St. Louis Cardinals 2014 VEB Community Projection Results: Matt Carpenter

USA TODAY Sports

We're really bullish on Matt Carpenter, you guys.

It makes a lot of sense as to why. He's coming off a gigantic 2013 where he was the best second basemen in baseball. Many of us have been watching him Single A or Double A, justifying ways that his OBP would play in the Majors. He never seems overwhelmed by major league pitching, he always works counts as a leadoff man, and he's a very capable fielder. It's perfectly justified.

But holy crap, are we bullish. We project 113 runs. The next closest is 80. We project a .306/.381/.469 slash line. The aggregated best out of the projection systems is .295/.369/.442. Using the formula ((1.7*OBP)+SLG)/3 to estimate wOBA, we project .372. Steamer (again optimistic), projects .359.


PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

CS

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

wOBA

Oliver

600

74

9

65

7

3

0.295

0.369

0.438

0.807

0.355

Steamer

560

75

10

53

5

3

0.291

0.373

0.442

0.815

0.359

PECOTA

648

80

12

65

4

3

0.289

0.368

0.44

0.808

0.355

ZiPS

615

79

10

69

4

3

0.272

0.351

0.413

0.764

0.334

VEB(111)

671

113

12

71

4

2

0.306

0.381

0.469

0.850

0.372



MARP2014VEBPROJECTIONS title=
easel.ly

Let's move on the VEB projections:


PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

CS

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

wOBA

Minimum Values

450

68

5

45

0

0

0.285

0.283

0.380

0.740

0.320

25th Percentile

650

105

10

65

2

1

0.300

0.375

0.459

0.837

0.360

50th Percentile

680

111

12

70

3

2

0.306

0.381

0.470

0.850

0.368

75h Percentile

700

119

14

77

5

3

0.310

0.390

0.480

0.870

0.375

Maximum Values

730

184

19

94

12

10

0.352

0.420

0.510

0.923

0.415




PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

CS

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

wOBA

VEB Low OPS (gocards62)

550

100

10

65

3

3

0.31

0.36

0.38

0.740

0.325

VEB High OPS ISawGodinGibby’sRightArm)

725

150

15

85

4

1

0.352

0.418

0.505

0.923

0.415

MARP2014VEBPROJECTIONS1HIGHLOW title=
easel.ly

I think we did a better job of managing the data this time around. There were a few crazy projections that we took out, and all in all, it looks pretty good. Here's a link to all of the projections. I'll add in Yadi and Craig's this weekend.

Celebrity Doppelganger: Jon Hamm! I don't see it at all, but you're the projectors! Second place was Adrien Brody, who makes a lot of sense to me

Jon-hamm-300_medium 162140608_10

via media.kmov.com


via img2.timeinc.net


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