2014 VEB Community Projection Results: Jhonny Peralta

Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

For a player with so much variance in his performance year-to-year, there actually isn't a ton of difference in his projections. His average ranges from .253-.276, his OBP ranges from .313-.333, and his SLG ranges from .383-.424. PECOTA, per usual, comes in on the low end, while Oliver comes in on the high end for Peralta.


PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

CS

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

wOBA

Oliver

600

67

14

71

3

2

0.267

0.326

0.408

0.734

0.322

Steamer

530

52

11

57

4

2

0.263

0.325

0.400

0.725

0.319

PECOTA

572

56

12

62

2

2

0.253

0.313

0.383

0.696

0.306

ZiPS

520

49

12

64

2

2

0.267

0.320

0.412

0.732

0.317

VEB(62)

579

65

14

70

2

2

0.276

0.333

0.424

0.757

0.330


Image_medium


Now there is a big spread in the individual projections. On the low end, mattsriu projected .230/.295/.378 while sgtpepermatin projected .310./.356/.495. The median projection, which is around a .330 wOBA, would be about 90 points above what our starting shortstop achieved last season, which would be huge, huge gain.


PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

CS

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

wOBA

Minimum Values

468

45

8

50

0

0

0.226

0.295

0.367

0.673

0.280

25th Percentile

550

60

12

64

1

1

0.269

0.325

0.409

0.739

0.325

50th Percentile

580

65

15

70

2

2

0.275

0.331

0.420

0.755

0.329

75h Percentile

604

71

16

75

3

2

0.281

0.342

0.437

0.777

0.339

Maximum Values

673

107

26

101

12

6

0.320

0.389

0.495

0.851

0.359




PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

CS

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

wOBA

VEB Low OPS (mattsriu)

570

65

10

65

0

2

0.230

0.295

0.378

0.673

0.280

VEB High OPS

(sgtpeppermartin)

600

105

18

101

8

6

0.310

0.356

0.495

0.851

0.350


Image_medium


CELEBRITY DOPPELGANGER: There was a surprisingly strong consensus, with "Fat A-Rod" coming in with 4. Huh.

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