FanPost

Wednesday, November 27: It's getting Steamy

VEBers, I was bored. So I made a fanpost. Those old front page posts were getting a little crowded, and we wouldn't want to clog up the comment strings.

Also, it's a Wednesday and as Baron tends to post later in the day I thought a shiny new discussion post might be a good idea.

Here is the Steamer page for the St. Louis Cardinals position players for 2014:

http://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&type=steamer&team=28&players=0

Anything crazy here? Anything look spot-on? One thing to keep in mind is playing time, obviously, which is tricky for projections. For example, Yadier Molina is projected for 469 PAs, which might seem reasonable for a catcher. But, this is Yadier Molina. He hasn't had fewer than 500 PAs since 2008. So if he matches the rate stats in his projection and adds, oh, 80 or 90 PAs to that total his 4.3 fWAR would probably be closer to 5.

Another item I thought interesting was Craig's projection. Steamer sees him having the second best wOBA behind Holliday, and the second most PAs behind Carpenter. Does that seem overly bullish?

Lastly, if trends from the last few years hold, league average wOBA will be something like .313 or .314 across MLB, and something like .309 or .310 in the NL. That means that every hitter on the page from Kolten Wong up is projected by Steamer to be, most likely, a league average or better hitter. Wow. This includes Randal Grichuk, Shane Robinson, Joey Butler, Mike O'Neill, Peralta, Bourjos. Sorry Greg Garcia... though if you can actually play a decent SS at the major league level I'd certainly not complain about a .307 wOBA.

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