FanPost

Cards - 0, Royals - 0. All-Star Vote, Stat Style.

A while back, I read a Facebook status from a friend ranting about how the All-Star Game vote is just a popularity contest. I agreed with him and told him that I do it by statistics. I did the easy stats to get a feel, but after thinking about it, I wanted to do the hard stats that the hardcore fans like but keep the basics in. I look at the players from the St. Louis Cardinals and the Kansas City Royals against the other players. Did each position, by each league, then selected each position player by using these statistical categories: AVG, OBP, SLG, wOBA(weighted On-Base Avg), Offensive rating, Defensive rating, WAR, ISO(Isolated Power), BABIP(Batting Average on Ball In Play), Walk Rate, Strike-Out Rate, and the odd ball RBI. The players also had to have the qualified minimum plate appearance to be selected too. The player who had the most leading categories, got the vote.

Think that the Cardinals would have five players and the Royals have at least one or two players in the ASG sounds correct, but I was wrong and you were probably too. Some lead categories and almost got the vote, but came up short. Others, were not even close. Some positions were not filled because they did not meet the minimum plate appearance requirements. The players that did make it, most of them are statistically in the middle against their counterparts. So let's get down to business. (Stat info provided by FanGraphs.com; Stats are from Saturday before the late games)

First Base; 11 N.L. Players, 15 A.L. Players. (#) = Rank, * = Leader

N.L. Leader

Matt Adams

A.L. Leader

Eric Hosmer

AVG

Morneau .323

.314 (3)

Cabrera .326

.285 (4)

OBP

Rizzo/Votto .410

.330 (8)

Napoli/Dunn .399

.330 (10)

SLG

Morneau .573

.480 (5)

Abreu .595

.392 (11)

wOBA

Morneau .403

.349 (8)

B. Moss .409

.317 (11)

Off

Goldschmidt 13

4.5 (8)

B. Moss 13.6

-5.3 (14)

Def

Reynolds 2.1

-0.7 (2)

Loney 0.1

-2.3 (7)

WAR

Goldschmidt 1.7

1 (6)

B. Moss 1.9

-0.1 (12)

ISO

Gonzalez .264

.166 (10)

Abreu .335

.108 (13)

BABIP

*

.380

Cabrera .363

.325 (5)

BB%

Votto 19.1%

2.7% (11)

Dunn 19.6%

6.4% (12)

K%

Morneau 10.7%

20.3% (7)

Pujols 10.8%

13.8 (4)

RBI

Gonzalez 34

15 (9)

Abreu 42

21 (11)

Justin Morneau of the Rockies and Brandon Moss of the A's get the vote. I knew these guys would not get the vote, but thought that they would be closer than what I expected. Comparing the two players, Matt Adams is the better player by statistics. He is a more versatile hitter... barely, but not being a smarter batter. He has 80 strike outs to Hosmer's 23.

The second base vote goes to Chase Utley of the Phillies and Brian Dozier of the Twins. I could show you the chart, but there is no comparison with each team because of the minimum plate appearance requirement (this will happen one more time). If I had to choose the players from the teams. It would be Omar Infante and Kolten Wong. Both players are very similar to each other statistically even though they are different in playing styles; Wong being a ground ball hitter and Infante being a fly ball hitter.

Third Base; 12 N.L. Players. No Royals player, Josh Donaldson from the A's

N.L. Leader

Matt Carpenter

AVG

Arenado .305

.271 (6)

OBP

*

.371

SLG

Frazier .503

.330 (11)

wOBA

Frazier .373

.321 (6)

Off

Frazier 8.2

2.2 (3)

Def

Arenado 6.6

-1.2 (9)

WAR

Frazier 2

0.8 (4)

ISO

Reynolds .261

.059 (12)

BABIP

Wright .384

.336 (5)

BB%

*

12.7%

K%

Arenado 13.2%

18% (5)

RBI

McGehee 30

16 (9)

Reds' Todd Frazier gets the vote. I was very disappointed the Carpenter's numbers were not higher than what they are. He had a great rookie campaign hitting a .318 BA, .359 BABIP, 40+ Offensive War, and low Base on Ball rate & Strike out rate. Could his change from second base to third be that big of a problem or just sophomore slump?

Shortstop; 13 N.L. Players, 12 A.L. Players

N.L. Leader

Jhonny Peralta

A.L. Leader

Alcides Escobar

AVG

Tulowitzki .377

.251 (9)

Ramirez .325

.273 (4)

OBP

Tulo .479

.335 (3)

Bogaerts .370

.320 (7)

SLG

Tulo .721

.479 (2)

Ramirez .497

.382 (7)

wOBA

Tulo .504

.358 (3)

Ramirez .374

.312 (5)

Off

Tulo 23.2

4.4 (4)

Ramirez 8.4

0.8 (5)

Def

Tulo 8.3

5.6 (3)

Hardy 8.1

-0.6 (11)

WAR

Tulo 4

1.7 (3)

Ramirez 1.8

0.7 (7)

ISO

Tulo .344

.228 (2)

Villar .177

.109 (7)

BABIP

Tulo .378

.264 (12)

Bogaerts .360

.314 (5)

BB%

Tulo 15.8%

10.1 (4)

Lowrie 11.9%

5.5% (10)

K%

Simmons 8.9%

17.6% (9)

Aybar 8.9%

14.9% (7)

RBI

Tulo 35

21 (6)

Ramirez 34

17 (4)

The one time I will say this. I love my Cardinals, but Jhonny Peralta will never get my vote because of TULO!!! No matter how to put it, he won't unless Tulowitzki literally falls apart. Alcides Escobar has a better chance to catch the leader and my vote Alexei Ramirez of the White Sox. To make myself better, Peralta is a better player than Escobar. He has helped the team as a collective than Escobar. To me, Escobar has carried the Royals sometimes.

Catcher; 7 N.L. Players, 5 A.L. Players

N.L. Leader

Yadier Molina

A.L. Leader

Salvador Perez

AVG

*

.327

Suzuki .301

.261 (3)

OBP

Lucroy .398

.359 (5)

Suzuki .368

.319 (3)

SLG

*

.462 (2)

Gomes .463

.418 (3)

wOBA

Lucroy .380

.355 (2)

Suzuki .348

.324 (3)

Off

Lucroy 7.9

5.1 (2)

Gomes 2.7

0.9 (3)

Def

*

6.3

*

4

WAR

Molina/Lucroy 1.8

Gomes 1.3

1.1 (2)

ISO

Saltalamachia .180

.135 (6)

Gomes .190

.157 (3)

BABIP

Lucroy .364

.356 (2)

Gomes .321

.275 (4)

BB%

Ruiz 14.4%

4.9% (6)

Suzuki 9%

7.8% (2)

K%

Lucroy 11.3%

13% (4)

Suzuki 7.1%

10.8 (2)

RBI

Montero 24

22 (3)

Suzuki 27

12 (5)

Jonathan Lurcroy (Brewers) and Kurt Suzuki (Twins) get the vote. I could go on and on about Molina, but we all know. Perez needs to do some work to get back to top form. Having a sore thumb doesn't help his cause. One thing I like about Perez is that he could become the next Yadier Molina. He has made those "farm" pitchers (Danny Duffy) from Kansas City look better because he grew up with them.

Left Fielder; 49 N.L. Players, 39 A.L. Players

N.L. Leader

Matt Holliday

A.L. Leader

Alex Gordon

AVG

Smith .338

.267 (5)

Cabrera .320

.266 (10)

OBP

Smith .439

.366 (3)

Choo .436

.330 (10)

SLG

Smith .615

.369 (8)

B. Moss .576

.339 (11)

wOBA

Smith .451

.329 (6)

Choo .412

.322 (11)

Off

Smith 17.1

0.8 (6)

Moss 13.6

0.3 (12)

Def

Marte 2.3

-4.6 (8)

*

7.1

WAR

Smith 2.2

0.2 (7)

B. Moss 1.9

1.5 (4)

ISO

J. Upton .288

.102 (9)

Cruz .291

.127 (9)

BABIP

Smith/Upton .376

.315 (5)

Gardner .405

.293 (12)

BB%

Smith 14.1%

11.7% (2)

Choo 14.9%

8.4% (9)

K%

Smith 15.4%

15.6% (2)

Brantley 8.6%

12.6% (2)

RBI

Morse/Gonzalez 29

25 (4)

Cruz 42

24 (5)

Well, I don't know which one is more disappointing, Holliday or Gordon. Two very good players from their organizations, but statistically horrible. Yes, there are 49 and 39 players in each league respectively, but just do 15 players; They are in a lower tier than what they usually are. Of course, give it time before they get back to All-Star caliber. Seth Smith from the Padres and Shin-Soo Choo from the Rangers get the vote.

Center fielders... where are the center fielders for these organizations? Injuries, illnesses, and platooning. Peter Bourjos, the projected starter for the Cards starting this season, is playing terrible. A .227 BA and .306 OBP in 37 games whereas farm kid Jon Jay is playing beautifully, hitting .292 and .355 OBP in 41 games. His counterpart, Lorenzo Cain from the Royals, has been hindered by a groin injury. Even with that, in 28 games, he has a .313 BA with a .367 OBP. Anyway, the Pirates' Andrew McCutchen and the Indians' Michael Brantley get the vote.

Right Fielder; 12 N.L. Players, 11 A.L. Players.

N.L. Leader

Allen Craig

A.L. Leader

Nori Aoki

AVG

Puig .331

.239 (9)

Rios .304

.271 (7)

OBP

Puig .423

.297 (10)

Bautista .435

.326 (7)

SLG

Puig. .607

.364 (9)

Bautista .552

.328 (11)

wOBA

Puig .444

.295 (10)

Bautista .427

.295 (8)

Off

Puig 19

-3.8 (10)

Bautista 19

-3.8 (9)

Def

Heyward 11

-1.4 (8)

Rios 1.9

-0.3 (3)

WAR

Stanton 2.8

0 (9)

Bautista 2.5

0.3 (7)

ISO

Stanton/Puig .276

.125 (9)

Bautista .256

.056 (11)

BABIP

Byrd .388

.279 (9)

Rios .349

.308 (7)

BB%

Stanton 13.4%

7.3% (8)

Bautista 19%

7.7% (5)

K%

Blackmon 10.1%

19.3% (6)

Markakis 9.7%

11.2% (2)

RBI

Stanton 45

20 (7)

Bautista 32

9 (11)

Allen Craig is in a major slump, far away from his expected numbers. Like with Matt Carpenter, is it the position change messing with his offense? More footwork means more change to the body/stance slightly. Its true for golfers, could be true with Craig. Time for some adjustments before the All-Star Game. Norichika Aoki has been what we expected. A run-of-the-mill right fielder with more defensive prowess than Craig and a bit more flair with his hitting because of the style he plays. Aoki having elbow problems could really mess up a bid for the ASG. So finally, Yasiel Puig and Jose Bautista get the nod.

Cardinals zero, Royals zero. It's early, but a turnaround is needed for these teams want All-Stars or playoff berths. Looking at the stats, The Cardinals are going into a hard week against the Yankees and the MLB best, Giants. Can they give run support for the pitchers? How they have been playing; Yes. 8-2 the last ten games, .325 OBP, defensive rating of 25.3 (SF: 6, NYY: -10.1). Starting from the Arizona series last week, they have outscored their opponents 25-10. If last week was the start, this week could be more fruitful to have All-Star numbers. In a way, the Cardinals are HOT!!!

Royals on the other hand play cupcake Astros to hot streak Blue Jays. Playing the Jays will show if the Royals are contenders or pretenders. They come out of Anaheim battered and bruised to true power, giving up five home runs and 11 RBIs. Having Houston as a breather before Toronto could help the offense to strike it rich with hits.

More updates are to come and the I-70 series will be fun. Go Cardinals!!!

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