought he is. Gotta figure by the end of the year that he'll walk a little more and get a few less hits and end up around where he's at.
Allen Craig
Projected
.309/.364/.483/.847
7.1% BB rate, 17.5% K rate, .350 BABIP, .174 ISO
Actual - 398 PAs, .237/.291/.346/.638
6.5% BB rate, 19.3% K rate, .281 BABIP, .109 ISO
Craig has since been traded.
Projected
.257/.313/.403/.716
6.0% BB rate, 23.3% K rate, .317 BABIP, .146 ISO
Actual - 227 PAs, .222/.287/.355/.642
7.5% BB rate, 27.3% K rate, .297 BABIP, .133 ISO
Bourjos is trending in the correct direction, but needs to play better more consistently still. I thought my early season projections were low and he hasn't met those expectations of him.
Shane Robinson
Projected
.257/.335/.366/.701
10.5% BB rate, 12.5% K rate, .280 BABIP, .109 ISO
Actual - 55 PA, .140/.218/.200/.418
9.1% BB rate, 18.2% K rate, .175 BABIP, .060 ISO
Horrible so far off the bench this year. Nearly ready to cut him and let Grichuk or Piscotty take his place on the bench to provide some pop.
.234/.280/.447/.727
4.0% BB rate, 20.0% K rate, .257 BABIP, .213 ISO
Actual - 48 PA - .136/.191/.273/.464
6.3% BB rate, 31.3% K rate, .179 BABIP, .136 ISO
.292/.343/.482/.825
6.7% BB rate, 13.3% K rate, .311 BABIP, .190 ISO
Actual - 150 PA - .206/.247/.284/.530
5.3% BB rate, 15.3% K rate, .231 BABIP, .078 ISO
Taveras has not impressed, to date.
Starting Pitchers
Projected
33 starts, 223 2/3 innings pitched, 6.778 IP/start
1.127 WHIP, 8.5 H/9, 0.6 HR/9
8.2 K/9, 1.6 BB/9, 4.98 K:BB
3.30 ERA, 2.65 FIP
Actual - 24 starts, 169 IP, 7.042 IP/start
1.02 WHIP, 7.08 H/9, 0.32 HR/9
7.35 K/9, 2.13 BB/9, 3.45 K:BB
2.34 ERA, 2.77 FIP
About what you'd expect out of Waino!
Projected
33 starts, 209 innings pitched, 6.333 IP/start
1.316 WHIP, 8.5 H/9, 0.6 HR/9
8.9 K/9, 3.3 BB/9, 2.68 K:BB
3.88 ERA, 3.12 FIP
Actual - 24 starts, 145 2/3 IP, 6.069 IP/start
1.30 WHIP, 8.34 H/9, 0.43 HR/9
8.22 K/9, 3.34 BB/9, 2.46 K:BB
2.97 ERA, 3.14 FIP
About what you'd expect out of Lynn (or at least what I expected...so many others seem shocked...for some reason)
Projected
32 starts, 191 innings pitched, 5.969 IP/start
1.288 WHIP, 8.3 H/9, 1.0 HR/9
9.3 K/9, 3.3 BB/9, 2.86 K:BB
3.53 ERA, 3.57 FIP
Actual - 24 games, 23 starts, 133 2/3 IP, 5.768 IP/start
1.38 WHIP, 8.48 H/9, 1.14 HR/9
6.06 K/9, 3.91 BB/9, 1.55 K:BB
4.17 ERA, 4.78 FIP
Shelby is slowly but surely getting better. Interesting, but probably statistically random fact, when Pierzynski catches him, Shelby has a 5.67 K:BB and .209 batting average against...
Projected
30 starts, 180 innings pitched, 6.000 IP/start
1.033 WHIP, 7.0 H/9, 0.9 HR/9
8.6 K/9, 2.3 BB/9, 3.74 K:BB
2.65 ERA, 3.14 FIP
Actual - 15 starts, 90 1/3 innings, 6.022 IP/start, 1.12 WHIP, 7.47 H/9, 0.50 HR/9
8.27 K/9, 2.59 BB/9, 3.19 K:BB, 2.79 ERA, 3.01 FIP
Injured - same as 1/2 pole
Projected
14 starts, 40 relief appearances, 110 total innings, 5.000 IP/start
1.318 WHIP, 8.4 H/9, 0.5 HR/9
8.0 K/9, 3.4 BB/9, 2.33 K:BB
3.44 ERA, 3.13 FIP
Actual - 7 starts, 31 relief appearances, 68 1/3 innings
1.49 WHIP, 9.35 H/9, 0.53 HR/9
8.43 K/9, 4.08 BB/9, 2.06 K:BB
4.74 ERA, 3.55 FIP
High BB leads to high ERA.
Joe Kelly
Projected
20 starts, 10 relief appearances, 130 total innings, 5.750 IP/start
1.385 WHIP, 9.2 H/9, 0.6 HR/9
6.1 K/9, 3.3 BB/9, 1.87 K:BB
3.12 ERA, 3.69 FIP
Actual - 7 starts, 35 IP, 5.000 IP/start
1.46 WHIP, 10.54 H/9, 0.77 HR/9
6.43 K/9, 2.57 BB/9, 2.50 K:BB
4.37 ERA, 3.93 FIP
Since traded.
23 starts, 141 innings, 6.130 IP/start
1.324 WHIP, 9.6 H/9, 0.8 HR/9
7.3 K/9, 2.3 BB/9, 3.19 K:BB
3.74 ERA, 3.41 FIP
Actual - 7 starts, 43 2/3 innings, 6.238 per start, 1.05 WHIP, 8.04 H/9, 1.24 HR/9
8.04 K/9, 1.44 BB/9, 5.57 K:BB, 4.12 ERA, 3.78 FIP
Injured for life...at least rest of year.
John Lackey
Projected
11 starts, 72 innings, 6.545 IP/start
1.196 WHIP, 8.8 H/9, 1.1 HR/9
7.6 K/9, 2.0 BB/9, 3.80 K:BB
3.56 ERA, 3.74 FIP
Actual - 3 starts, 19 IP, 6.333 IP/start
1.58 WHIP, 11.84 H/9, 1.89 HR/9
5.68 K/9, 2.37 BB/9, 2.40 K:BB
6.16 ERA, 5.39 FIP
Ugh.
Justin Masterson
Projected
11 starts, 63 innings, 5.727 IP/start
1.419 WHIP, 8.5 H/9, 0.6 HR/9
8.3 K/9, 4.2 BB/9, 1.97 K:BB
4.55 ERA, 3.62 FIP
Actual - 3 starts, 15 IP, 5.000 IP/start
1.53 WHIP, 10.20 H/9, 1.20 HR/9
5.40 K/9, 3.60 BB/9, 1.50 K:BB
6.00 ERA, 5.26 FIP
Ugh.
Bullpen
Trevor Rosenthal
Projected
70 games, 70 innings pitched
1.071 WHIP, 6.9 H/9, 0.5 HR/9
10.9 K/9, 2.7 BB/9, 4.05 K:BB
2.19 ERA, 2.27 FIP
Actual - 56 games, 56 IP
1.39 WHIP, 7.71 H/9, 0.16 HR/9
11.57 K/9, 4.82 BB/9, 2.40 K:BB
3.21 ERA, 2.61 FIP
Rosie's walk rate is keeping him from an elite season.
Projected
70 games, 62 innings pitched
0.952 WHIP, 5.1 H/9, 0.4 HR/9
9.3 K/9, 3.5 BB/9, 2.67 K:BB
2.76 ERA, 2.78 FIP
Actual - 31 games, 27 1/3 IP
1.28 WHIP, 8.89 H/9, 0.99 HR/9
10.54 K/9, 2.63 BB/9, 4.00 K:BB
4.94 ERA, 3.31 FIP
My bad - he's not out for the year. Yay!
Projected
54 games, 30 innings pitched
1.100 WHIP, 6.3 H/9, 0.3 HR/9
8.4 K/9, 3.6 BB/9, 2.33 K:BB
2.70 ERA, 2.82 FIP
Actual - 45 games, 26 2/3 IP
1.16 WHIP, 7.09 H/9, 0.34 HR/9
8.10 K/9, 3.38 BB/9, 2.40 K:BB
5.06 ERA, 3.39 FIP
Not as good a FIP as I'd thought because of the hits allowed being a bit higher. Decent year minus the ERA.
Seth Maness
Projected
70 games, 70 innings pitched
1.071 WHIP, 8.6 H/9, 0.6 HR/9
6.3 K/9, 1.0 BB/9, 6.13 K:BB (b/c rounding)
2.96 ERA, 2.93 FIP
Actual - 53 games, 61 1/3 IP
1.14 WHIP, 8.80 H/9, 0.73 HR/9
5.87 K/9, 1.47 BB/9, 4.00 K:BB
2.93 ERA, 3.47 FIP
Maness is having another good year. His K/9 is even worse than I thought it'd be but he's somehow getting it done again. Lots of ground balls.
Projection
1.300 WHIP, 7.8 H/9, 0.6 HR/9
7.5 K/9, 3.9 BB/9, 1.92 K:BB
3.60 ERA, 3.56 FIP
Actual - 29 games, 26 2/3 IP
1.46 WHIP, 9.11 H/9, 0.68 HR/9
8.8 K/9, 4.05 BB/9, 2.17 K:BB
2.70 ERA, 3.84 FIP
His ERA is pretty nice, but he's allowing way too many baserunners to keep me content at the moment.
Projected
50 games, 50 innings pitched
1.020 WHIP, 6.8 H/9, 0.9 HR/9
9.0 K/9, 2.3 BB/9, 3.85 K:BB
3.24 ERA, 3.14 FIP
Actual - 24 games, 21 IP
1.50 WHIP, 10.23 H/9, 2.86 HR/9
6.55 K/9, 3.27 BB/9, 2.00 K:BB
4.91 ERA, 6.90 FIP
Send him down until September.
Tyler Lyons (assuming bullpen)
Projected
1.000 WHIP, 7.2 H/9, 0.6 HR/9
9.3 K/9, 1.8 BB/9, 5.17 K:BB
2.40 ERA, 2.46 FIP
Actual - 7 games, 4 starts, 28 innings
1.32 WHIP, 9.00 H/9, 1.29 HR/9
7.71 K/9, 2.89 BB/9, 2.67 K:BB
5.46 ERA, 4.34 FIP
Projected
1.400 WHIP, 9.5 H/9, 0.5 HR/9
6.3 K/9, 3.2 BB/9, 2.00 K:BB
3.38 ERA, 3.36 FIP
Actual - 8 games, 9 2/3 innings
1.24 WHIP, 10.24 H/9, 0.00 HR/92.79 K/9, 0.93 BB/9, 3.00 K:BB
4.66 ERA, 3.13 FIP
Keith Butler
Projected
1.225 WHIP, 7.2 H/9, 0.7 HR/9
9.0 K/9, 3.8 BB/9, 2.35 K:BB
3.38 ERA, 3.31 FIP
Actual - 2 innings, not enough data
Projected
1.275 WHIP, 8.3 H/9, 1.1 HR/9
7.2 K/9, 3.2 BB/9, 2.29 K:BB
4.05 ERA, 4.13 FIP
Actual - 54 games, 50 1/3 IP
0.56 WHIP, 3.93 H/9, 0.36 HR/9
9.83 K/9, 1.07 BB/9, 9.17 K:BB
0.72 ERA, 1.94 FIP
Dang, KEEP IT UP!