2014 VEB Community Projection Results: Adam Wainwright

USA TODAY Sports

As expected with a player with a lot of experience, there isn't very much variance in the projections for Adam Wainwright. What is interesting to me is how different projections are similar in different ways. Oliver/ZiPS and Steamer/PECOTA both seem to have very similar algorithms to project wins, while Oliver/PECOTA and Steamer/ZiPS seem to have similar methods of projecting ERA.


W

L

IP

K/9

BB/9

ERA

Oliver

17

8

227

7.85

1.66

2.93

Steamer

14

10

201

7.90

1.87

3.23

PECOTA

14

12

204

8.10

1.80

3.01

ZiPS

17

9

208

7.91

1.69

3.20

VEB(66)

19

8

223

8.16

1.80

2.85


2014_veb_projections_--_wainwright_--_comparative
Moving onto the VEB projections, there's a bigger spread than I would've anticipated. Wins range from 14-25, losses range from 5-12, IP range from 160-259, K/9 ranges from 7.00-8.76, BB/9 ranges from .90/2.50, and ERA ranges from 2.00-3.43. It's pretty ridiculous that the WORST projected BB/9 for Wainwright is 2.50, and that's a true testament to the ace's control.


W

L

IP

K/9

BB/9

ERA

Minimum Values

14

12

160

7.00

2.50

2.00

25th Percentile

18

10

216

8.00

2.00

2.75

50th Percentile

19

8

222

8.17

1.80

2.92

75h Percentile

21

7

230

8.26

1.66

3.05

Maximum Values

25

5

259

8.76

0.90

3.43



W

L

IP

K/9

BB/9

ERA

VEB Low ERA (gocards62)

25

5

230

8.5

2

2.00

VEB High OPS(guayzimi)

14

10

203

7.8

2.3

3.43



2014_veb_projections_--_wainwright
CELEBRITY DOPPELGANGER: There's a real consensus! Without a St. Louis tie! (I think). NOAH WYLE

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Viva El Birdos

You must be a member of Viva El Birdos to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Viva El Birdos. You should read them.

Join Viva El Birdos

You must be a member of Viva El Birdos to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Viva El Birdos. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker