CINCINNATI, OH - AUGUST 24: Allen Craig #21 of the St.Louis Cardinals hits a single during the game against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on August 24, 2012 in Cincinnati, Ohio. The Cardinals won 8-5. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
Saturday's blowout loss to the Reds in Cincinnati lowered the Cardinals' playoff odds from 75 percent to 62.6 percent, according to the Baseball Prospectus Playoff Odds Report. Baseball Prospectus gives the Cardinals a 4.4 percent chance of winning the Central division title and a 58.2 percent chance of securing a berth in the Wild Card game. With the 2011 still fresh in our memories, it's each to scoff at such odds and declare them well within this team's reach. The Cardinals' odds today are much better than Lloyd Christmas's with Mary Swanson and would increase with a win today. Even so, this is a team fighting for a Wild Card spot, not a division title.
Today I thought we might take a look at the Wild Card standings and the remaining schedules for the Wild Card contenders. Entering play today, here are the National League Wild Card standings:
|
Club |
Wins |
Losses |
Winning % |
Games Back |
Homefield GB |
|
72 |
55 |
.567 |
- |
- |
|
|
Cardinals |
69 |
57 |
.548 |
- |
2.5 |
|
69 |
58 |
.543 |
0.5 |
3.0 |
|
|
68 |
58 |
.540 |
1.0 |
3.5 |
|
|
64 |
63 |
.504 |
5.5 |
8.0 |
Here are the five primary Wild Card contenders' remaining schedules, including today.
DIAMONDBACKS
|
OPPONENT |
GAMES |
W/L |
WIN % |
RUN DIFF. |
1st WIN % |
2nd WIN % |
3rd WIN % |
|
9 |
71-56 |
.559 |
+32 |
.533 |
.530 |
.526 |
|
|
Reds |
3 |
77-51 |
.602 |
+77 |
.567 |
.552 |
.537 |
|
4 |
51-74 |
.408 |
-105 |
.421 |
.400 |
.402 |
|
|
7 |
58-70 |
.453 |
-55 |
.452 |
.460 |
.451 |
|
|
Dodgers |
6 |
69-58 |
.543 |
+44 |
.540 |
.529 |
.524 |
|
3 |
48-77 |
.315 |
-101 |
.348 |
.348 |
.349 |
PIRATES
|
OPPONENT |
GAMES |
W/L |
WIN % |
RUN DIFF. |
1st WIN % |
2nd WIN % |
3rd WIN % |
|
Cardinals |
3 |
69-57 |
.548 |
+120 |
.599 |
.600 |
.580 |
|
6 |
40-87 |
.315 |
-186 |
.348 |
.348 |
.349 |
|
|
Reds |
6 |
77-51 |
.602 |
+77 |
.567 |
.552 |
.537 |
|
4 |
58-69 |
.457 |
-41 |
.466 |
.498 |
.508 |
|
|
Braves |
3 |
72-55 |
.567 |
+84 |
.572 |
.558 |
.558 |
|
7 |
58-67 |
.464 |
-10 |
.411 |
.387 |
.389 |
|
|
Cubs |
7 |
44-69 |
.389 |
-101 |
.410 |
.380 |
.387 |
DODGERS
|
OPPONENT |
GAMES |
W/L |
WIN % |
RUN DIFF. |
1st W/L |
2nd W/L |
3rd W/L |
|
1 |
57-71 |
.445 |
-101 |
.414 |
.426 |
.429 |
|
|
Rockies |
6 |
51-74 |
.408 |
-105 |
.421 |
.400 |
.402 |
|
Diamondbacks |
6 |
64-63 |
.504 |
+32 |
.527 |
.521 |
.516 |
|
Padres |
6 |
58-70 |
.453 |
-55 |
.452 |
.460 |
.451 |
|
Giants |
6 |
71-56 |
.559 |
+32 |
.533 |
.530 |
.526 |
|
Cardinals |
4 |
69-57 |
.548 |
+120 |
.599 |
.600 |
.580 |
|
3 |
77-49 |
.611 |
+104 |
.594 |
.600 |
.586 |
|
|
Reds |
3 |
77-51 |
.602 |
+77 |
.567 |
.552 |
.537 |
BRAVES
|
OPPONENT |
GAMES |
W/L |
WIN % |
RUN DIFF. |
1st W/L |
2nd W/L |
3rd W/L |
|
Giants |
1 |
71-56 |
.559 |
+38 |
.533 |
.530 |
.526 |
|
Padres |
3 |
58-70 |
.453 |
-55 |
.452 |
.460 |
.451 |
|
6 |
60-67 |
.472 |
-27 |
||||
|
Rockies |
4 |
51-74 |
.408 |
-105 |
.421 |
.400 |
.402 |
|
Mets |
6 |
58-69 |
.457 |
-41 |
.466 |
.498 |
.508 |
|
Brewers |
3 |
58-67 |
.464 |
-10 |
.492 |
.494 |
.476 |
|
Nationals |
3 |
77-49 |
.611 |
+104 |
.594 |
.600 |
.586 |
|
Marlins |
4 |
57-71 |
.445 |
-100 |
.414 |
.426 |
.429 |
|
Pirates |
3 |
68-58 |
.540 |
+18 |
.516 |
.510 |
.496 |
CARDINALS
|
OPPONENT |
GAMES |
W/L |
WIN % |
RUN DIFF. |
1st WIN % |
2nd WIN % |
3rd WIN % |
|
Pirates |
3 |
68-58 |
.540 |
+18 |
.516 |
.510 |
.496 |
|
Astros |
6 |
40-87 |
.315 |
-186 |
.348 |
.348 |
.349 |
|
Reds |
4 |
77-51 |
.602 |
+77 |
.567 |
.552 |
.537 |
|
Nationals |
7 |
77-40 |
.611 |
+104 |
.594 |
.600 |
.586 |
|
Mets |
3 |
58-69 |
.457 |
-41 |
.466 |
.498 |
.508 |
|
Brewers |
3 |
58-67 |
.464 |
-10 |
.411 |
.387 |
.389 |
|
Padres |
3 |
58-70 |
.453 |
-55 |
.452 |
.460 |
.451 |
|
Dodgers |
4 |
69-58 |
.543 |
+44 |
.540 |
.529 |
.524 |
|
Cubs |
3 |
48-77 |
.315 |
-101 |
.348 |
.348 |
.349 |
|
Team |
Schedule Weight |
|
Dodgers |
-93 |
|
Diamondbacks |
-325 |
|
Cardinals |
-471 |
|
Pirates |
-983 |
|
Dodgers |
-1,019 |
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