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stlfan's pre-season predictions for the Cardinals

1. Yadier Molina - C

575 PA, 519 AB, 60 runs, 157 hits, 30 doubles, 18 homers, 74 RBI
43 BB, 54 K, 9 SB, 4 CS, 4 HBP, 9 sacs
.303/.355/.464/.819 - .355 wOBA, .305 BABIP, .162 ISO, 127 wRC+, 5.7 stlfanWAR

2. Tony Cruz - C

125 PA, 116 AB, 11 runs, 25 hits, 7 doubles, 1 triple, 2 homers, 13 RBI
7 BB, 23 K, 1 CS, 2 sacs
.216/.256/.345/.601 - .261 wOBA, .247 BABIP, .129 ISO, 13 wRC+, -0.1 stlfanWAR

3. Allen Craig - 1B

550 PA, 501 AB, 80 runs, 150 hits, 35 doubles, 1 triple, 24 homers, 100 RBI
40 BB, 96 K, 4 SB, 1 CS, 2 HBP, 7 sacs
.299/.349/.517/.866 - .369 wOBA, .325 BABIP, .218 ISO, 131 wRC+, 3.0 stlfanWAR

4. Matt Carpenter - mainly 2B

500 PA, 426 AB, 62 runs, 122 hits, 28 doubles, 4 triples, 10 homers, 62 RBI
60 BB, 82 K, 4 SB, 3 CS, 6 HBP, 8 sacs
.286/.376/.441/.817 - .360 wOBA, .327 BABIP, .155 ISO, 113 wRC+, 2.4 stlfanWAR

5. Pete Kozma - SS

500 PA, 442 AB, 56 runs, 106 hits, 21 doubles, 7 triples, 9 homers, 61 RBI
43 BB, 100 K, 7 SB, 2 CS, 1 HBP, 14 sacs
.240/.300/.380/.680 - .297 wOBA, .280 BABIP, .140 ISO, 73 wRC+, 3.3 stlfanWAR

6. Daniel Descalso - 2B/SS

425 PA, 374 AB, 45 runs, 91 hits, 17 doubles, 5 triples, 4 homers, 33 RBI
36 BB, 72 K, 5 SB, 3 CS, 4 HBP, 11 sacs
.243/.308/.348/.656 - .292 wOBA, .282 BABIP, .104 ISO, 59 wRC+, 0.5 stlfanWAR

7. David Freese - 3B

575 PA, 512 AB, 68 runs, 151 hits, 26 doubles, 1 triple, 18 homers, 81 RBI
52 BB, 126 K, 3 SB, 2 CS, 7 HBP, 3 sacs
.294/.365/.453/.817 - .359 wOBA, .358 BABIP, .158 ISO, 129 wRC+, 3.9 stlfanWAR

8. Matt Adams - LH Hitter

250 PA, 233 AB, 35 runs, 66 hits, 16 doubles, 13 homers, 45 RBI
14 BB, 50 K, 1 SB, 1 CS, 1 HBP, 2 sacs
.283/.324/.519/.843 - .357 wOBA, .308 BABIP, .236 ISO, 56 wRC+, 1.1 stlfanWAR

9. Ty Wigginton - RH Hitter

225 PA, 199 AB, 25 runs, 48 hits, 9 doubles, 7 homers, 26 RBI
21 BB, 45 K, 2 SB, 2 HBP, 3 sacs
.241/.316/.392/.708 - .312 wOBA, .273 BABIP, .151 ISO, 37 wRC+, 0.1 stlfanWAR

10. Matt Holliday - LF

625 PA, 545 AB, 90 runs, 163 hits, 37 doubles, 1 triple, 25 homers, 93 RBI
69 BB, 112 K, 4 SB, 3 CS, 8 HBP, 3 sacs
.299/.384/.508/.892 - .387 wOBA, .336 BABIP, .209 ISO, 163 wRC+, 5.1 stlfanWAR

11. Jon Jay - CF

500 PA, 443 AB, 75 runs, 135 hits, 24 doubles, 4 triples, 7 homers, 45 RBI
35 BB, 73 K, 14 SB, 6 CS, 11 HBP, 11 sacs
.305/.362/.424/.786 - .346 wOBA, .342 BABIP, .120 ISO, 104 wRC+, 2.2 stlfanWAR

12. Carlos Beltran - RF

500 PA, 439 AB, 64 runs, 122 hits, 25 doubles, 3 triples, 22 homers, 73 RBI
55 BB, 89 K, 8 SB, 3 CS, 2 HBP, 4 sacs
.278/.358/.499/.857 - .369 wOBA, .301 BABIP, .221 ISO, 119 wRC+, 4.3 stlfanWAR

13. Shane Robinson - OF

180 PA, 162 AB, 24 runs, 41 hits, 8 doubles, 2 triples, 3 homers, 16 RBI
14 BB, 25 K, 4 SB, 1 CS, 2 HBP, 2 sacs
.253/.317/.383/.699 - .309 wOBA, .279 BABIP, .130 ISO, 29 wRC+, 0.8 stlfanWAR

Ryan Jackson - INF

150 PA, 135 AB, 14 runs, 30 hits, 6 doubles, 2 homers, 12 RBI
11 BB, 24 K, 1 SB, 1 CS, 4 sacs
.222/.273/.311/.584 - .260 wOBA, .248 BABIP, .089 ISO, 15 wRC+, 0.4 stlfanWAR

Adron Chambers - OF

50 PA, 43 AB, 6 runs, 11 hits, 2 doubles, 1 homer, 4 RBI
5 BB, 10 K, 2 SB, 1 CS, 1 HBP, 1 sac
.256/.340/.372/.712 - .320 wOBA, .303 BABIP, .116 ISO, 9 wRC+, 0.3 stlfanWAR

Oscar Taveras - OF

50 PA, 47 AB, 7 runs, 13 hits, 4 doubles, 2 homers, 8 RBI
3 BB, 7 K, 1 SB
.277/.320/.489/.809 - .346 wOBA, .289 BABIP, .213 ISO, 10 wRC+, 0.3 stlfanWAR


One note about my pitchers' predictions this year, before I start: I have a formula to figure up their FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching ERA), so I simply scaled their ERA to FIP this year, basing the earned runs column off of what their FIP should be rather than taking a wild guess or averaging previous years' ERAs.

14. Adam Wainwright - SP1

32 starts, 205 IP, 6.406 IP/start, 192 hits, 75 runs, 70 earned, 15 homers, 53 BB, 190 K
1.195 WHIP, 8.4 H/9, 0.7 HR/9, 8.3 K/9, 2.3 BB/9, 3.58 K:BB
3.07 ERA, 3.05 FIP, 4.8 stlfanWAR

15. Lance Lynn - SP2

30 starts, 180 IP, 6 IP/start, 166 hits, 68 runs, 65 earned, 16 homers, 67 BB, 196 K
1.294 WHIP, 8.3 H/9, 0.8 HR/9, 9.8 K/9, 3.4 BB/9, 2.93 K:BB
3.25 ERA, 3.27 FIP, 3.9 stlfanWAR

16. Jaime Garcia - SP3

30 starts, 180 IP, 6 IP/start, 191 hits, 79 runs, 66 earned, 13 homers, 49 BB, 146 K
1.333 WHIP, 9.6 H/9, 0.7 HR/9, 7.3 K/9, 2.5 BB/9, 2.98 K:BB
3.30 ERA, 3.31 FIP, 2.6 stlfanWAR

17. Jake Westbrook - SP4

31 starts, 186 IP, 6 IP/start, 203 hits, 91 runs, 84 earned, 15 homers, 63 BB, 111 K
1.430 WHIP, 9.8 H/9, 0.7 HR/9, 5.4 K/9, 3.0 BB/9, 1.76 K:BB
4.06 ERA, 4.05 FIP, 1.8 stlfanWAR

18. Shelby Miller - SP5

28 starts, 166 IP, 5.929 IP/start, 176 hits, 79 runs, 71 earned, 18 homers, 74 BB, 172 K
1.506 WHIP, 9.5 H/9, 1.0 HR/9, 9.3 K/9, 4.0 BB/9, 2.32 K:BB
3.85 ERA, 3.85 FIP, 1.8 stlfanWAR

19. Joe Kelly - LR/SP6

11 starts, 40 games RP, 143 IP, 5.750 IP/start, 135 hits, 80 runs, 64 earned, 10 homers, 60 BB, 97 K
1.364 WHIP, 8.5 H/9, 0.6 HR/9, 6.1 K/9, 3.8 BB/9, 1.62 K:BB
4.03ERA, 3.99 FIP, 0.2 stlfanWAR

Jason Motte (INJ)

60 games, 59 innings, 42 hits, 20 runs, 19 earned, 5 homers, 15 BB, 64 K
0.966 WHIP, 6.4 H/9, 0.8 HR/9, 9.8 K/9, 2.3 BB/9, 4.27 K:BB
2.90 ERA, 2.87 FIP, 1.6 stlfanWAR

20. Mitchell Boggs - RHRP

70 games, 76 innings, 65 hits, 32 runs, 29 earned, 5 homers, 25 BB, 61 K
1.184 WHIP, 7.7 H/9, 0.6 HR/9, 7.2 K/9, 3.0 BB/9, 2.44 K:BB
3.43 ERA, 3.41 FIP, 1.3 stlfanWAR

21. Edward Mujica - RHRP

68 games, 71 innings, 59 hits, 30 runs, 28 earned, 8 homers, 12 BB, 57 K
1.000 WHIP, 7.5 H/9, 1.0 HR/9, 7.2 K/9, 1.5 BB/9, 4.75 K:BB
3.55 ERA, 3.54 FIP, 1.2 stlfanWAR

22. Trevor Rosenthal - RHRP

60 games, 80 innings, 77 hits, 34 runs, 30 earned, 6 homers, 31 BB, 76 K
1.350 WHIP, 8.7 H/9, 0.7 HR/9, 8.6 K/9, 3.5 BB/9, 2.45 K:BB
3.38 ERA, 3.41 FIP, 1.3 stlfanWAR

23. Fernando Salas - RHRP

67 games, 67 innings, 57 hits, 28 runs, 27 earned, 7 homers, 24 BB, 68 K
1.209 WHIP, 7.7 H/9, 0.9 HR/9, 9.1 K/9, 3.2 BB/9, 2.83 K:BB
3.63 ERA, 3.58 FIP, 1.2 stlfanWAR

24. Marc Rzepczynski - LHRP

70 games, 60 innings, 61 hits, 30 runs, 28 earned, 7 homers, 25 BB, 51 K
1.433 WHIP, 9.2 H/9, 1.1 HR/9, 7.7 K/9, 3.8 BB/9, 2.04 K:BB
4.20 ERA, 4.24 FIP, 0.4 stlfanWAR

25. Randy Choate - LOOGY

72 games, 35 innings, 26 hits, 16 runs, 13 earned, 2 homers, 16 BB, 36 K
1.200 WHIP, 6.7 H/9, 0.5 HR/9, 9.3 K/9, 4.1 BB/9, 2.25 K:BB
3.34 ERA, 3.23 FIP, 0.5 stlfanWAR

Maikel Cleto - RHRP

1.525 WHIP, 9.7 H/9, 1.1 HR/9, 11.7 K/9, 4.1 BB/9, 2.89 K:BB
3.60 ERA, 3.55 FIP

Sam Freeman - LHRP

1.500 WHIP, 9.0 H/9, 0.8 HR/9, 6.5 K/9, 4.5 BB/9, 1.44 K:BB
4.50 ERA, 4.46 FIP

Tyler Lyons - LHRP

1.433 WHIP, 10.2 H/9, 1.1 HR/9, 7.4 K/9, 2.7 BB/9, 2.72 K:BB
3.90 ERA, 3.96 FIP

Eduardo Sanchez - RHRP

1.467 WHIP, 7.2 H/9, 0.9 HR/9, 8.4 K/9, 6.0 BB/9, 1.40 K:BB
4.50 ERA, 4.61 FIP

Jess Todd - RHRP

1.676 WHIP, 11.7 H/9, 1.0 HR/9, 8.3 K/9, 3.4 BB/9, 2.43 K:BB
3.89 ERA, 3.88 FIP

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